Everything You Need to Know to Bet Super Bowl 54 – Odds, Trends, Stats, Line Movement & More

• The point spread for Super Bowl 54 has moved from Kansas City -2.5 to Chiefs -1
• The Chiefs are an NFL-best 12-5-1 against the spread this season
• The San Francisco 49ers are 5-0 ATS as an underdog during the 2019-20 campaign

With kickoff time for Super Bowl 54 fast approaching, it’s time to check the line and make those final, crucial choices before placing that winning wager.

The Kansas City Chiefs are currently one-point favorites over the San Francisco 49ers to win the game. It would be Kansas City’s first Super Bowl win since 1970.

The Niners are playing in their sixth Super Bowl. However, if there’s no further adjustment in the betting line, it will be the first time they take the field for the big game as the underdog.

Kansas City was a double-digit underdog in both of its previous Super Bowl appearances.

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds

Odds taken Jan. 30th.

How is the betting line moving? Where is the action going on the total? How have the 49ers fared this season as an underdog? What’s KC’s record as a favorite?

Everything you need to know to bet Super Bowl 54 – line movement, odds, trends, stats – it’s all right here. And you didn’t even have to ask.

What’s The Point Spread?

From a betting standpoint, Super Bowl 54 is looking like it will kick off as the one of the closest calls in the history of the game.

Oddsmakers opened with the Chiefs as the -2.5 chalk. Those odds didn’t last long and have been steadily moving towards the 49ers. KC currently sits as a one-point favorite.

Closest Super Bowl Spreads

The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots Super Bowl 49 game was a pick in the final line. Two other Super Bowls kicked off with lines of less than two points. In both cases, the favorite was the winner of the game.

Kansas City was most recently a one-point favorite on Dec. 23, 2018 at Seattle. The Chiefs lost 38-31 to the Seahawks.

What’s the Game Total?

Oddsmakers opened the total on this game at 52.4 points. Initially, that seemed too low. Kansas City is averaging 43 points per game in the postseason. The Chiefs put a 51 spot up on the Houston Texans in the AFC Divisional Round.

San Francisco is averaging 32 ppg in the playoffs. Add those two together and it comes out to 75 points. That’s the same as the record point total the 49ers and San Diego Chargers combined for in San Fran’s 49-26 win at Super Bowl 29.

Oddsmakers elsewhere are offering a prop wager on whether the Chiefs and 49ers can combine to break this record on Sunday.

Will Teams Combine to Score 76 or More Points and Break Super Bowl Record?

The total has since climbed to 54.4 points. During the regular season, the Niners were the NFL’s #2 scoring offense (29.9 ppg) and KC was #5 (28.2).

They probably won’t break the Super Bowl scoring record but they should go over the total.

Chiefs Pay Off As Favorites

Kansas City is an NFL-best 10-4-1 as a favorite this season. If you bet all 15 of those games, you gained a 41-percent return on investment. Based on a $100 per-game wager, that works out to a profit of $615.

The Chiefs are 8-0 against the spread in their last eight games. They covered in seven of those games as a favorite.

Daniel Sorensen picked off Philip Rivers at the goal line to seal the deal for the Kansas City #Chiefs (7-4) in Mexico City, 24-17, over the Los Angeles #Chargers (4-7). Rivers threw 4 interceptions on Monday Night Football. #KCvsLAC #MondayNightFootball #MexicoCity pic.twitter.com/LINhAEqTnH

— Charles Chapman Jr (@CharlesLChapman) November 19, 2019

KC also covered as a neutral-site favorite earlier this season. The Chiefs were the 5.5-point chalk when they beat the Los Angeles Chargers 24-17 on Nov. 18th in Mexico City.

However, the AFC is 2-6 ATS in the last eight Super Bowls in which their team was the favorite.

Niners Perfect Underdog as Underdogs

San Francisco was the NFL’s best underdog this season, going 5-0 ATS when getting points. (You can check out more NFL ATS trends if you’d like.) The 49ers were 4-1 straight up in those games, as well.

They opened the season with successive wins at Tampa Bay and Cincinnati as one-point underdogs. San Fran also won 20-7 at the Los Angeles Rams as three-point dogs.

The @49ers win a thriller, 48-46 over the Saints.

It was the highest-scoring game between the two teams ever.

Jimmy Garoppolo joined Steve Young (1993, 1994) and Jeff Garcia (2000) as the only 49ers QBs with at least three games of 4 passing touchdowns in a single season. pic.twitter.com/R1b5uE6mXj

— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) December 8, 2019

They were 48-46 winners at New Orleans while getting 1.5 points. The Niners lost 20-17 at Baltimore but covered as six-point underdogs.

Those five covers provided an impressive 95.40-percent ROI and $477 in profits based on $100 wagers.

Running Game Key For 49ers

San Francisco goes three-deep in quality running backs. Raheem Mostert, Tevin Coleman and Matt Breida all went over 600 yards on the ground, the first time that’s happened in the NFL since the 1978 New England Patriots. The Niners gained 144.1 yards per game rushing, #2 in the NFL.

Coleman is suffering from a shoulder injury and Breida has had fumble problems, but head coach Kyle Shanahan still won’t struggle to find a ball-carrier on Sunday.

Raheem Mostert: 158 yards after contact against Packers

Most by a RB in the playoffs since 2006 👑 pic.twitter.com/TJMr20GtYA

— PFF (@PFF) January 23, 2020

The Chiefs were 26th in the league at defending the run, allowing 128.2 ypg. In the postseason, though, it should be noted that KC is #3 at stopping the run (89.5 ypg).

Mahomes The Man For Chiefs

Last year’s NFL MVP is prepared to take the next step and win football’s biggest game. Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes owns a 131.5 passer rating in the postseason. He’s thrown for eight touchdowns and run for another without tossing an interception.

Madden and Summerall call the @PatrickMahomes run. #SuperBowlLIV pic.twitter.com/dG4erO5hhE

— Frank Caliendo (@FrankCaliendo) January 30, 2020

Mahomes is averaging 7.7 yards per carry in the playoffs, and that’s worrisome for the 49ers. They’ve struggled against mobile QBs this season.

Russell Wilson and Lamar Jackson beat the Niners. Rookie Kyler Murray caused them problems in both games against the Cardinals.

Super Bowl Goes To Chiefs

In a game this closely matched, give the slight edge to the team with the best player. Mahomes is the best player.

Mahomes Magic was on full display the last time these two met!

📺: #SBLIV | Sunday 6:30pm ET on FOX
📱: NFL app // Yahoo Sports app pic.twitter.com/RveY4DryMN

— NFL (@NFL) January 30, 2020

When the 49ers and Chiefs clashed last season in San Francisco, Mahomes passed for 321 yards and three TDs in a 38-27 victory.

Chiefs vs 49ers

Even if San Fran gets its running game rolling, KC has shown great resilience. In the postseason, the  Chiefs have come back from a 24-0 disadvantage against Houston and a 10-0 deficit to Tennessee.

Picc: Kansas City Chiefs -1 (-115)

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