Super Bowl 58 Odds for 2024: 49ers Are New Favorites After Dominant Start

• See the latest 2024 Super Bowl odds for all 32 teams
• Track the Super Bowl 58 odds movement all offseason
• The San Francisco 49ers have taken over as the Super Bowl favorites 

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This page tracks the past and current Super Bowl 58 odds for all 32 teams in the NFL over the course of the 2023-24 NFL season.

The graph below is generated by averaging the odds to win the Super Bowl from multiple sports betting apps and will be updated after each week. Super Bowl 58 will take place on February 11, 2023, at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada. This marks the first time Nevada will host the big game. Check out the latest odds to win the Super Bowl below.

Super Bowl Odds

The Chiefs opened as the favorites to win Super Bowl 58, spent the entire offseason as the favorites, but we now see the San Francisco 49ers as the Super Bowl favorites after Sunday of Week 1.

The Niners looked very good in their 30-7 win over the Steelers. The San Francisco defense only allowed 239 total yards and their offense put up 20 points in the first half (when the game was still competitive). Their win over the Rams in Week 2 wasn’t as convincing, but a win is a win.

The Chiefs head into Week 3 at 1-1 and although the Eagles are 2-0, they haven’t looked like the same team who was a couple plays away from winning last year’s Super Bowl.

You can see the current Super Bowl odds for 2024 below, and track how all 32 teams’ odds have changed throughout the course of the 2023-24 NFL season with the graph above.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 58

The 49ers are currently listed as the favorites to win Super Bowl 58 with +650 odds. San Francisco overtook Kansas City for the best Super Bowl odds after Sunday of Week 1. Based off those odds, the 49ers’ implied probability to win the Super Bowl is 13.3%. If you placed a $20 bet on San Francisco to win, your potential profit would be $130 with you returning $150.

Other top Super Bowl favorites include the Chiefs, Eagles, Cowboys, Bills, and Dolphins.

The Houston Texans, unsurprisingly, opened with the worst odds to win the Super Bowl. However, the Cardinals took over the worst odds prior to the season kicking off and remain at the bottom of the board with +40000 odds. Houston has joined them at +40000 after Week 2.

These Super Bowl 58 odds will continue to be quite volatile through the first few weeks of the 2023-24 NFL season, as we start to figure out who each team is this year.

*Odds as of September 19 at DraftKings Sportsbook; if you’re new to DraftKings, be sure to claim the best DraftKings promo when signing up.

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Super Bowl Odds Movement

Here are some notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 58:

