Early 2020 NFL Season Player Props – Passing/Receiving Yards and Touchdown Over/Unders
- Check a wide variety of quarterback and wide receiver player props for the 2020-21 NFL regular season
- How many TD catches will DeAndre Hopkins make? Will Josh Allen go over or under 22.5 TD passes? What will the passing yardage total be for Philip Rivers?
- Analysis, predictions and odds on these and other props are available in the story below
Player props on the 2020-21 NFL regular season are out, because while the coronavirus may have put a halt to sports, it hasn’t put a dent into offseason speculation.
As always, the NFL is generating plenty of scenarios to be debated thanks to offseason player movement caused by trades and free agency.
All quarterback and wide receiver over/under props for the 2020-21 NFL regular season are listed below.
NFL 2020-21 Regular Season QB and WR Player Props
Quarterback Props | Line | Over Odds | Under Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Buffalo Bills Josh Allen TD Passes | 22.5 | -115 | -115 |
Buffalo Bills Josh Allen Passing Yardage | 3199.5 | -115 | -115 |
Carolina Panthers Teddy Bridgewater TD Passes | 23.5 | -115 | -115 |
Houston Texans Deshaun Watson TD Passes | 26.5 | -115 | -115 |
Houston Texans Deshaun Watson Passing Yardage | 4099.5 | -115 | -115 |
Indianapolis Colts Philip Rivers TD Passes | 26.5 | -115 | -115 |
Indianapolis Colts Philip Rivers Passing Yardage | 4399.5 | -105 | -125 |
Jacksonville Jaguars Gardner Minshew TD Passes | 24.5 | -105 | -125 |
Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes TD Passes | 36.5 | -120 | -110 |
Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes Passing Yardage | 4699.5 | -115 | -115 |
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees TD Passes | 32.5 | -110 | -120 |
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees Passing Yardage | 4249.5 | -105 | -125 |
New York Giants Daniel Jones TD Passes | 28.5 | -110 | -120 |
New York Giants Daniel Jones Passing Yardage | 3899.5 | -115 | -115 |
New York Jets Sam Darnold TD Passes | 23.5 | -125 | -105 |
New York Jets Sam Darnold Passing Yardage | 3599.5 | -125 | -105 |
Philadelphia Eagles Carson Wentz TD Passes | 27.5 | -115 | -115 |
Philadelphia Eagles Carson Wentz Passing Yardage | 3999.5 | -115 | -115 |
San Francisco 49ers Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes | 27.5 | -115 | -115 |
San Francisco 49ers Jimmy Garoppolo Passing Yardage | 3999.5 | -115 | -115 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tom Brady TD Passes | 31.5 | -105 | -125 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tom Brady Passing Yardage | 3999.5 | -105 | -125 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tom Brady Interceptions | 10.5 | -110 | -120 |
Wide Receiver Props | Line | Over Odds | Under Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Arizona Cardinals DeAndre Hopkins TD Receptions | 9.5 | -115 | -115 |
Arizona Cardinals DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards | 1249.5 | -115 | -115 |
Buffalo Bills Stefon Diggs TD Receptions | 6.5 | -115 | -115 |
Buffalo Bills Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards | 1049.5 | -115 | -115 |
Carolina Panthers DJ Moore TD Receiving Yards | 1199.5 | -115 | -115 |
Chicago Bears Allen Robinson TD Receptions | 7.5 | -115 | -115 |
Chicago Bears Allen Robinson Receiving Yards | 1149.5 | -115 | -115 |
Minnesota Vikings Adam Thielen TD Receptions | 8.5 | -115 | -115 |
Minnesota Vikings Adam Thielen Receiving Yards | 1199.5 | -115 | -115 |
New England Patriots Julian Edelman Receiving Yards | 924.5 | -115 | -115 |
Philadelphia Eagles Zach Ertz TD Receptions | 7.5 | -115 | -115 |
Philadelphia Eagles Zach Ertz Receiving Yards | 949.5 | -115 | -115 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chris Godwin TD Receptions | 9.5 | -115 | -115 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chris Godwin Receiving Yards | 1249.5 | -115 | -115 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mike Evans TD Receptions | 9.5 | -115 | -115 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mike Evans Receiving Yards | 1249.5 | -115 | -115 |
Odds taken Mar. 29.
How will DeAndre Hopkins fare in new surroundings with the Arizona Cardinals? Will the presence of Stefon Diggs in Buffalo create blossoming new numbers for Bills quarterback Josh Allen? What sort of digits will Tom Brady put up during his first year at the helm of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Now’s the time to make those calls and to make them pay off in winning wagers.
Rivers Flowing In Indy
After 16 seasons with the Chargers, the Indianapolis Colts signed Philip Rivers as a free agent. The hope is that he can put a charge back into Indy’s passing attack. In 2019, the Colts were 30th in the NFL in passing yardage (3,108 yards) and tied for 19th in touchdown passes (22).
