2023 Super Bowl Odds Tracker

• Odds to win the 2023 Super Bowl have opened at online sportsbooks
• Track the early Super Bowl 57 odds movement for all 32 teams
• The Chiefs opened as the 2023 Super Bowl favorites, but Buffalo has taken over

We will be tracking the Super Bowl 57 odds for all 32 teams in the NFL over the course of the 2022-23 NFL season. Odds to win the 2023 Super Bowl had opened well before the last season was over, and you’ll see some of the early movement that has resulted from coaching changes, Tom Brady’s retirement, Tom Brady’s unretirement, Aaron Rodgers’ return to Green Bay, the blockbuster trade that has sent Russell Wilson to Denver, Matt Ryan heading to Indianapolis, and now Tyreek Hill traded out of Kansas City.

The graph below is generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated after each week.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 2023

• Top 10
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• All

The Chiefs opened as the favorites to win the 2023 Super Bowl. But big additions from both the Broncos and Chargers, two other AFC West teams who KC has to deal with, has caused the Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds to fade a little, allowing for the Bills to take over as the Super Bowl favorites.

Kansas City’s Super Bowl odds can be found as short as +850 at DraftKings Sportsbook, but as long as +900 at BetMGM. At opening, Barstool Sportsbook actually had the Chiefs as long as +950.

Barstool even opened the Buffalo Bills as their favorite to win Super Bowl 57; they were the only sportsbook who didn’t have Kansas City listed as at least a co-favorite at the time, until FanDuel joined them on March 8 with the Bills as their favorite. Since then, every other sportsbook has joined them. Buffalo’s odds are as short as +650 at FanDuel and as long as +700 at Caesars Sportsbook.

You can see the latest 2023 Super Bowl odds below, and track how all 32 teams’ odds have changed throughout the course of the 2022-23 NFL season with the graph above.

Super Bowl Odds

*Odds as of April 29 at Caesars Sportsbook

The Bills are currently listed as the Super Bowl 2023 favorites. The Los Angeles Rams were given the best odds among NFC teams until Aaron Rodgers announced he would be returning to Green Bay. The Packers were then bumped out by the Buccaneers when Tom Brady announced he would be unretiring and returning to the team for the 2022-23 NFL season.

The Houston Texans have the worst odds to win Super Bowl 57.

Here are some more notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 57:

• [April 29] The Tennessee Titans traded away star receiver AJ Brown during the first-round of the 2022 NFL Draft, sending him to the Philadelphia Eagles. Tennessee’s Super Bowl odds faded from +2500 to +3000, while Philadelphia’s improved from +5000 to +4000. Some sportsbooks have the Eagles as short as +3500 after the trade. No movement was seen from the Cardinals trading for Marquise Brown from the Ravens. The Steelers’ odds to win the Super Bowl improved slightly, from +8000 to +6000, after drafting Kenny Pickett in the first round.
• [March 23] This absolutely insane NFL offseason continues, as the Chiefs have agreed to trade Tyreek Hill to the Miami Dolphins for a package of five draft picks, including their first-round pick in 2022. The move has resulted in the Chiefs’ odds going from +850 to +900, and the Dolphins have improved slightly from +7000 to +4000. Miami remains long shots in spite of having incredible speed at the wide receiver position.
• [March 21] The Indianapolis Colts have acquired Matt Ryan from the Falcons, replacing Carson Wentz under center and marking their sixth straight year with a new starting quarterback for Week 1. The Colts’ Super Bowl odds saw some improvement from the move, but not a ton, going from +3000 to +2500. The Falcons’ odds have faded from +6000 to +10000, putting them among the likes of the Giants and Bears.
• [March 18] In a surprise turn of events, Deshaun Watson has chosen the Cleveland Browns as the team he will waive his no-trade clause to be dealt to Cleveland. The Browns’ Super Bowl odds have improved from +4000 to +2000 with the move, with the early reports saying Cleveland will give up three first-round picks and then two more mid-round picks. Cleveland is now a top ten Super Bowl contender based on the betting odds at the moment. New Orleans and Atlanta, the two teams believed to be the preferred destinations for Watson, see their odds fade dramatically as they miss out on a new QB.
• [March 17] Green Bay’s Super Bowl odds have not moved much after agreeing to trade star receiver Davante Adams to the Las Vegas Raiders. The Packers went from +1100 to +1200 to win the Super Bowl. Las Vegas’ odds only improved from +6000 to +5000. With the Chargers adding star corner JC Jackson in free agency and trading for Khalil Mack, their Super Bowl odds have steadily improved from +2000 to +1600. Their movement has caused Denver’s odds to win the Super Bowl to fade a little too. New Orleans has seen major movement, going from +5000 to +1800, thanks to the Saints appearing to be the front-runners to acquire Texans QB Deshaun Watson. The Falcons have also seen their odds go from +8000 to +3000 while they remain the other team in the Watson sweepstakes.
• [March 13] Tom Brady has announced he will be unretiring and returning to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the 2022-23 NFL season. Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl odds had gotten as long as +2800 with Brady believed to be gone. But the Bucs’ odds to win Super Bowl 57 are now as short as +750 at DraftKings, tied for the second-best odds on the board at that sportsbook. If you’re looking to bet the Bucs, you’ll want to do it at Caesars Sportsbook, where they can still be found at +1000 odds.
• [March 8] The Green Bay Packers’ Super Bowl odds improved from +1500 to +1000 after Aaron Rodgers announced he will be returning to the team on a four-year, $200 million deal. The Packers are now given the best odds to win the Super Bowl among NFC teams, surpassing the Rams today. The Denver Broncos also saw their Super Bowl odds improve, going from +2200 to +1400, thanks to a blockbuster trade that sees them acquire Russell Wilson from the Seahawks in exchange for multiple first-round picks and Drew Lock. The Broncos are now tied for the fifth-best odds to win the Super Bowl. After trading Wilson away, the Seahawks’ Super Bowl odds faded from +4000 to +7500.
• [February 13] The LA Rams won the 2022 Super Bowl, but did not see any notable line movement for 2023 from it.
• [February 10] With Tom Brady announcing his retirement, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers saw their 2023 Super Bowl odds plummet from +1000 to +2200. They remain among the top ten contenders for now, but could quickly fall out if they are unable to bring in a quality quarterback or retain some key free agents. The Denver Broncos saw their Super Bowl odds improve from +3500 to +2000 after naming Nathaniel Hackett, Green Bay’s former offensive coordinator, their new head coach, which has brought on even more Aaron Rodgers to Denver speculation.
• [January 24] Early Super Bowl 57 odds have opened with the Kansas City Chiefs once again being listed as the favorites. This is their fourth straight season opening as the Super Bowl favorites. The Buffalo Bills opened with the second-best Super Bowl odds, while the Packers and Buccaneers are tied for the best odds among NFC teams at +1000.

