Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Odds & Prediction – NFL Week 1
- The Chicago Bears are 1.5-point home favorites over the Green Bay Packers in their NFL season opener Sunday, September 10
- The Pack have won eleven of their last twelve in the Windy City, but will things be different with a new starting QB?
- See the odds for the NFC North rivalry and where the public is placing their money in this Packers/Bears matchup
It’s the dawn of a new era for the Green Bay Packers with Aaron Rodgers not a part of the team for the first time since 2005. Their NFC North rival Chicago Bears are hoping to dig themselves out of the basement of the NFL. Read on for an analysis of Packers vs Bears.
The betting public isn’t exactly sure what to make of the Jordan Love-led Packers team, and also they’re uncertain if Fields and co. can return to respectability. Therefore, this game is nearly a pick’em affair, with the Bears slim 1.5-point favorites in the NFL odds.
Let’s look deeper into the Packers vs Bears odds and offer you our prediction for this NFL Week 1 showdown.
Packers vs Bears Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | +105 | +1.5 (-110) | Over 41.5 (-110) |
| Chicago Bears | -125 | -1.5 (-110) | Under 41.5 (-110) |
In the Packers vs Bears odds, Chicago are -125 moneyline favorites, giving them a 55.6% implied win probability. The total is set at 41.5 points. Ten of the Bears’ last eleven games last season went over that total, with all but two of the Packers’ last eleven affairs also going over that number.
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Odds as of September 9th at DraftKings. Sign up at DraftKings or one of the top NFL betting apps to get your NFL bonus for this season!
Green Bay has absolutely decimated Chicago on the road, winning eleven of their last twelve meetings in the Windy City.
Kickoff for this game at Soldier Field on Sunday, September 10 is set for 4:25pm ET. Weather won’t be a huge factor in this one, with it being mainly sunny in the low 70’s, with winds gusts of up to 14 miles per hour. The broadcast is being carried by Fox in the United States and TSN and CTV in Canada.
Green Bay is predicted to win 27.5-15.1 based on our formula.
Betting Analysis
A new era has arrived in Green Bay with the departure of Aaron Rodgers, after the Pack went 8-9 last season. Jordan Love is the starter, after being selected 26th overall in 2020. In his career, he’s 50-83 for 606 yards, three TD’s and three INT’s in limited action. He’ll be without his top weapon, as wide receiver Christian Watson has been ruled out (hamstring).
Last year, Green Bay was slightly above average in points per game (14th), and middle of the road in points allowed per contest (17th).
On Sunday, Jordan Love will become only the third quarterback to start a season-opener for the Packers since Week 1 of 1993. Truly can not wait. pic.twitter.com/ZDurjzc01t
— Aaron Nagler (@AaronNagler) September 8, 2023
It was ugly for the Bears, who finished with the worst record in the league (4-13). They were 10th worst in points per game, but a paltry dead last in points allowed. In order to bridge the gap, seven of their ten draft picks were on the defensive side of the ball. They also got a king’s ransom by dealing the #1 pick to the Panthers, acquiring top wideout D.J. Moore for a weapon for QB Justin Fields.
Injury Report
For Green Bay, the aforementioned Christian Watson is out for this affair, but Jordan Love might also be without another receiver, with Romeo Doubs questionable (hamstring). Starting left tackle David Bakhtiari hasn’t practiced in a few weeks, but he’s expected to suit up.
For the Bears, they have a pretty clean bill of health, with only linebacker Dylan Cole (hamstring) questionable, with everyone else expected to rock on Sunday.
A light final injury report for the Bears with LB Dylan Cole the only player questionable.
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Packers WR Christian Watson has already been ruled out.
.@WGNNews pic.twitter.com/RjlAv8Neke— Larry Hawley (@HawleySports) September 8, 2023
86$ of the handle has been placed for the Packers to cover the 1.5 spread, yet 81% of money is on the Chicago moneyline in Packers vs Bears NFL betting trends.
Packers vs Bears Prediction
Even though the Pack are without Aaron Rodgers, they still have a huge advantage in their NFC North rivalry historically, and the Bears were the worst team in the NFL last year. Getting Green Bay as an underdog in this one against the worst team in the league is very intriguing.
Packers vs Bears Pick: Green Bay Packers +1.5 (-110)
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.
