Updated Super Bowl 53 Odds Tracker
- See how online sports betting sites feel about all 32 teams’ Super Bowl 53 chances
- Isolate each team or compare them to others trending in the same direction
- Find great betting trends and useful stats for each team
With a league chock-full of parity and each team only playing 16 games during the NFL’s regular season, one free agent/draft pick or win/loss can dramatically impact a team’s Super Bowl odds. If you want a visual depiction of that impact, you’ve come to the right place.
We are tracking the Super Bowl 53 odds for all 32 teams in the NFL all season long, from the moment they become available. The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated after each week.
Top Super Bowl Contenders
Yet again, the New England Patriots opened the season as Super Bowl favorites. Their +475 average odds to win Super Bowl 53 (on February 5th) are even shorter than what they opened at last year to win Super Bowl 52: +525 average odds.
Bovada’s Super Bowl 53 Odds
|Team||2018 Record||Odds to win Super Bowl 53 at Bovada (11/13/18)|
|Los Angeles Rams||9-1||+325|
|New Orleans Saints||8-1||+400|
|Kansas City Chiefs||9-1||+500|
|New England Patriots||7-3||+550|
*Follow the link in the table for all Super Bowl 53 betting options
Here are some more notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 53:
- [11/13/18] The Patriots are not among the top three contenders for the first time this year
- [11/06/18] The Rams remain Super Bowl favorites even after losing to the New Orleans Saints in Week 9
- [09/25/18] Online sports betting sites are believing in the Chiefs, as they now have the best odds in the AFC to win Super Bowl 53
- [09/18/18] For the first time this year, the Patriots are not Super Bowl 53 favorites; the Rams have now taken that title
Top AFC Super Bowl Contenders
Since the Patriots defeated the Chiefs, 43-40, on Sunday Night Football of Week 6, New England has remained the favorite among AFC teams to win Super Bowl 53.
Here are some AFC specific Super Bowl trends to consider:
- The AFC has won four of the last six Super Bowls
- The Patriots or Broncos have represented the AFC in each of the last five Super Bowls
- The AFC’s top seed has advanced to the Super Bowl each of the last five years – the Ravens were the last non-one-seed
- In the last 15 Super Bowls, the starting quarterback for the AFC has been either Tom Brady (7), Peyton Manning (4), Ben Roethlisberger (3), or Joe Flacco (1)
The New England Patriots have now represented the AFC in three of the last four Super Bowls, winning two of them. The Buffalo Bills were the last non-Patriots AFC East team to play in a Super Bowl, dating back to the 1993 season (Super Bowl 28) when they lost in their fourth consecutive appearance.
Don’t expect any of the Bills, New York Jets, or Miami Dolphins to change that this season. They’ve made their intentions clear: they don’t want to compete against Brady anymore, opting to rebuild for his retirement.
|AFC East Team||Super Bowl Championships||SB Appearances||Last SB Championship||Last SB Appearance|
|New England Patriots||5||10||Super Bowl 51||Super Bowl 52|
|Miami Dolphins||2||5||Super Bowl 8||Super Bowl 19|
|New York Jets||1||1||Super Bowl 3||Super Bowl 3|
|Buffalo Bills||0||4||N/A||Super Bowl 28|
Betting sites strongly believe the Pittsburgh Steelers will claim their third straight AFC North title. The most interesting story in the division, though, was the heightened expectations of the Cleveland Browns entering the season.
The Browns did not have the longest odds to win the Super Bowl in the division to open the season, as that honor went to the Cincinnati Bengals. It didn’t take long for things to change back to normal, though.
|AFC North Team||Super Bowl Championships||SB Appearances||Last SB Championship||Last SB Appearance|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||6||8||Super Bowl 43||Super Bowl 45|
|Baltimore Ravens||2||2||Super Bowl 42||Super Bowl 42|
|Cincinnati Bengals||0||0||N/A||Super Bowl 23|
Only one team in the AFC South has ever won a Super Bowl: the Indianapolis Colts.
All seven other divisions have at least two Super Bowl-winning teams. But both the Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans appear to be taking the proper steps towards changing that.
|AFC South Team||Super Bowl Championships||SB Appearances||Last SB Championship||Last SB Appearance|
|Indianapolis Colts||2||4||Super Bowl 41||Super Bowl 44|
|Tennessee Titans||0||1||N/A||Super Bowl 34|
Of the eight divisions, the AFC West was expected to be the most competitive in 2018. But a red hot Kansas City Chiefs team and some awful performances from the Raiders and Broncos has certainly changed that.
One interesting note on the Raiders: since moving back to Oakland (from Los Angeles) in 1995, the franchise has not won a Super Bowl and has only made the playoffs four times in those 23 years.
|AFC West Team||Super Bowl Championships||SB Appearances||Last SB Championship||Last SB Appearance|
|Denver Broncos||3||8||Super Bowl 50||Super Bowl 50|
|Oakland Raiders||3||5||Super Bowl 18||Super Bowl 37|
|Kansas City Chiefs||1||2||SUper Bowl 4||Super Bowl 4|
|Los Angeles Chargers||0||1||N/A||Super Bowl 29|
Top NFC Super Bowl Contenders
The NFC race looks very interesting after the Los Angeles Rams suffered their first loss of the season in New Orleans. The Saints have pulled awfully close to the Rams, while the Vikings, Panthers, and Eagles are all threats.
