Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders Odds, Predictions & Picks for MNF
By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Published:
- The Cowboys are 3-point favorites over the Raiders on Monday Night Football
- Las Vegas allows the fourth most production to enemy wide receivers
- See the Cowboys vs Raiders odds below, plus my predictions and picks for MNF
Two of the NFL’s most popular teams square off on Monday Night Football as the Cowboys (3-5-1, 1-4 away) visit the Raiders (2-7, 1-3 home). Both squads have failed miserably to live up to preseason expectations, and online sportsbooks expect Las Vegas’ nightmare season to continue per the MNF odds.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm ET / 5:15pm PT from Allegiant Stadium, in Las Vegas, NV, with ABC providing the broadcast coverage.
Below, you’ll find the game odds, plus my Cowboys vs Raiders predictions and picks for Monday Night Football.
DAL Cowboys vs LV Raiders Odds
Before making any Monday Night Football wager, be sure to consult the best football betting apps. As of Sunday, most books have Dallas listed as 3.5-point favorites, but you can find a Cowboys -3 on Bet365.
Odds as of Nov. 16. New customers can claim the FanDuel promo code and get a bonus to bet on MNF.
Total-wise, the over/under opened at 49.5, but has climbed to 50.5 at some books like FanDuel. Dallas and Las Vegas have been polar opposites against the total this season, with the over hitting in five of the Cowboys last six games, and the under cashing in four of the Raiders last five outings per the NFL public betting percentages.
Cowboys vs Raiders Predictions and Picks
- Dallas Cowboys -3.0 (-120)
Neither one of these teams had real upside in the Super Bowl 60 odds, but both were at least supposed to be involved in the playoff race.
For the Cowboys, their defense is to blame, as it’s been one of the worst units on that side of the ball all season. Las Vegas’ defense hasn’t performed much better, but while the Dallas offense can score with anyone, the Raiders struggle to put up points.
Las Vegas Raiders Offensive Stats
Las Vegas’ offense ranks 30th or worse in EPA/play, success rate and EPA/rush. Geno Smith is 30th out of 33 qualified quarterbacks in adjusted EPA/play, while rookie RB Ashton Jeanty has the third lowest EPA/rush among qualified runners.
The return of star tight end momentarily lifted the offense in Week 9, but they fell right back into old habits last week, mustering only seven points and 188 total yards in a loss to the Broncos.
On paper the matchup is about as good as it gets, as the Cowboys defense ranks 31st in EPA/play and success rate. However, they did just add stud defensive tackle Quinnen Williams before the trade deadline, and few players can blow up an opposing offensive line like him.
As for the Las Vegas defense, they’ve played nearly as poorly as the offense. They’re bottom-12 in most advanced metrics, and the pass rush hasn’t come close to living up to expectations. The Raiders are generating pressure at the league’s sixth-lowest mark, and have recorded only 18 sacks.
All signs point to Dak Prescott having a clean pocket, which is music to the ears of CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. The duo is one of the most dangerous in the league and a big reason the Cowboys are sixth in EPA/play and ninth in success rate. I don’t hate targeting either of the Cowboys top-two receivers in the NFL player props market, as Las Vegas is allowing the fourth most production to enemy wideouts.
Prescott meanwhile, is top-seven in the NFL in passing yards, pass TD and QBR. Running back Javonte Williams is also thriving in this offense, ranking third among RBs in touchdowns with eight.
With Dallas’ offense in an amazing spot, and their defensive outlook raised with the addition of Williams, I’m taking the Cowboys -3. The Raiders have the fourth worst point differential in the NFL, and are just 1-4 ATS as an underdog of 3 points or more.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.