Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos Picks, Predictions, Betting Trends & Odds (MNF)

• The Joe Burrow-less Bengals play their second straight road game against a tough defense when they visit the Broncos
• The Denver pass rush is poised to make Jake Browning’s life a nightmare
• See the Bengals vs Broncos picks, predictions, and latest odds for the second leg of tonight’s MNF doubleheader

A Monday Night Football showdown in the Mile High City sees the Cincinnati Bengals (2-1, 1-2 ATS, 1-1 away, 2-1 O/U), fresh off an embarrassing 48-10 loss and still without their star quarterback, traveling to face the Denver Broncos (1-2, 0-3 ATS, 1-0 home, 1-2 O/U) at Empower Field at 6:15 pm MT/8:15 pm ET.

The weather forecast calls for a pleasant evening, with partly cloudy skies, a temperature of 76°F, and light winds around 7 mph, ensuring ideal conditions for football.

Denver has lost back-to-back games on last-second field goals (29-28 at IND, 23-20 at LAC) but are heavy favorites to improve to 2-0 at home this season.

Jump to: CIN vs DEN Odds || Betting Trends || CIN vs DEN Picks

Bengals vs Broncos Betting Odds

As of 10:03 am on Monday morning, the Broncos were 7.5-point favorites across the board. The best remaining moneyline price on Denver was -426 at bet365, while the Bengals were as long as +380 at DraftKings. The game total was sitting at 44.5 with only slight variations in price. The best over option was +100 at ESPN Bet; the best under option was -110 at bet365 and Caesars.

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Cincinnati vs Denver Odds Movement

The moneyline for this game has seen dramatic movement. The opening NFL Week 4 odds listed Denver at -350 and Cincinnati at +285. On the morning of gameday, the Bengals were as long as +380, while the Broncos were as short as -500.

The point spread, though, has stayed at DEN -7.5.

The total has ticked up a point from an opening number of 43.5 to the current 44.5-point O/U.

The odds movement aligns with the NFL public betting splits, which show the Denver moneyline getting an absurd 93% of handle, and the over getting 56% of handle (on just 36% of wagers, which is a strong indication of sharp action).

CIN vs DEN Key Betting Trends

• The Broncos are riding a six-game winning streak at Empower Field, covering the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites. They have won their last eight games at home as a favorite.
• The Bengals have lost their last six games as an underdog, and their last five games as a road underdog.
• The under has hit in four of the last five games for the Broncos overall, and in four of their last five games after a loss, and four of their last five home games.
• The over has hit in each of the last five Bengals games as an underdog, and in each of their last four as a road underdog.
• The Bengals are 3-1 against the spread against the Denver Broncos over their last 4 games.
• The Broncos are 0-3 against the spread this season, and 0-2 against the spread as a favorite this season.
• The Denver Broncos are 1-4 against the spread against opponents with a winning record over their last five games.

Bengals vs Broncos Picks & Prediction

• Denver Broncos -7.5 (-110) at bet365
• Under 45.0 (-115) at BetRivers
• Player Prop: J.K. Dobbins Over 61.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM

Everything in this matchup points to a dominant performance by the Broncos.

The Bengals’ offensive line has been a liability, allowing ten sacks in three games. It now faces a Denver pass rush that is relentless at home and has accumulated 12 sacks on the season. This pressure will likely overwhelm Browning, leading to more turnovers and short fields for the Bronco offense. Browning has passed for 381 yards and three touchdowns while completing 67.8% of his passes in two games this season, but he’s already thrown interceptions, third-most in the NFL despite playing two fewer games than the pivots above him on that list.

On the other side, Denver’s offensive line has been solid, allowing only three sacks, and should have little problem handling a de facto one-man Bengal pass rush that’s generated just six sacks this year.

The combination of playing at altitude, a significant quarterback mismatch, and advantages in the trenches on both sides of the ball creates a nearly impossible scenario for the visiting Bengals.

Offensively, the Broncos don’t need to be spectacular; they just need to be efficient. Their ground game, averaging over five yards per carry, should find at least a modicum of success against a Cincinnati run defense that has been inconsistent. This will allow Bo Nix (64.2% completion, 5 TDs, 3 INTs) to operate with play-action and avoid risky throws. While Nix has struggled with deep ball accuracy, he won’t need to be a hero in this game. A steady diet of the run game mixed with high-percentage throws should be more than enough to build a comfortable lead.

Betting trends strongly support the Broncos. They are an incredible 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games as a home favorite and have won their last six home games outright. Conversely, the Bengals have lost their last six games as an underdog and have failed to cover the spread in their two road games this season. While the over has hit in Denver’s last five primetime games, the Bengals’ offensive ineptitude without Burrow makes the under 44.5 the much stronger play.