Here are some NFC-specific trends to consider before betting:
- The Seattle Seahawks are the only NFC team to appear in back-to-back Super Bowls (Super Bowls 48 & 49) since the Green Bay Packers in Super Bowls 31 & 32
- The NFC North has not represented the NFC in the Super Bowl since SB 45 (Green Bay)
- Four of the last five NFC teams to play in the Super Bowl were the top seed in the conference – Atlanta in Super Bowl 51 was not
The NFC East can thank the Philadelphia Eagles for winning their first Super Bowl last season, which gave the division the great honor of being the first with four Super Bowl winners.
|NFC East Team||Super Bowl Championships||SB Appearances||Last SB Championship||Last SB Appearance|
|Dallas Cowboys||5||8||Super Bowl 30||Super Bowl 30|
|New York Giants||4||5||Super Bowl 46||Super Bowl 46|
|Washington||3||5||Super Bowl 26||Super Bowl 26|
|Philadelphia Eagles||1||3||Super Bowl 52||Super Bowl 52|
The Vikings and Packers have not entered into a two-team race in the NFC North as we all expected. Instead, the Bears currently lead the division, as the Packers are starting to get a little desperate.
|NFC North Team||Super Bowl Championships||SB Appearances||Last SB Championship||Last SB Appearance|
|Green Bay Packers||4||5||Super Bowl 45||Super Bowl 41|
|Chicago Bears||1||2||Super Bowl 20||Super Bowl 46|
|Minnesota Vikings||0||4||N/A||Super Bowl 11|
The NFC South sent three teams to the 2017 NFL Playoffs, with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers serving as the odd-man out. This could be the case again in 2018 if the Falcons can continue piling up some wins.
The Carolina Panthers are the only team to repeat as NFC South champions, winning the division three years in a row from 2013-2015.
|NFC South Team||Super Bowl Championships||SB Appearances||Last SB Championship||Last SB Appearance|
|New Orleans Saints||1||1||Super Bowl 44||Super Bowl 44|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||1||1||Super Bowl 37||Super Bowl 37|
|Atlanta Falcons||0||2||N/A||Super Bowl 51|
|Carolina Panthers||0||2||N/A||Super Bowl 50|
For the first time since 2012, the Seattle Seahawks did not open the season with the shortest average odds to win the Super Bowl, among NFC West teams.
Seattle dismantled the defense they have hung their hat on over the last seven years, but the unit is still performing at a great level. We can’t say the same about their offense, though.
|NFC West Team||Super Bowl Championships||SB Appearances||Last SB Championship||Last SB Appearance|
|San Francisco 49ers||5||6||Super Bowl 29||Super Bowl 47|
|Los Angeles Rams||1||3||Super Bowl 34||Super Bowl 36|
|Seattle Seahawks||1||3||Super Bowl 48||Super Bowl 49|
|Arizona Cardinals||0||1||N/A||Super Bowl 43|
Teams Without a Super Bowl
Here’s a full list of all the NFL franchises who have never won a Super Bowl:
|Team||Years in Super Bowl era NFL||Super Bowl Appearances||Closest They’ve Come|
|Arizona Cardinals||52||1||Lost 27-23 to PIT in Super Bowl 43|
|Atlanta Falcons||52||2||Lost 34-28 in OT to NE in Super Bowl 51|
|Buffalo Bills||52||4||Missed Game-Winning FG to lose 20-19 to NYG in Super Bowl 25|
|Carolina Panthers||24||2||Lost 32-29 to NE in Super Bowl 38 on a last-second FG|
|Cincinnati Bengals||51||2||Lost 20-16 to SF in Super Bowl 23|
|Cleveland Browns||52||0||Lost 23-20 in 1986 AFC Champ to DEN – “The Drive”|
|Detroit Lions||52||0||Lost 41-10 in their only NFC Champ game|
|Houston Texans||17||0||Lost 20-13 to BAL in 2011 AFC Divisional Round|
|Jacksonville Jaguars||24||0||Lost 24-20 to NE in 2017 AFC Champ game|
|Los Angeles Chargers||52||1||Lost 49-26 to SF in Super Bowl 29|
|Minnesota Vikings||52||4||Lost 16-6 to PIT in Super Bowl 9|
|Tennessee Titans||52||1||Lost 23-16 to STL in Super Bowl 34|
2017 AFC Playoff Teams
If we judge based solely on the average odds for each team to win Super Bowl 53, the AFC would have two new playoff teams in 2018. With Deshaun Watson and (most likely) Andrew Luck returning, betting sites do not like Tennessee’s chances in the AFC South.
And after the Bills miraculously ended what was the longest playoff drought in the four major North American sports last year, sportsbooks certainly did not feel trading away Tyrod Taylor was a move in the direction of making it back-to-back playoff appearances.
2017 NFC Playoff Teams
According to the odds, we’ll just be swapping out the Carolina Panthers for the Green Bay Packers on the NFC side of the 2018 NFL Playoffs. Had Aaron Rodgers not gotten injured in Week 6 of the 2017 season, it’s likely Green Bay would have been a part of the 2017 playoffs, as well.
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