Super Bowl Trends

Here are some Super Bowl trends to consider before placing any wagers:

• The AFC has won five of the last eight Super Bowls
• The Patriots, Broncos, or Chiefs have represented the AFC in eight of the last nine Super Bowls; Cincinnati broke the streak in 2022
• The New England Patriots have represented the AFC in four of the last eight Super Bowls, winning three of them
• The AFC’s top seed has advanced to the Super Bowl in six of the last nine seasons; the no. 2 seed has advanced in two of the last four seasons
• From 2004 to 2019, the starting quarterback for the AFC was either Tom Brady (8), Peyton Manning (4), or Ben Roethlisberger (3) in 15 of the 16 Super Bowls. Joe Flacco was the only other AFC QB to start a Super Bowl in that span. It has now been Patrick Mahomes in two of the last three seasons.
• The Seattle Seahawks are the only NFC team to appear in back-to-back Super Bowls (Super Bowls 48 & 49) since the Green Bay Packers in Super Bowls 31 & 32
• The NFC North has not represented the NFC in the Super Bowl since SB 45 (Green Bay)
• Five of the last nine NFC teams to play in the Super Bowl were the top seed in the conference – Atlanta in Super Bowl 51, Los Angeles in Super Bowl 53, Tampa Bay in Super Bowl 55, and Los Angeles in Super Bowl 56 were not
• The NFC West has sent a team to the Super Bowl in six of the last ten years

Past Super Bowl Winners

The Kansas City Chiefs, who have opened as the favorites, or co-favorites at some sportsbooks, to win Super Bowl 57, have played in two of the last three Super Bowls, winning Super Bowl 54 over the 49ers, but losing Super Bowl 55 to the Buccaneers.

Super Bowl Championships & Appearances

Here are some fun Super Bowl facts:

• Only one team in the AFC South has ever won a Super Bowl: the Indianapolis Colts. All seven other divisions have at least two Super Bowl-winning teams.
• Since moving back to Oakland (from Los Angeles) in 1995, the franchise has not won a Super Bowl and has only made the playoffs five times in those 27 years. The move to Las Vegas has changed their luck a little, as they made the 2022 NFL playoffs.
• The NFC East is the only division where every team has won a Super Bowl.
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers became the only team to win a home Super Bowl in 2021. Tom Brady led the Bucs to a victory in Super Bowl 56, which was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, Florida. But the LA Rams followed suit in 2022, winning Super Bowl 56 at SoFi Stadium, which is where they played their home games all season.
• The Buffalo Bills were the last non-Patriots AFC East team to play in a Super Bowl, dating back to the 1993 season (Super Bowl 28) when they lost in their fourth consecutive appearance.

Teams Without a Super Bowl

The Cardinals, Bills, Bengals, and Titans all made the playoffs last season, but all fell short. Cincinnati made it all the way to Super Bowl 56, but couldn’t get it done, losing to the Rams.

Archived Super Bowl Odds: 56, 55, 54, 53, 52