• [September 18] After a concerning 0-2 start to the 2023-24 NFL season, the Bengals have seen their Super Bowl 58 odds fall to +1800, which still puts them in a tie for the eighth-best odds on the board.
• [September 12] As we all await the likely and very unfortunate confirmation that Aaron Rodgers tore his Achilles four plays into his Jets debut, sportsbooks moved the Jets’ Super Bowl 58 odds from +1800 to +2500 Monday night. *Now that it is confirmed to be a torn Achilles, they are down to +6000*. The Bills, who lost to the Aaron Rodgers-less Jets in Week 1, have seen their odds fade from +800 to +1100.
• [September 10] The San Francisco 49ers have taken over as Super Bowl 58 favorites after Sunday of Week 1. Their Super Bowl 58 odds improved from +1000 to +475 after a truly dominant performance against the Steelers. Dallas also put forth an incredible performance in Week 1, shutting out the Giants 40-0, and saw their odds improve from +1400 to +1000. Miami also saw notable improvement to their Super Bowl odds, as they moved from +2500 to +1700 after a thrilling win over the Chargers. On the other end, we saw the Bengals only fade from +1100 to +1400 after looking awful in a bad loss to Cleveland.
• [September 8] After losing to the Lions in the 2023-24 NFL season opener, the Chiefsare now co-favorites to win the Super Bowl alongside the Eagles. We did not see their odds fade until Friday morning, as they remained the favorites throughout Thursday night. It should be noted Kansas City was without Travis Kelce and Chris Jones. Plus, Kadarius Toney played one of the worst games we’ve seen from a wide receiver in recent memory. The Lions, on the other hand, saw their Super Bowl 58 odds improve from +2200 to +1700 with the win.
• [August 16] The Jets’ Super Bowl odds haven’t moved much at all after signing free agent running back Dalvin Cook.
• [July 24] Despite signing free agent wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins, the Titans odds actually got worse, going from an average of +7750 to +8120. Sportsbooks and bettors obviously don’t feel Hopkins moves the needle in Tennessee.
• [May 10] Heading into the NFL Draft, the Seahawks saw their Super Bowl odds improve dramatically, going from +6500 to +4250. Without any major move of their own to point to, I believe this was just due to the Rams trading off Jalen Ramsey, and potentially preparing for a bit of a rebuild, as well as the uncertainty around San Francisco QB Brock Purdy’s availability for Week 1 (and beyond). After Seattle landed both Devon Witherspoon and Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the first-round of the 2023 NFL Draft, their Super Bowl odds continued to improve, landing at +3500.
• [April 28] The Ravens and Lamar Jackson have agreed to a five-year extension, keeping the 2019 NFL MVP in Baltimore. Their Super Bowl odds opened at +2800 due to the uncertainty around whether Jackson would remain in town, but are now continuing to steadily improve at +2150.
• [April 24] The Jets’ Super Bowl odds improved from +1500 to +1400 after finalizing a trade to acquire Aaron Rodgers. The odds only shifted slightly because sportsbooks had already made the adjustment based on Rodgers being a Jet. After the former Packers QB said he wanted to be traded to the Jets, sportsbooks adjusted, knowing it was only a matter of time before the trade was official. The Packers saw more significant movement after the trade, fading from +3500 to +5000 with Jordan Love now taking over under center.
• [March 13] An early report has suggested Aaron Rodgers has been traded to the Jets, but the news has yet to be confirmed. That has not stopped the Jets’ Super Bowl odds from continuing to improve, though, as they have now gone from +1800 to +1500. A fellow AFC East team also made a splash, as Miami traded for cornerback Jalen Ramsey. The Dolphins’ odds to win the Super Bowl went from +3000 to +2500 after the move.
• [March 10] The Chicago Bears’ Super Bowl odds improved from +7000 to +5500 after trading the first-overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft to the Panthers for a massive haul that included two first-round picks (one from this year’s draft), two second-round picks, and receiver DJ Moore. They’re not seen as contenders yet, but sportsbooks felt this was a strong move in the right direction, especially with Aaron Rodgers reportedly leaving the division.
• [March 8] The Jets’ Super Bowl odds opened at +4000 but have since improved to +1800 after the Packers have granted Aaron Rodgers permission to speak with New York.
• [March 6] The Saints’ Super Bowl odds went from +4250 to +3750 after signing Derek Carr.
• [February 12] After winning Super Bowl 57, the Chiefs’ odds moved from +550 to +600 to win Super Bowl 58. They open the favorites yet again.
• [February 1] Tom Brady has again announced his retirement from the NFL, this time saying it is for real. Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl odds had opened at +3500, but have now plummeted to as long as +6500 following Brady’s announcement.
• [January 31] Denver’s 2024 Super Bowl odds opened at +4000, but improved to as short as +2800 after trading for former Saints head coach Sean Payton. The new head coach will be tasked with fixing Russell Wilson and the pitiful offense the Broncos put on the field last season.
• [January 23] Early Super Bowl 58 odds opened with the Chiefs listed as +550 favorites, followed by the Bills, 49ers, and Eagles.

2024 Super Bowl Favorites

The early favorites to win Super Bowl 58 basically mimic the teams who we saw thrive last season. We have the 49ers, Eagles, Chiefs, Bills, and Cowboys as the top five contenders to win the 2024 Super Bowl. The Bengals, Lions, Dolphins, Jets, and Ravens round out the top ten contenders. You can read a little more on each of the Super Bowl favorites below:

San Francisco 49ers

After a rollercoaster of an offseason that saw an apparent battle for the starting QB position between Brock Purdy, whose status for Week 1 was uncertain for most of the summer after needing surgery on his elbow, and Trey Lance, the 49ers came out of the gate red hot. San Francisco hammered the Steelers 30-7 and looked dominant on both sides of the ball.

Their defense looks just as good, if not better, than last season, and their offense looks lethal with Christian McCaffrey getting an offseason with the team.

The 49ers’ Super Bowl odds opened at +750, the third-best on the board, slipped a little to +1000, the fourth-best odds, before the season kicked off, but are now +475, the best odds to win the Super Bowl.

Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles entered the 2023 offseason with many question marks on defense. The team had a lot of free agents to take care of on that side of the ball. While they did lose Javon Hargrave, CJ Gardner-Johnson, Marcus Epps, and TJ Edwards, Philadelphia managed to re-sign James Bradberry while adding Jalen Carter and Terrell Edmunds.

The team also let Miles Sanders walk in free agency, opting to trade for D’Andre Swift and sign Rashaad Penny to fill their running back room. The Eagles have had a fantastic offseason and are going to be tough for anyone to deal with. But their Week 1 performance wasn’t overly impressive, especially what we saw from their offense as they only totaled 251 yards and went 4-13 on third downs.

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City is fresh off another Super Bowl victory, marking their second Super Bowl championship in the last four years, and third appearance in that same time.

