Best Cowboys vs Eagles Same-Game Parlay for TNF

• The Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles meet on Thursday in the first game of the NFL season
• CeeDee Lamb is going to see a lot of targets when the Cowboys are playing from behind
• See my three-leg, +545 Cowboys vs Eagles same-game parlay for tonight’s game in Philadelphia

The reigning Super Bowl-champion Philadelphia Eagles look to continue their recent domination over the Dallas Cowboys when the NFC East rivals meet on Thursday night in the first game of the 2025 NFL regular season at Lincoln Financial Field (8:20 pm ET).

The Eagles outscored the Cowboys 75-13 in two games last season, piling up 366 yards on the ground, almost as many yards as they put up through the air (404). My Cowboys vs Eagles same-game parlay banks on Philly continuing to pound the ball at the expense of their passing game, while the Cowboys are forced to throw once they fall behind.

Cowboys vs Eagles Same-Game Parlay

My three-leg Cowboys/Eagles parlay works out to a massive +545 price, which means a $100 bet will profit $545 if all three legs cash.

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The Eagles are 8.5-point favorites in the Thursday Night Football odds and -425 on the moneyline.

DAL vs PHI Same-Game Parlay Pick #1: Hurts Under 214.5 Passing Yards

Jalen Hurts only played one of the two games against the Cowboys last season, passing for 202 yards in a 34-6 rout in Big D. Hurts was plenty efficient, going 14-of-20 with two touchdowns, no picks, and a 115.0 passer rating, but the Eagles had no real need of his arm. Philly was able to move the ball on the ground basically at will, amassing 187 yards on 38 carries (4.92 YPC).

The Eagles return arguably the best offensive line in the NFL, anchored by RT Lane Johnson, while the Cowboys front-seven took a massive hit when the team traded away Micah Parsons.

It’s hard to see the Eagles doing anything other than dominating in the trenches.

Cowboys vs Eagles SGP Pick #2: CeeDee Lamb Over 72.5 Receiving Yards

If (when) the Eagles take an early lead, the Cowboys are going to be forced – even more than usual – to throw the ball. Dallas’ subpar run game lost lead back Rico Dowdle (1,079 yards in 2024) in the offseason , replacing him with former Bronco Javonte Williams (513 yards in 2024) and former Eagle/Panther Miles Sanders (205 yards in 2024), two underwhelming additions.

Dallas ranked second-last in rushing at PFF last season and 19th in run blocking. With Dak Prescott healthy, and WR1 CeeDee Lamb now complemented by former Steeler George Pickens, the Cowboys passing-game assets far outstrip anything their run game has to offer.

Even if they aren’t playing from behind, new OC Klayton Adams is apt to have a pass-heavy game plan. Philly’s top-tier pass rush is certainly a deterrent, but the Eagles no longer have Josh Sweat (team-high eight sacks last year), who’s now with the Cardinals, nor Milton Williams (five sacks), who’s now a Patriot.

If Prescott is throwing 30-plus passes, Lamb is going to see a ton of targets. He averaged just over ten targets per game last season, and Prescott was only healthy for half the season. Lamb also averaged 79.6 YPG with Cooper Rush and, to a lesser extent, Trey Lance under center for the final nine weeks of the season.

A healthy Prescott, a bona fide WR2 to distract some defensive resources, an attenuated Eagles pass rush, and a high probability of playing from behind: that’s a recipe for Lamb to blow past 72.5 receiving yards.

DAL vs PHI SGP Pick #3: Over 47.5 Points

While the run-heavy approach I’m expecting from the Eagles is going to bleed clock, that’s not particularly relevant if a team is churning out five yards per carry. Philly put up 30-plus points in both of last year’s meetings with Dallas, and I expect 30-plus again tonight against a depleted Dallas defense that just traded away the favorite in the NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds.

Will Dallas do enough to get this game over the total?

The Cowboys finished 2024 an ugly 25th in O-DVOA. Remember that was with Cooper Rush and Trey Lance filling in at QB and Jalen Tolbert masquerading as a WR2. With Prescott healthy and Pickens complementing Lamb on the outside – and Tolbert comfortably in the slot – the Dallas attack is ripe for improvement.

This unit finished ninth in O-DVOA in 2023 and it’s not out of the question that it returns to the top-ten this season if the pass protection is adequate. Philly’s pass rush won’t be what it was last season given the personnel that departed. Whether the Cowboys keep up early or score in garbage time, they should do their part to push this game over 47.5.

Several NFL over/under trends also support an over play tonight: Dallas has hit the over in four of its last five road games, and six of the last eight Cowboys/Eagles games have gone over their total.