NFL Conference Championship Weather Report: High Stakes, High Winds, and Seattle Rain

The 2026 NFL playoffs have reached the Conference Championship stage, and both games – LA Rams vs Seattle Seahawks in the NFC, and New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos in the AFC – will take place in outdoor stadium with inclement weather in the forecast.

The table below sets out the Patriots vs Broncos weather forecast, followed by the Rams vs Seahawks weather forecast for January 25th, including low/high temperatures, chance of precipitation, and expected wind conditions.

Conference Championship Weather Reports

Forecasts as of 2:25 pm ET, January 22nd. Claim the top

As expected, the temperature in Denver will be colder, but the threat of rain is more pronounced in the Pacific Northwest.

Patriots vs Broncos Weather Forecast: Wind, Cold, and a Backup QB for Broncos

The weather forecast for the AFC Championship Game at Mile High could fundamentally alter how both offensive coordinators approach this pivotal matchup. With forecasted temperatures potentially dropping well below zero and wind gusts up to 18 mph, the thin air that already challenges visiting teams could become an even more formidable opponent.

Adding a critical layer to this game is the news that Denver’s starting quarterback Bo Nix is out for the season, leaving backup Jarrett Stidham to lead the Broncos in the AFC Championship. This significant personnel change, combined with the expected weather, further tilts the scales towards a conservative, run-heavy game plan from the Broncos. Stidham’s passing yards prop (currently 198.5) and Drake Maye’s for the Patriots (226.5) will be heavily influenced by the conditions. Both quarterbacks may struggle with accuracy, making intermediate timing routes difficult in swirling conditions.

The Under 42.5 total presents compelling value if weather conditions materialize as forecasted. This weather-driven game script would likely increase touches for specific running backs like Denver’s RJ Harvey (rushing yards prop 42.5) and New England’s Rhamondre Stevenson (rushing yards prop 49.5), especially with a backup QB under center for Denver.

Weather-Based Pick for Patriots vs Broncos: Under 43.0 (-115) at BetMGM – Historical wind patterns at altitude, combined with a backup quarterback starting for Denver, support reduced offensive efficiency, particularly impacting red-zone conversion rates that drive scoring variance.

Rams vs Seahawks Weather Forecast: Rain Threatens Rams’ Aerial Attack

Lumen Field’s reputation for creating chaos through precipitation isn’t folklore; it’s quantifiable. With a forecasted 40% rain probability and anticipated temperatures in the mid-40s, conditions might favor Seattle’s ground-heavy identity while potentially neutralizing the Rams’ explosive passing offense led by Matthew Stafford and Puka Nacua (receiving yards prop 91.5).

The game total (still as high as 47.5) might not adequately account for how wet conditions could impact ball security. Stafford’s passing yards prop (253.5) could be hard to reach when precipitation affects ball security – wet-weather games are associated with an increase in fumbles and interceptions, directly impacting drive sustainability. Seattle’s Sam Darnold (passing yards prop 235.5) might reflect a team’s commitment to controlling field position through a running back’s ground dominance rather than aerial fireworks.

Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop (85.5) could present significant value if precipitation materializes. Seattle’s offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak has a tendency to increase designed runs in wet weather, particularly on early downs where field-position battles become paramount. Rams running back Kyren Williams (rushing yards prop 53.5) would similarly benefit from increased volume as coaches adjust game plans away from contested-catch concepts that become unreliable in slippery conditions.

Weather-Based Pick: Under 47.5 (-122) at BetRivers – Precipitation probability combined with Seattle’s defensive schemes in wet conditions historically suppress scoring through increased possession length and reduced big-play frequency.