The Chiefs, once again, opened as the favorites to win the Super Bowl. This marks the fourth straight season the Chiefs have at least opened as the co-favorite to win the Super Bowl. They will be attempting to repeat as champs without their two starting offensive tackles from last season. They will be counting on Donovan Smith and Jawaan Taylor to fill those gaps. Neither of them looked great in their Week 1 loss to the Lions, but the bigger concerns leaving the game were around the Chiefs’ inability to catch the ball.

Travis Kelce did sit out but they will need one of Kadarius Toney or Skyy Moore to step up and be a reliable target – or we’ll see Rashee Rice and Justyn Ross given opportunities.

Buffalo Bills

The Bills likely peaked too early last season. They are undoubtedly one of the most talented teams in football, but they were in a major decline over the final couple months of the season. There are many possible reasons as to why—extremely traumatic experience with Damar Hamlin’s life in jeopardy, Josh Allen’s elbow injury, Von Miller lost to injury midway through the season—but they will need to avoid that in 2023 if they want a chance at knocking off the Chiefs in the AFC.

Buffalo’s Super Bowl odds opened at +700, the second-best in the league, but have since faded slightly to +900.

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys let two of their top offensive players go this offseason in Ezekiel Elliott and Dalton Schultz. They also moved on from OC Kellen Moore and named Brian Schottenheimer their new offensive coordinator. After finishing fourth in points scored last year and fifth in points allowed, the key to contending for Super Bowl 58 will be keeping Dak Prescott’s interceptions to a minimum.

Dallas’ odds to win the Super Bowl are currently listed at +1000, the fifth-best on the board.

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have been knocking on the door the past two seasons, losing to the Rams in Super Bowl 56 and losing to the Chiefs in last year’s AFC Championship. Heading into the 2023-24 NFL season, Cincinnati kept their core offensive talent while adding Orlando Brown Jr to help protect Joe Burrow’s backside.

The Bengals have seemed to be the one team who can consistently play with the Chiefs in the AFC. Their Super Bowl odds are listed at +1400, the sixth-best on the board. They slipped a bit after an awful showing in Cleveland Week 1.

New York Jets

It has been a while since we have talked about the New York Jets as Super Bowl contenders, but that’s what happens when you bring in four-time NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers. The Jets were the fourth-best defense in the league last year and simply lacked offense. Zach Wilson, who started nine games last season, has proven he is not ready to lead a contender.

In comes Aaron Rodgers, who will have a lot of weapons around him, including last year’s NFL OROY Garrett Wilson and a backfield consisting of Breece Hall and Dalvin Cook, and the Jets are going to be a tough out. Their odds to win the Super Bowl are listed at +1800, the ninth-best on the board.

Who Is Predicted to Win Super Bowl 58?

The answer you’ll get to, “who is predicted to win Super Bowl 58?” just depends who you ask. If you ask sportsbooks, the answer is now the San Francisco 49ers, who are given +475 odds as the favorite, which comes out to a 17.4% chance the Niners win the Super Bowl. Prior to Week 1, the sportsbooks were answering that question with the Chiefs.

If you ask bettors, they would say the Bengals or Jets are predicted to win Super Bowl 58. The two teams are tied for the biggest percentage of the total Super Bowl betting handle. The Chiefs and Bengals are tied for the most bets placed on them, though.

Who Will Win Super Bowl 58?

If you’re basing this on the odds, then the San Francisco 49ers will win Super Bowl 58.

There are two trends from my NFL Power Rankings that say only the following seven teams have a chance to win Super Bowl:

1. Cincinnati Bengals
2. Philadelphia Eagles
3. San Francisco 49ers
4. Buffalo Bills
5. Jacksonville Jaguars
6. Baltimore Ravens
7. Dallas Cowboys

When it comes to who I think will win Super Bowl 58, I can tell you my money is on the San Francisco 49ers. I also really like the Philadelphia Eagles’ chances of winning Super Bowl 58. I think Kansas City will suffer a bit of a setback after losing both their offensive tackles from last season, while both the Niners and Eagles’ defensive lines arguably got better. The 49ers offer a little better value at their pre-Week 1 odds of +1000.

Even if Brock Purdy isn’t as good as he was last year, San Francisco has the best play-caller in the league and a ridiculously talented group of weapons around Purdy. I think the Niners are the only defense in the league who can slow Hurts in the NFC and believe they’d give Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs a lot of trouble if they were to meet in the Super Bowl.

What’s the Spread for Super Bowl 58?

Since we don’t know the two teams playing in Super Bowl 58 yet, and won’t for a few months, there is no specific spread for the Super Bowl yet. Some sportsbooks have opened a line between the two conferences, though. That line has the AFC -2.5 over the NFC in the Super Bowl, making the AFC the favorites.

