3 Early Super Bowl Bets to Make Before These Patriots/Seahawks Lines Move

• The Seattle Seahawks are 4.5 to 5-point favorites over the New England Patriots in Super Bowl 60
• The Patriots have gone 15-0-2 on the first-half moneyline in their last 17 starts
• See three early Super Bowl bets to make before the lines move

The Seattle Seahawks (60-1 preseason) and New England Patriots (80-1 preseason) pulled off one of the most unlikely Super Bowl matchups in recent memory. Both teams are back in this spot 11 years after the Malcolm Butler interception game, and oddsmakers have already posted lines across the board.

With two weeks until kickoff, here are three wagers you should target now before the numbers move.

Early Super Bowl 60 Bets to Make

The odds above are as of January 27 at the sportsbooks noted.

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Early Super Bowl Bet #1: Patriots +3.5 First Half

New England’s first-half dominance has been absurd this season. The Patriots went 15-0-2 on the first-half moneyline in Drake Maye’s last 17 starts, and they led the entire NFL in first-half points per game at 16.5 PPG during the regular season.

The Patriots haven’t trailed at halftime since Week 3. That’s a 15-game stretch spanning both regular season and playoffs. Getting 3.5 points in the first half means Seattle would need to win the opening 30 minutes by four or more points for this bet to lose.

The Seahawks only covered -3.5 in the first half in 11 of 19 games this season (57.9%). Meanwhile, New England lost the first half by four or more points just once all year, a Week 3 loss to Pittsburgh where they trailed 14-7.

Patriots First-Half Dominance (2025)

Maye’s first-half splits back this up. He posted a 122.2 passer rating in first halves this season compared to 103.2 in second halves. The Patriots come out prepared, execute their scripted plays, and build early leads. That formula has worked all year, and getting 3.5 points of cushion makes this one of the best bets on the board.

Early Super Bowl Bet #2: Drake Maye Over 36.5 Rushing Yards

This is going to be one of the most popular props of Super Bowl week, so get in now before the number climbs. Maye’s rushing has been the Patriots’ best offensive weapon in the playoffs, and I expect him to take off against Seattle’s pressure-heavy defense.

Maye rushed for 66, 10, and 65 yards across his three playoff games. Two of those easily cleared this number, and the 10-yard game came in the blowout win over Houston where he barely needed to run. In the AFC Championship at Denver, Maye’s scrambling was New England’s best offense.

The game script favors the over as well. Maye averages 34.6 rushing yards per game in losses compared to 24.8 in wins throughout his career. As 4.5-point underdogs against Seattle’s elite defense, expect game scripts where Maye’s legs become essential.

The line has already moved from opening numbers around 29.5 to the current 36.5 at FanDuel. Sharp money has already jumped on this, and I’d expect this to be one of the most popular props by kickoff.

Early Super Bowl Bet #3: Sam Darnold Super Bowl MVP

Quarterbacks have won 34 of 59 Super Bowl MVPs (57.6%), and the trend intensifies recently with 17 of the last 26 going to signal callers. At +130, you’re getting near even money on the quarterback of a 4.5-point favorite. That’s a great price.

Darnold’s playoff run has been historic. His 122.4 passer rating through two playoff games ranks as the third-highest in any single postseason prior to a Super Bowl, trailing only Matt Ryan’s 132.6 in 2016 and Patrick Mahomes’ 131.5 in 2019. Both of those guys won MVP.

In the NFC Championship, Darnold went 25-of-36 for 346 yards with three touchdowns and zero interceptions. He led a game-winning drive capped by a 13-yard touchdown to Cooper Kupp with 4:52 remaining.

The storyline adds even more juice to this bet. Darnold is 0-4 lifetime against the Patriots with nine interceptions and just one touchdown in those four games. He famously said he was “seeing ghosts” during a 2019 loss to New England. If Darnold leads Seattle to victory while exorcising those demons, the MVP vote becomes automatic.

As Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald said after the NFC Championship: “He just shut a lot of people up tonight.” One more big game and Darnold completes one of the best redemption stories in NFL history.

Super Bowl 60 MVP Odds

If you’re looking for sprinkles, Jaxon Smith-Njigba at +550 has some appeal. He posted 10 catches for 153 yards and a touchdown in the NFC Championship, and wide receivers have won five MVPs since 2000, most recently Cooper Kupp in 2022. In a moderate-scoring game, a receiver going off for 130-plus yards and two scores can steal the award from the winning QB.

I’d stay away from Kenneth Walker at +600. No running back has won Super Bowl MVP since Terrell Davis in 1998, and New England’s run defense has been suffocating. The Patriots haven’t allowed a single back to top 50 yards in the playoffs. Walker would need an outlier performance to overcome both the historical bias and that matchup.

Drake Maye at +235 is worth a small piece if you’re betting the Patriots. If New England pulls off the upset, Maye is almost certainly your MVP. His dual-threat ability gives him multiple ways to rack up stats, and the age narrative would be impossible for voters to ignore.

Check out SBD’s other Super Bowl 60 coverage:

• Super Bowl 60 Odds – Seahawks vs Patriots Lines
• Super Bowl 60 Early Player Props
• Super Bowl A.I. Picks