Rivers, 38, has been established with a passing yardage total of 4,399.5 yards. Last season, in what was clearly an off-year for the veteran quarterback (23 TDs, 20 interceptions), he still was fourth in the NFL in passing yardage (4,615 yards).
Why choose the Colts?
Philip Rivers: "Well, shoot, lotta reasons…"
"Heck of a football team."
"Have respected this organization for a lot of years."
"Chris Ballard."
"Believe in Frank Reich."— Zak Keefer (@zkeefer) March 21, 2020
Rivers has gone over 4,399.5 yards in four of the past six seasons, as well as in six of the previous 10 seasons. In 2018, with Andrew Luck under center, the Colts passed for 4,461 yards, good for sixth overall in the NFL.
The receiving talent is certainly in place for Rivers to access. Rivers passed for a career-high 4,792 yards in 2015 with Colts head coach Frank Reich as his offensive coordinator in San Diego.
Pick: Philip Rivers over 4,399.5 in passing yardage (-105).
Brady’s Brave New World
As Brady arrives in Tampa Bay, the soon-to-be 43-year-old QB is coming off for him what is viewed to be a downer of a campaign. Last season with the New England Patriots, Brady passed for 24 touchdowns and 4.057 yards. He was intercepted eight times.
The 40s aren’t being kind to Brady’s stats. Both his TD passes and passing-yardage totals have decreased each season since he celebrated his 40th birthday.
Flashback Friday… Welcome to Tampa, Tom! @TomBrady pic.twitter.com/ZTfCrfP5QW
— Derrick Brooks (@DBrooks55) March 27, 2020
His TDs dropped from 32 to 29 to 24. Yardage-wise, Brady has dipped from 4,577 to 4,355 to 4,057. After throwing just two interceptions in 2016, he’s averaged nine picks over the past three seasons.
Father Time ultimately gets every athlete. It might be time for everyone to dial back the expectations placed on Brady.
Pick: Tom Brady under 31.5 TD passes (-125).
You Must Be Josh-ing
From his rookie to sophomore seasons, Bills QB Josh Allen improved from 10 to 20 touchdowns. That’s a TD percentage increase of 1.2% from 3.1% to 4.3%.
Allen is adding a steady 6-9 TD reception guy to his options when standing in the pocket in Minnesota trade acquisition Stefon Diggs. He’s averaged 7.66 TD catches per season over the past three seasons with the Vikings.
Stefon Diggs on IG Live about Josh Allen: He’s a baller & he’s a dog too. That guy can play #Bills
— Matthew Bové (@Matt_Bove) March 26, 2020
Suppose Diggs gets the same six TD receptions he had a year ago. Add that to the six each contributed by John Brown and Cole Beasley in 2019.
Suddenly, Allen needs just five more TD catches from rest of his skill players to go over the established total of 22.5.
Pick: Josh Allen over 22.5 TD passes (-115).
Hopkins Looks For Arizona Rebound
The 2019 NFL season wasn’t the best for DeAndre Hopkins. He caught just seven touchdowns passes for the Houston Texans after going off for double digits in each of the previous two campaigns.
Hopkins made 11 TD receptions in 2018. He caught an NFL-leading 13 scoring aerials in 2017.
Traded to the Arizona Cardinals, will Hopkins return to the form that made him one of the main threats to find the end zone among NFL receivers?
Excited to watch Kyler Murray in year 2. DeAndre Hopkins will be on the receiving end of these now. Bright future in Arizona. pic.twitter.com/7y9o9qxYga
— Jordan Reid (@JReidNFL) March 24, 2020
That could prove a challenge. He won’t be surrounded by nearly as deep a receiving corps as he was in Houston. Larry Fitzgerald is still a solid receiver but at 36, isn’t the dangerous threat he was in his prime.
Cardinals QB Kyler Murray threw for just 12 TDs during his rookie season. Even if he displays a similar sophomore uptick to the one Allen pulled off last season in Buffalo, it’s still hard to imagine Hopkins finding the end zone 10 times.
Pick: DeAndre Hopkins under 9.5 TD receptions (-115).
Bridgewater’s Small Sample Size
Playing five games for the New Orleans Saints last season, Teddy Bridgewater passed for nine TDs. Over a 16-game season, that averages out to 28.8 TD passes.
Going by those digits, you’d think oddsmakers were way underestimating Bridgewater by giving him a total of 23.5 TD passes this season with his new team, the Carolina Panthers. In fact, they may be overestimating Bridgewater.
The new-look Panthers offense:
QB: Teddy Bridgewater
RB: Christian McCaffrey
WR: D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel
TE: Ian ThomasExplosive and fast group that will be really, really good after the catch.
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) March 24, 2020
The Panthers offense isn’t the Saints offense. Carolina passed for just 17 TDs in 2019.
In two seasons as the starter with the Vikings, Bridgewater never threw for more than 14 TDs in a season. He’s thrown for 38 TDs in 44 NFL games.
That works out to 0.86 TD passes per game, or 13.81 TD tosses over the course of a 16-game season.
Pick: Teddy Bridgewater under 23.5 TD passes (-115).