Super Bowl Trends

Here are some Super Bowl trends to consider before placing any wagers:

• The AFC has won six of the last nine Super Bowls
• The Patriots, Broncos, or Chiefs have represented the AFC in nine of the last ten Super Bowls; Cincinnati broke the streak in 2022
• The New England Patriots have represented the AFC in four of the last nine Super Bowls, winning three of them
• The AFC’s top seed has advanced to the Super Bowl in seven of the last ten seasons; the no. 2 seed has advanced in two of the last five seasons
• From 2004 to 2019, the starting quarterback for the AFC was either Tom Brady (8), Peyton Manning (4), or Ben Roethlisberger (3) in 15 of the 16 Super Bowls. Joe Flacco was the only other AFC QB to start a Super Bowl in that span. It has now been Patrick Mahomes in three of the last four seasons.
• The Seattle Seahawks are the only NFC team to appear in back-to-back Super Bowls (Super Bowls 48 & 49) since the Green Bay Packers in Super Bowls 31 & 32
• The NFC North has not represented the NFC in the Super Bowl since SB 45 (Green Bay)
• Six of the last ten NFC teams to play in the Super Bowl were the top seed in the conference – Atlanta in Super Bowl 51, Los Angeles in Super Bowl 53, Tampa Bay in Super Bowl 55, and Los Angeles in Super Bowl 56 were not
• The NFC West has sent a team to the Super Bowl in six of the last 11 years

Past Super Bowl Winners

The Kansas City Chiefs, who opened as the favorites to win Super Bowl 57, have played in three of the last four Super Bowls, winning two of them, including the most recent one over the Eagles.

Looking for a full list of historical Super Bowl betting results and odds?

Super Bowl Championships & Appearances

Here are some fun Super Bowl facts:

• Only one team in the AFC South has ever won a Super Bowl: the Indianapolis Colts. All seven other divisions have at least two Super Bowl-winning teams.
• Since moving back to Oakland (from Los Angeles) in 1995, the franchise has not won a Super Bowl and has only made the playoffs five times in those 27 years. The move to Las Vegas has changed their luck a little, as they made the 2022 NFL playoffs.
• The NFC East is the only division where every team has won a Super Bowl.
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers became the only team to win a home Super Bowl in 2021. Tom Brady led the Bucs to a victory in Super Bowl 56, which was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, Florida. But the LA Rams followed suit in 2022, winning Super Bowl 56 at SoFi Stadium, which is where they played their home games all season.
• The Buffalo Bills were the last non-Patriots AFC East team to play in a Super Bowl, dating back to the 1993 season (Super Bowl 28) when they lost in their fourth consecutive appearance.

Teams Without a Super Bowl

The Bills, Bengals, Vikings, Chargers, and Jaguars all made the playoffs last season, but all fell short. Cincinnati made it all the way to the AFC Championship, narrowly losing to the Chiefs.

Super Bowl Odds FAQ

What are the odds on Super Bowl 58?

The San Francisco 49ers are given +475 odds to win the Super Bowl following their Week 1 dominance, making them the favorites. They are followed by the Eagles (+650), Chiefs (+700), Bills (+900), Cowboys (+1000), Bengals (+1400), Lions (+1700), and Dolphins (+1700).

Who won Super Bowl 2023?

The Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35 in Super Bowl 57. It was arguably one of the most entertaining Super Bowls of all-time, as the two teams exchanged blow after blow and the game came right down to the wire.

Where can I bet on Super Bowl 58?

As long as you are physically present in a legal betting state, all online sportsbooks have opened Super Bowl 58 odds for the public to start betting. These states include, but are not limited to, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Kansas, Arizona, Ohio, Massachusetts, and more.

Who is favored to win the Super Bowl 2024?

The Chiefs opened as the favorites to win the 2024 Super Bowl, but have seen the 49ers take over as the Super Bowl favorites after Week 1. San Francisco is given +475 Super Bowl odds. This means a $20 bet on the Niners would win $95 and return $115.

When is the best time to bet on a Super Bowl winner?

The best time to bet on a Super Bowl winner is when their odds are the longest, so your payout is the greatest it can be. Determining when their odds will be the longest can be quite difficult, however. If you're betting one of the favorites, you may want to look ahead in their schedule and find a tough stretch of games. If they lose one, or multiple, their Super Bowl odds will likely worsen, meaning you'd get a better payout if they win. If you're betting a bit of a dark horse, you may want to place the bet before the season starts when they are still getting longer odds. Once the world sees how good they are and the team starts winning some games, their odds to win will only get better, meaning your payout will get worse.

Where is Super Bowl 2024?

Super Bowl 2024 will be played at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada. This is the home of the Las Vegas Raiders.

What states can I bet the Super Bowl online?

You can legally bet the Super Bowl online in the following states: Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Connecticut, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington DC, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Kentucky and (likely) North Carolina will also be added to that list ahead of Super Bowl 58.

 

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Archived Super Bowl Odds: 57, 56, 55, 54, 53, 52