Chargers vs Raiders Predictions & Closing Lines for MNF

By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Published:

- The Chargers are 3.5-point favorites over the Raiders on MNF
- Divisional underdogs of at least 3.5 points are 12-5-1 ATS at home over the last five seasons
- Keep reading for my Raiders vs Chargers predictions, plus the closing LV vs LAC lines
Tonight’s second game of the Week 2 Monday Night Football doubleheader pits the LA Chargers (1-0) against the Las Vegas Raiders (1-0) in an AFC West showdown. Both teams won and covered as underdogs in Week 1, and online sportsbooks are expecting a second straight victory for LAC in the latest NFL odds.
Kickoff is scheduled for 7pm PT / 10 pm ET from Allegiant Stadium, in Las Vegas, NV, with ESPN providing the broadcast coverage.
Chargers vs Raiders Prediction
- Raiders +3.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

After years of being the laughing stock of the NFL, it looks like there’s finally adults in the room for the Raiders. Pete Carroll gives them stability and experience as the man in charge, while Geno Smith provides above average QB play, something Las Vegas hasn’t seen in a long time.
Smith was excellent in his season debut, throwing for 362 yards and a TD versus the Patriots. He was 4-of-5 on throws 20+ yards downfield, while the Raiders posted an explosive play rate of 14.5%, the third best mark in Week 1. 70% of Geno’s throws went for either a first down or a TD, which was the highest mark of any QB.
Brock Bowers did the bulk of the pass catching damage, and despite missing practice with a knee injury during the week, is expected to play.
The favorite in the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, Ashton Jeanty looked good in his season debut, and should get plenty of run tonight. Don’t be fooled by the Chargers’ impressive run defense numbers from Week 1, as they faced the anemic Chiefs rushing attack.
Defensively, Maxx Crosby anchors a unit that if nothing else, can still rush the QB. The Raiders ranked third in pressure rate in Week 1, and second in QB knockdown percentage.
As for the Chargers offense, we should get a good feel for whether or not this is the year that Justin Herbert finally takes the leap. Herbert was phenomenal in LA’s season debut, torching KC for 318 yards and 3 touchdowns. That performance shrunk the Super Bowl 60 odds for Jim Harbaugh’s crew, but I’m not buying them as a serious contender just yet.
Herbert might have to put on his cape again tonight, as the Chargers run game looked lifeless in Week 1. Rookie RB Omarion Hampton failed to gain positive yards on 33% of his carries, and averaged just 0.6 yards before contact. Las Vegas’ run defense was stout in their debut, yielding just 3.5 yards per attempt.
I’m predicting the Raiders defense can get enough pressure to bother Hebert, and bottle up Hampton. Offensively, the Las Vegas attack is much more explosive than the Chiefs, and can produce enough points to keep this game close. I’ll take +3.5 in my Raiders vs Chargers predictions, a pick the trends certainly support.
Looking for more Chargers vs Raiders plays? Check out the following:
Raiders vs Chargers Betting Trends
Dating back to 2003, home division underdogs between 3 and 6 points are covering at a 59% clip in Week 2. Over the last five seasons, home divisional dogs of at least 3.5 points are 12-5-1 against the spread, including the Browns cover versus Cincy last week.
There are trends to support LA as well, like the fact they’re 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as road favorites. The lone loss came in the last instance, when they were dominated in last season’s Wild Card Round in Houston.
Chargers vs Raiders Closing Lines
The best odds we can get on Las Vegas +3.5 is -110 at FanDuel. That book is also offering the biggest payout at +164 for the Raiders to pull off the upset, while DraftKings has the shortest moneyline odds on the Chargers at -185. Total wise, 46.5 is the consensus number, with Bet365 offering -110 odds on the over, and DraftKings hanging -102 odds on the under.
Odds as of 6:45 pm ET, Sept. 15. New customers can claim the FanDuel promo code and get a bonus to bet on Raiders vs Chargers.
Per the NFL public betting percentages, only 11% of the moneyline tickets are on Las Vegas to pull off the upset. Most of the 89% of tickets on the Chargers moneyline are likely tied up in parlays, meaning the Raiders can break a lot of hearts tonight, while making the sportsbooks a ton of money.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.