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Chiefs Open as 4.5-Point Favorites vs Bears on Sunday Night Football in Week 16

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Dec 15, 2019 · 6:50 PM PST

Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas Chiefs have won four straight and are favored on the road against the Chicago Bears in Week 16. Photo by Jordan Kelly/Icon Sportswire.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs opened as 4.5-point road favorites vs the Chicago Bears on Sunday Night Football in Week 16
  • Kansas City extended its winning streak to four games by defeating the Broncos in Week 15
  • Read below for our prediction on how the point spread might move ahead of kickoff

The Kansas City Chiefs are starting to look like a team you don’t want to face in the postseason. The Chiefs rattled off their fourth straight win in Week 15, defeating the Denver Broncos by 21 points in the snow.

KC is a game back of the New England Patriots for a first round bye, and heads to Chicago in Week 16 to battle the Bears on Sunday Night Football. The Chiefs opened as 4.5-point road favorites but the line didn’t stay there for long.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Kansas City Chiefs -5.0 (-108) -215 Over 45.0 (-110)
Chicago Bears +5.0 (-112) +185 Under 45.0 (-110)

Odds taken Dec. 15

Chicago was eliminated from playoff contention on Sunday, thanks to a loss in Green Bay, and the Seahawks and Vikings both winning on the road. The Bears failed to cover as 4-point underdogs and are now 4-10 ATS this season.

The Chiefs meanwhile, rewarded their backers with an easy 10-point cover, and improved to 9-5 ATS in the process. They’ve covered in four straight games, two of which were away from home, and are 5-2 against the number on the road in 2019.

Winning in a Winter Wonderland

It was a blustery scene at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, but the elements didn’t phase Patrick Mahomes and company. The reigning MVP threw for 340 yards and two touchdowns, both to Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce caught 11 passes for 142 yards.

Kelce became the first tight end in NFL history to record four consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons, and the Chiefs improved to 5-0 against AFC West opposition.

It’s no coincidence that KC’s winning streak coincides with an improved effort on defense. The Chiefs allowed just 3 points against the Broncos, and have limited opponents to average of 11 points per game over the last four weeks.

Now they’ll head to Chicago to face a Bears team with nothing but pride to play for.

Playoff Hopes Swept Away by Green Bay

Chicago’s slim playoff hopes were officially extinguished by the Packers on Sunday. The Bears lost to their arch-rivals for the second time this season and for the 19th time in 24 games versus Aaron Rodgers. Mitchell Trubisky and the offense started off slowly, with three punts and a turnover on downs in their first four possessions, and ultimately couldn’t dig themselves out of a 21-3 hole.

Chicago turned the ball over three times and although Trubisky threw for 334 yards, most of it was in garbage time. The Bears are now just 2-5 versus teams in the playoff hunt, and have failed to cover in eight of their past 10 outings.

Where will the Line Move?

The line for this primetime tilt has already moved a half-point in Kansas City’s favor. Outside of the Ravens, KC is arguably the hottest team in football, and has a strong history of covering games on the road.

The Chiefs are in the thick of a tight race to claim the AFC’s second seed, while Chicago has little to play for. Expect this line to continue to move towards Kansas City before it settles around a touchdown.

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