Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers Odds and Picks for Sunday Night Football

• The Packers are 3-point favorites on Sunday Night Football
• Aaron Rodgers will face his former team for the first time since being traded prior to the 2023 season
• See the Packers vs Steelers odds, plus my picks for Sunday Night Football below

It’s the Green Packers (4-1-1, 1-1-1 away) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2, 2-1 home) on Sunday Night Football in one of the most anticipated games of the season. Aaron Rodgers will face his former team for the first time, after they drafted his replacement and traded him away while he was still winning MVP’s. Rodgers said earlier this week he’s going to retire as a Packer, but first he’d like nothing more than to beat them.

Online sportsbooks don’t like his chances though, as they’ve pegged Green Bay as road favorites in the SNF odds.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 pm ET from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA, with NBC providing the broadcast coverage.

GB Packers vs PIT Steelers Odds

Before making any Sunday Night Football wager, be sure to consult the best football betting apps. The Packers are currently favored by 3-points across the majority of mainstream sportsbooks, but there are some 3.5’s still out there. The total is currently set at 45.5, and it’s worth noting that four of the Steelers six games have gone over.

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Odds as of Oct. 25 at DraftKings. New customers can claim the DraftKings promo code and get a bonus to bet on SNF.

According to the NFL public betting percentages, the Pittsburgh side of the spread is drawing a ton of action. As of Saturday night it’s accounting for 69% of the ATS wagers, and 81% of the handle.

Packers vs Steelers Picks

One of the few books still showing Steelers +3.5 is Underdog. You do have to swallow some extra juice at -132, but that’s the price you pay for betting late in the week. This game opened Pittsburgh +3.5 at -110 odds, but moved to a field goal spread and then even +2.5 during the week before settling on +3. The Steelers are fresh off a disappointing loss to the Bengals, while Green Bay earned an uninspiring win last week at Arizona.

Despite the loss to Cincy, Rodgers was in vintage form. He threw 4 TD passes for the second time this season, giving him 14 on the campaign. The scouring report on Rodgers this season is the same as the last few. If you give him time to throw he can still dice you up. If you can get pressure though, he turns into a pumpkin.

Aaron Rodgers Under Pressure in 2025

Rodgers’ passing grade dips by 31 points when under pressure compared to when kept clean, while his completion percentage declines by 30%. He has more turnover worthy plays than big time throws when the heat is on, and ranks 28th in the NFL in EPA/drop back under pressure.

That’s troubling given the strength of the Green Bay defense. The Packers pass rush grades out fifth per PFF, while Micah Parsons has the highest pass rush productive mark of any defender in football. Parsons is fresh off a 3 sack performance versus the Cardinals, and his addition in August was the main reason the team soared up the Super Bowl 60 odds board.

As for the Green Bay offense, on paper they’re set up for success. Pittsburgh’s defense allows the fifth most production to enemy QB’s, the sixth most to receivers, and the third most to tight ends. The problem is, the Packers offense goes through prolonged lulls. They never found their footing en route to scoring only 10 points against Cleveland. Last week versus Arizona, they managed only 13 points through three quarters before coming alive.

Rodgers’ replacement Jordan Love grades out 10th in passing grade and fifth in big-time throws, but has finished below 30 passing attempts in four of six starts. It’s time for Matt LaFleur to take the training wheels off his QB, but I just don’t have the confidence he’ll do so.

LaFleur’s reluctance to unleash Love is one of the reasons I like Pittsburgh to cover the spread. Green Bay has been sleepwalking through much of this season, which is one of the reasons they’re 0-3 ATS on the road.

Another reason to back the Steelers is that this is Rodgers’ Super Bowl. Even though Pittsburgh sits atop the AFC North, the Steelers are not a serious contender. They’re good enough to keep games close against better teams like the Packers, but not good enough to challenge the real heavyweights.

Then you have the Mike Tomlin underdog effect. Tomlin is a master motivator when his team is counted out, and his record proves it. The Steelers are 22-7-3 ATS as a home underdog under Tomlin, with 19 outright wins.