Best NFL Parlay for Conference Championships
By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Published:
- I’ve put together a +550 parlay for Sunday’s Conference Championship slate
- Jarrett Stidham targeted running backs 21 times in two previous starts for Denver
- See my best NFL parlay picks for Sunday’s Conference Championship games, below
It’s Conference Championship weekend in the NFL, which marks the last Sunday for eight-plus months that we’ll see multiple NFL games on the same day.
To mark the occasion I’ve cooked up a +550 parlay featuring my favorite bets from both the Patriots vs Broncos, and Rams vs Seahawks matchups.
Below you’ll find my best NFL parlay for Sunday’s Conference Championship games, plus the analysis behind each selection.
Best NFL Parlay for Conference Championships
My best NFL parlay for the Conference Championships comes with +550 odds if you play it at bet365, which had (by far) the best odds at the time of writing. I also like betting each one of these legs individually, and you can check out our NFL player props page to find the best over/unders for that market.
SPORTSBOOK
Odds as of January 25th at bet365. Download the best NFL betting apps for the 2026 conference championships.
NFL Parlay Pick #1: RJ Harvey Receiving Yards
- RJ Harvey Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
My parlay starts with over 22.5 receiving yards for Denver’s RJ Harvey. The Broncos are allergic to running the football even in pristine matchups, so expecting a ton of rushing volume against the Pats elite run defense would be non sensical.
As good as New England is against running backs on the ground, they struggle to defend them through the air. The Pats allowed the fifth most catches to the position this season, while Harvey is fresh off a 5 reception, 46 yard performance versus the Bills.
Patriots Defense vs Running Backs
Harvey’s receiving volume is expected to increase on Sunday for a pair of reasons. JK Dobbins remains out which means Harvey will see the bulk of the RB snaps. Also working in his favor for a big receiving day is Jarrett Stidham under center.
Stidham has started two previous games in Denver with Sean Payton, and targeted his running backs on 21 of his 66 pass attempts.
NFL Parlay Pick #2: Los Angeles Rams +3.5
- LA Rams +3.5 (-174)
One. That’s the number of losses the Rams have by more than 3 points this season, with the lone instance coming on a walk off blocked field goal touchdown return, when LA was attempting a game winning kick.
Sure, they’re at a rest and travel disadvantage to Seattle, but there’s a reason this team was at the top of the Super Bowl odds for a good chunk of the season. LA has the better quarterback and the more battle tested roster. It also doesn’t hurt that Seahawks QB Sam Darnold is one hit away from being out of the NFC Championship (more on him later), or that Sean McVay has historically owned Seattle.
McVay led teams are 13-6 ATS against the Seahawks, including 12-3 against the spread since 2019, beating the number by an average of 4.2 points. With Matthew Stafford under center, LA is 6-1 straight up and 5-2 ATS versus Seattle, with the lone loss coming back in Week 16, in a game the Rams led by two touchdowns and the Seahawks needed a miracle two-point conversion to force OT.
NFL Parlay Pick #3: Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards
- Kenneth Walker III Under 82.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
There’s no question Kenneth Walker III is on a heater after back-to-back monster games versus the 49ers, but his rushing yards prop is a major overreaction. This is still a running back that ranked 31st in EPA/rush during the regular season, and 36th in success rate.
With Zach Charbonnet out, Walker projects for more touches, but with that comes less rest and an increased injury risk. Walker is known for being made out of glass, which is why it’s so important to have Charbonnet available to spell him.
As for the matchup, it’s not overly favorable. LA ranked 13th in EPA/rush allowed this season, and surrendered the 11th fewest rushing yards to opposing RB’s.
NFL Parlay Pick #4: Sam Darnold 1+ Interceptions
- Sam Darnold 1+ Interceptions (-149)
Whenever you’re putting together any kind of NFL bet slip, make sure to use the best football betting apps to find the most favorable odds. Back to Darnold now, who threw 6 interceptions in two games versus the Rams in the regular season, and has been picked off by them seven times since last season.
Darnold is playing through an injured oblique injury which limits his ability transfer his power and get the most pop on his throws. I don’t expect Seattle to be overly efficient running the ball on Sunday, meaning Darnold is going to need to throw to keep this game close.
That’s trouble against a Rams secondary that have been ball hawks all postseason. They picked off Caleb Williams three times last week, after intercepting Bryce Young once in the Wild Card Round.
Only two quarterbacks threw more interceptions than Darnold during the regular season, while he had six turnover worthy plays and just two big time throws against LA in their first two meetings.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.