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Tom Brady, Jared Goff, Drew Brees, and Patrick Mahomes are all chasing Super Bowl 54

  • See the most recent Super Bowl 54 odds for all 32 teams
  • Isolate each team or compare them to others trending in the same direction
  • Track each team’s odds movement throughout the year

With a league chock-full of parity and each team only playing 16 games during the NFL’s regular season, one free agent/draft pick or win/loss can dramatically impact a team’s Super Bowl odds. If you want a visual depiction of that impact, you’ve come to the right place.

We are tracking the Super Bowl 54 odds for all 32 teams in the NFL all season long, from the moment they become available. The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated after each week.

Top Contenders

Bovada’s Super Bowl 54 Odds

Team 2018 Record Odds to win Super Bowl 54 at Bovada (Mar 13, 2019)
New England Patriots 11-5 +700
Kansas City Chiefs 12-4 +750
Los Angeles Rams 13-3 +800
New Orleans Saints 13-3 +900
Cleveland Browns 7-8-1 +1400

*Follow the link in the table for all Super Bowl 54 betting options

Here are some more notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 54:

  • [03/13/19] The Cleveland Browns are tied with the Chicago Bears for the fifth-best odds to win Super Bowl 54
  • [02/04/19] Since winning Super Bowl 53, the New England Patriots have now claimed the title of Super Bowl 54 favorites
  • [01/16/19] The Kansas City Chiefs opened as the favorites for Super Bowl 54

Top AFC Super Bowl Contenders

The most noteworthy story here is the Cleveland Browns opening as a top six AFC contender for Super Bowl 54. Yes, the Cleveland Browns.

Here are some AFC specific Super Bowl trends to consider:

  • The AFC has won five of the last seven Super Bowls
  • The Patriots or Broncos have represented the AFC in each of the last six Super Bowls
  • The AFC’s top seed has advanced to the Super Bowl in five of the last six seasons – the Patriots were the 2-seed last season
  • In the last 16 Super Bowls, the starting quarterback for the AFC has been either Tom Brady (8), Peyton Manning (4), Ben Roethlisberger (3), or Joe Flacco (1)

 

AFC East

The New England Patriots have now represented the AFC in four of the last five Super Bowls, winning three of them.

No team in the AFC East is believed to be ready to dethrone them, as none of the other three opened with odds better than 66-1.

The Buffalo Bills were the last non-Patriots AFC East team to play in a Super Bowl, dating back to the 1993 season (Super Bowl 28) when they lost in their fourth consecutive appearance.

AFC East Team Super Bowl Championships SB Appearances Last SB Championship Last SB Appearance
New England Patriots 6 11 Super Bowl 53 Super Bowl 53
Miami Dolphins 2 5 Super Bowl 8 Super Bowl 19
New York Jets 1 1 Super Bowl 3 Super Bowl 3
Buffalo Bills 0 4 N/A Super Bowl 28

AFC North

For the second straight year, the Cleveland Browns have not opened with the longest odds to win the Super Bowl among AFC North teams. That title belongs to the Cincinnati Bengals again.

And since opening, the Browns now have better odds than the Baltimore Ravens, as well.

AFC North Team Super Bowl Championships SB Appearances Last SB Championship Last SB Appearance
Pittsburgh Steelers 6 8 Super Bowl 43 Super Bowl 45
Baltimore Ravens 2 2 Super Bowl 42 Super Bowl 42
Cincinnati Bengals 0 0 N/A Super Bowl 23
Cleveland Browns 0 0 N/A N/A

AFC South

After entering the 2019 NFL Playoffs as one of the hottest teams in the league, the Indianapolis Colts have high expectations being placed on them in the 2019 NFL season.

Only one team in the AFC South has ever won a Super Bowl: the Indianapolis Colts. All seven other divisions have at least two Super Bowl-winning teams.

AFC South Team Super Bowl Championships SB Appearances Last SB Championship Last SB Appearance
Indianapolis Colts 2 4 Super Bowl 41 Super Bowl 44
Tennessee Titans 0 1 N/A Super Bowl 34
Houston Texans 0 0 N/A N/A
Jacksonville Jaguars 0 0 N/A N/A

AFC West

Online sports betting sites clearly believe we could be in for another tightly contested battle for the AFC West, as the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers each opened with rather short Super Bowl odds.

One interesting note on the Raiders: since moving back to Oakland (from Los Angeles) in 1995, the franchise has not won a Super Bowl and has only made the playoffs four times in those 24 years.

AFC West Team Super Bowl Championships SB Appearances Last SB Championship Last SB Appearance
Denver Broncos 3 8 Super Bowl 50 Super Bowl 50
Oakland Raiders 3 5 Super Bowl 18 Super Bowl 37
Kansas City Chiefs 1 2 SUper Bowl 4 Super Bowl 4
Los Angeles Chargers 0 1 N/A Super Bowl 29

Top NFC Super Bowl Contenders

In spite of their poor 2018 season, online sports betting sites refuse to leave Aaron Rodgers’ Green Bay Packers out of the top NFC contenders.

