Best Packers vs Dolphins Same-Game Parlay for Week 16
By Michael Harrison in NFL Football
Published:
- The Packers and Dolphins square off in Week 16 Christmas day action
- We’ve included Raheem Mostert and Christian Watson in today’s SGP
- See the +350 odds in this Packers vs Dolphins same-game parlay for Sunday, December 25th
A massively important game for two teams fighting for the postseason sees the 6-8 Packers visiting the 8-6 Dolphins. Green Bay is battling to sneak into the NFC playoff picture at the eleventh hour, while Miami looks to strengthen their postseason hold. Read on to see our Packers vs Dolphins same-game parlay for a Sunday afternoon affair.
Packers vs Dolphins Same-Game Parlay Picks
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Raheem Mostert Over 49.5 Rushing Yards | -240 |
| Aaron Jones Under 49.5 Rushing Yards | +150 |
| Christian Watson Over 39.5 Receiving Yards | -230 |
| SAME-GAME PARLAY ODDS | +350 |
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Today’s SGP has three legs, including Raheem Mostert over 49.5 rushing yards, Aaron Jones under 49.5 rushing yards and Christian Watson over 39.5 receiving yards.
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The public is favoring Miami to cover the 3.5-point spread with 61% of bets on them, while 72% of bets in Packers vs Dolphins public betting trends are pointing to wagers on the Dolphins to win on the moneyline. With respect to the game total, 52% of bets have been placed on over 49.5 total points.
The Bills are the favorite in the Super Bowl odds at +340. The Fish are the eleventh choice at +3500, while the Pack are huge longshots at +15000.
SGP Pick #1: Raheem Mostert Over 49.5 Rushing Yards
Raheem Mostert ran roughshod all over the Bills defense last weekend, as he racked up 136 yards on just 17 carries. In seven of his last ten games he’d have reached the milestone to hit the first leg of this same-game parlay.
RB Raheem Mostert in 2022:
153 carries for 746 yards (4.88 ypc)Packers D vs. opposing RB's in 2022:
341 carries for 1750 yards (5.13 ypc)This should be an easy equation to figure out. #GBvsMIA #Dolphins pic.twitter.com/uH0nIuiN5E
— BrianCatNFL (@BrianCatNFL) December 23, 2022
His backfield mate Jeff Wilson Jr. has just five total carries the last two contests. Miami is up against the leaky Packers run D, which has averaged giving up the fourth most yards on the ground this season. In their last three outings, they’ve averaged a whopping 196.7 yards, which is the worst mark in the NFL. That’s something to consider in the Week 16 player props.
SGP Pick #2: Aaron Jones Under 49.5 Rushing Yards
Last time out was the first time in his last four games that Aaron Jones rushed for over 50 yards (he finished with 90). In six of his last nine battles, he’s failed to crack the 50-yard milestone on the ground. Our model has this affair going in the Dolphins favor 23.8-22.5 over Green Bay.
The Miami Dolphins defense gives up an average of 16.4 points per game at Home.
That would be ranked 2nd in the NFL. pic.twitter.com/9IcRtTpf5w
— VBS (@VBSofficial_) December 20, 2022
Jones is in a time share with A.J. Dillon in the backfield, with Jones getting slightly more carries than his teammate. Miami has the fifth best run D in the league, according to PFF, and have given up the tenth fewest yards per game on the ground.
SGP Pick #3: Christian Watson Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
Christian Watson has been something of a revelation for the Packers in his rookie season. After failing to crack the 40 yard threshold in his first six attempts, he’s reached that pinnacle in his last five contests.
He’s up against a suspect Dolphins passing defense. They’ve surrendered the sixth most yards per game through the air on the campaign. It gets even worse in their last three spins around the NFL – the Fish have allowed the second most yards per outing, with a whopping 292.0 yards. That should allow Watson to reach his mark.
Packers vs Dolphins Same-Game Parlay Odds (+350)
Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.
