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Cowboys vs Saints Picks and Odds – Sunday Night Football Week 4

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Apr 9, 2020 · 1:31 PM PDT

Dak Prescott and the undefeated Cowboys face the Saints on Sunday Night Football. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License].
  • The Dallas Cowboys and New Orleans Saints square off on Sunday Night Football (8:20pm ET, Sep. 29)
  • The undefeated Cowboys are 2.5-point road favorites and are 3-0 against the spread this season
  • Check our betting preview for this matchup and our prediction

The undefeated Dallas Cowboys travel to New Orleans Sunday Night (8:20 PM ET, Sept. 29) to face the 2-1 Saints. Dallas has yet to be tested this season winning their first three games by an average of 17.7 points, while New Orleans is fresh off a road upset of the Seahawks in Week 3.

Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Dallas Cowboys -145 -2.5 (-114) Over 47.5 (-109)
New Orleans Saints +125 +2.5 (-104) Under 47.5 (-109)

All odds taken 09/28/19

The line opened Cowboys -3, but it’s been bet down to -2.5 with more juice on the Dallas side. The Cowboys are 3-0 against the spread in 2019, while the Saints are 1-2.

You can see all the line movement experienced at each sportsbook in our Cowboys vs Saints odds.

Can the Saints Contain the Cowboys?

New Orleans has surrendered the seventh most points through three weeks and the fifth most yards. They’ve allowed the seventh most rushing yards, the fourth most passing yards and rank 29th in pass coverage per Pro Football Focus. Dallas meanwhile, is PFF’s number one graded offense and should feast on a flawed Saints defense.

Only two teams have had more success rushing the ball than the Cowboys, and when they’re not pounding the rock, they have a significant advantage in the pass game. Dak Prescott is in the midst of a making a gigantic fourth-year jump, leading the NFC in completion percentage, touchdowns and yards per attempt.

His number one receiver Amari Cooper has already found the endzone four times and draws a juicy matchup against Marshon Lattimore. New Orleans’ number one corner has a dismal 58.9 PFF coverage grade this season and has allowed a league-high 20 receptions for 341 yards.

Saints’ Offense Stuck in Neutral

Last week’s win in Seattle masked plenty of flaws in the the Drew Brees-less Saints offense. New Orleans had a defensive and special teams score, but were outgained by a 2-1 margin and failed to eclipse 275 yards of total offense for the second straight week.

The Saints are averaging just 4.8 yards per play with Teddy Bridgewater under center (compared to 7.4 ypp for the Cowboys) and less than 25% of his throws have travelled at least 10 yards. In Week 3, his average depth of throw was a pitiful 3.3 yards, and if Dallas’ number two-ranked defense can shut down Alvin Kamara, this game could get ugly fast.

Cowboy Up

Nothing feels more square than backing a public favorite on the road in a prime time game, but it’s impossible not to love the Cowboys in this situation. They have a superior offense and defense, and the one major advantage New Orleans usually has appears to have been mitigated.

The Superdome is traditionally one of the loudest and most difficult places for an opposing team to play, but Vivid Seats is projecting there to be more Cowboys fans in attendance than Saints fans. All the more reason to roll with Dallas on the road.

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