Here are some NFC-specific trends to consider before betting:

  • The Seattle Seahawks are the only NFC team to appear in back-to-back Super Bowls (Super Bowls 48 & 49) since the Green Bay Packers in Super Bowls 31 & 32
  • The NFC North has not represented the NFC in the Super Bowl since SB 45 (Green Bay)
  • Four of the last six NFC teams to play in the Super Bowl were the top seed in the conference – Atlanta in Super Bowl 51 and Los Angeles in Super Bowl 53 were not
  • The NFC West has sent a team to the Super Bowl in four of the last seven years

NFC East

For now, online sports betting sites have given the Philadelphia Eagles a slight advantage over the Dallas Cowboys.

The NFC East is the only division where every team has won a Super Bowl.

NFC East Team Super Bowl Championships SB Appearances Last SB Championship Last SB Appearance
Dallas Cowboys 5 8 Super Bowl 30 Super Bowl 30
New York Giants 4 5 Super Bowl 46 Super Bowl 46
Washington 3 5 Super Bowl 26 Super Bowl 26
Philadelphia Eagles 1 3 Super Bowl 52 Super Bowl 52

NFC North

For the first time in what seems like forever, neither the Green Bay Packers or Minnesota Vikings opened with the shortest Super Bowl odds among NFC North teams.

That title belongs to the Chicago Bears, who shocked the league last season, going 12-4 under first-year head coach Matt Nagy.

NFC North Team Super Bowl Championships SB Appearances Last SB Championship Last SB Appearance
Green Bay Packers 4 5 Super Bowl 45 Super Bowl 41
Chicago Bears 1 2 Super Bowl 20 Super Bowl 46
Minnesota Vikings 0 4 N/A Super Bowl 11
Detroit Lions 0 0 N/A N/A

NFC South

The NFC South sent three teams to the playoffs in 2017 and was believed to have three legitimate Super Bowl contenders last year. Expectations of the Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers have slipped in 2019, though.

The New Orleans Saints joined the Carolina Panthers as the only teams to repeat as NFC South champions. The Panthers did it three years in a row, though, winning from 2013-2015.

NFC South Team Super Bowl Championships SB Appearances Last SB Championship Last SB Appearance
New Orleans Saints 1 1 Super Bowl 44 Super Bowl 44
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1 1 Super Bowl 37 Super Bowl 37
Atlanta Falcons 0 2 N/A Super Bowl 51
Carolina Panthers 0 2 N/A Super Bowl 50

NFC West

For the second straight year, the Los Angeles Rams have opened with the shortest Super Bowl odds among NFC West teams.

Since opening, the San Francisco 49ers’ odds have shortened, overtaking the Seattle Seahawks for the second-shortest odds in the division.

NFC West Team Super Bowl Championships SB Appearances Last SB Championship Last SB Appearance
San Francisco 49ers 5 6 Super Bowl 29 Super Bowl 47
Los Angeles Rams 1 4 Super Bowl 34 Super Bowl 53
Seattle Seahawks 1 3 Super Bowl 48 Super Bowl 49
Arizona Cardinals 0 1 N/A Super Bowl 43

Teams Without a Super Bowl

Here’s a full list of all the NFL franchises who have never won a Super Bowl:

Team Years in Super Bowl era NFL Super Bowl Appearances Closest They’ve Come
Arizona Cardinals 52 1 Lost 27-23 to PIT in Super Bowl 43
Atlanta Falcons 52 2 Lost 34-28 in OT to NE in Super Bowl 51
Buffalo Bills 52 4 Missed Game-Winning FG to lose 20-19 to NYG in Super Bowl 25
Carolina Panthers 24 2 Lost 32-29 to NE in Super Bowl 38 on a last-second FG
Cincinnati Bengals 51 2 Lost 20-16 to SF in Super Bowl 23
Cleveland Browns 52 0 Lost 23-20 in 1986 AFC Champ to DEN – “The Drive”
Detroit Lions 52 0 Lost 41-10 in their only NFC Champ game
Houston Texans 17 0 Lost 20-13 to BAL in 2011 AFC Divisional Round
Jacksonville Jaguars 24 0 Lost 24-20 to NE in 2017 AFC Champ game
Los Angeles Chargers 52 1 Lost 49-26 to SF in Super Bowl 29
Minnesota Vikings 52 4 Lost 16-6 to PIT in Super Bowl 9
Tennessee Titans 52 1 Lost 23-16 to STL in Super Bowl 34

It looked like the Chargers and Vikings were gearing up to take a run at their first Super Bowl championships last year, but the Vikings offense was a mess, resulting in them regressing big time and missing the playoffs, while the Chargers choked again in the playoffs.


Archived Super Bowl Odds: 53, 52

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After receiving a bachelor's degree in communications, Matt spent two years with Rogers TV as a host, producer, and play-by-play commentator. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's editor-in-chief and sports betting expert.