Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for SNF Week 4
- The winless Philadelphia Eagles travel to the Bay Area to take on the 2-1 San Francisco 49ers (8:20pm ET)
- Last week’s picks went 2-3 and lost 0.61 units
- Read below to see what player props we like for tonight’s clash
A battle between the two of the NFL’s most injured teams may not look like a great primetime matchup, but at this point, any game that isn’t postponed due to COVID-19 is a must-see.
Philadelphia is desperate for a win coming into this one, but even against a San Francisco team down their starting quarterback, best pass rusher and more, the Eagles vs 49ers odds have the away team as hefty underdogs.
Will either offense thrive under the bright lights? Let’s examine.
Eagles vs 49ers Player Props
| Passers | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Wentz (PHI) | 22.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) | 230.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 1.5 (Ov +134 | Un -172) |
| Nick Mullens (SF) | 21.5 (Ov -125 | Un -102) | 263.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 1.5 (Ov -160 | Un +124) |
| Rushers | Rush Attempts | Rush Yards | Rush + Receiving Yards |
| Miles Sanders (PHI) | N/A | 63.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 79.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) |
| Carson Wentz (PHI) | N/A | 14.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) | N/A |
| Jerick McKinnon (SF) | N/A | 56.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 94.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) |
| Receivers | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| Zach Ertz (PHI) | 5.5 (Ov -102 | Un -125) | 56.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 20.5 (Ov -106 | Un -120) |
| Greg Ward Jr. (PHI) | 4.5 (Ov +106 | Un -136) | 48.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 19.5 (Ov +102 | Un -130) |
| Miles Sanders (PHI) | 4.5 (Ov -106 | Un -120) | 31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) | N/A |
| George Kittle (SF) | 4.5 (Ov +102 | Un -130) | 52.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 19.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) |
| Brandon Aiyuk (SF) | 3.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) | 47.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 20.5 (Ov +102 | Un -130) |
| Jerick McKinnon (SF) | N/A | 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | N/A |
Odds taken Oct. 4 from DraftKings and FanDuel
Can Pederson Help Out His QB?
Carson Wentz is already hearing calls for his job. The same guy Philly fans were praising last winter for lifting a JV squad to the playoffs isn’t getting the benefit of the doubt with the injuries the Eagles have suffered this season.
Sorry Mr. Wentz, but I have to ask….
When will Jalen Hurts start his first game at QB?
WK 4-7 +400
WK 8-11 +250
WK 12-14 +225
WK 15-17 +150Odds> https://t.co/P7PscBSMts
— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) October 1, 2020
Eagles fans’ frustrations are valid: Philly’s offense ranks dead last in passing DVOA through three weeks. Meanwhile, they’ve had success on the ground, ranking 11th in rushing DVOA. Yet, Doug Pederson’s play-calling keeps skewing to the air.
Chiefs move up to No. 1 in early-down pass rate after last night, Seahawks No. 2 pic.twitter.com/yd6zHBSc4F
— Computer Cowboy (@benbbaldwin) September 29, 2020
Wentz’s accuracy is an issue: it always has been. But the Eagles passing game has managed to produce in years past because the protection was so strong. That is no longer the case. Even against a 49ers defensive line that is down Nick Bosa, Solomon Thomas and Dee Ford, Philly will be in tough to keep Wentz upright, as struggling tackle Jason Peters has been ruled out for this week.
The #Eagles' offensive line has been terrible in pass protection:
• 11 sacks given up
• 7.9% adjusted sack rateLT Jason Peters specifically has struggled, giving up 3 sacks and 11 pressures total.
Kerry Hyder, Dion Jordan and Ziggy Ansah should be able to get home. pic.twitter.com/3KD8wAe2Xv
— Akash Anavarathan (@akashanav) October 2, 2020
In an effort to get Wentz back on track (and also keep him alive), this game-plan should feature a ton of hand offs and quick throws to Miles Sanders. The 49ers have only allowed 188 rushing yards to running backs this season, but they haven’t exactly faced the league’s best. Last week, they held newly-signed Devonta Freeman to 10 yards a week after holding old man Frank Gore to 63.
Expect a quality day from Sanders and less work for Wentz.
Pick: 1 unit on Miles Sanders OVER 79.5 rushing and receiving yards (-106); 1 unit on Carson Wentz UNDER 22.5 completions (-113)
Eagles vs 49ers Scoring Props
| Team | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Any TD |
|---|---|---|
| George Kittle (SF) | +650 | +110 |
| Jeff Wilson (SF) | +600 | +115 |
| Jerick McKinnon (SF) | +650 | +125 |
| Miles Sanders (PHI) | +800 | +145 |
| Brandon Aiyuk (SF) | +950 | +180 |
| Deebo Samuel (SF) | +1100 | +260 |
| Kendrick Bourne (SF) | +1100 | +240 |
| Greg Ward Jr (PHI) | +1200 | +240 |
| JJ Arcega-Whiteside (PHI) | +1700 | +400 |
| John Hightower (PHI) | +1700 | +400 |
Odds taken Oct. 4 from FanDuel
Kittle’s Big Return
San Francisco had two great offensive showings without their top receiving option in the lineup, but Kyle Shanahan must be thrilled to have the All-Pro tight end back for this week. The offensive mastermind was turning back-up tight end Jordan Reed into a fantasy star before injuries sidelined him. Now he gets the Lamborghini of the position back for a great matchup.
Friendly reminder, the best TE in the NFL George Kittle is back on Sunday 😤💪🏽 | #49ers #FTTB pic.twitter.com/JX0vRNsGxJ
— OurSF49ers (@OurSf49ers) October 3, 2020
The Eagles linebacking corps is the weakness of this defense. They’ve already allowed four touchdowns to tight ends this year and they’ll be in tough to slow down Kittle at even 80% of his usual speed.
Remember last year when the Eagles had zero linebackers and just decided to release starter LJ Fort for the fuck of it?
That was fun. Still is.
— Smitty (@SmittyBarstool) September 29, 2020
Nick Mullens connected with George Kittle for three touchdowns during his breakout 2018 season and the two should be able to renew that connection right out of the gate. In terms of wagering, I’m confident Kittle should score at some point. But we’re going to split a unit between the anytime and first TD wager to chase some value.
Pick: 0.5 units on Kittle to score 1st TD (+650); 0.5 units on Kittle to score anytime (+110)
Eric Thompson has been with SBD since 2015, serving as a sports betting expert in NFL, NHL, NBA, and MLB. If you want someone who eats, sleeps, and breathes sports news and betting, Eric is your man. Having studied economics at university, he understands what value is and how to spot it.
