- The Green Bay Packers will host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the NFC Championship Game on Sunday, January 24th, 2021
- The early forecast shows temperatures between 16-20 degrees with a possible snow shower
- How will the betting odds be impacted by the weather?
The Green Bay Packers will host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the NFC Championship Game on Sunday, January 24th, 2021 at 3:05 PM EST. One of the underlying factors for this game will be the weather as the Frozen Tundra of Lambeau Field should provide an advantage to the Green Bay Packers, who are used to the cold.
The Packers are currently a 3.5-point favorite for this matchup, and the total sits at 51. What does the forecast look like, and how will it impact the odds? Let’s take a closer look.
NFC Championship Game Weather Forecast
|Weather Data||Kickoff (3:05 PM EST)||Halftime (4:40 PM EST)|
|Temperature||20 degrees||17 degrees|
|Chance of Precipitation||30%||40%|
|Wind||7 mph||8 mph|
Freezing Temperatures, Snow Expected
It’s going to be a chilly one on Sunday as the Packers and Bucs will have to deal with both ice-cold temperatures and snow. Although it’s still early in the week, the forecast shows about 20-degree weather with a chance of snow showers throughout the game with minimal accumulation. The rough estimate for precipitation is about 30%.
Damn is Pam Oliver drunk or just cold? pic.twitter.com/B1Z3E0zM9l
— Randall (@samsonite353) January 16, 2021
The good news for the quarterbacks and the passing games is that wind isn’t projected to be a major problem. After the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills dealt with winds gusting around 25 miles per hour last week, the two teams in the NFC Championship Game should expect winds around six or eight miles per hour coming from the southeast.
NFC Championship Game Weather Forecast
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+155||+3.5 (-115)||50.5 (-113)|
|Green Bay Packers||-177||-3.5 (-106)||50.5 (-108)|
Odds taken Jan. 19 at DraftKings
How Will The Weather Impact The Odds?
There are two good quarterbacks in this game with two explosive passing games, so they’re both going to be sensitive to anything that can impact moving the ball through the air. While the frosty forecast is not ideal weather for throwing the football, it’s also not as bad as it could be.
The area where the odds will be impacted by the weather is that the Packers should have a true (or truer) home-field advantage in this spot. With few or no fans in the stadiums this season, home-field advantage has become less of a factor. However, the Packers are used to the cold and just played in it last week; the Bucs are a warm-weather team.
Snow at Lambeau Field is the perfect football weather.
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) January 16, 2021
When the weather drops below freezing, there is some concern that the football becomes really hard and is tough to catch. The Bucs particularly struggled with drops this season as three of their players finished tied for 12th in the league in the category with five apiece (Mike Evans, Ronald Jones, and Leonard Fournette).
If both teams are forced to turn to the ground games, that should benefit the Bucs. They had the league’s best run defense this season, giving up just 80.6 rushing yards per game. In the first meeting between the teams, Packers running back Aaron Jones finished with just 15 rushing yards on 10 carries.
As for Green Bay, their run defense was a bit leaky this year. They allowed 4.5 yards per carry, which ranked them 21st in the NFL. The first time these teams met, the Bucs finished with 158 rushing yards as Ronald Jones II averaged 4.9 yards per carry en route to 113 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
— Giants Fans Online (@NYGFansOnline) January 18, 2021
In terms of the betting line itself, don’t expect much of a shift one way or another on the spread – regardless of what we see throughout the week. The one change could be the total. If winds pick up and it becomes evident that the passing or kicking games become impacted, look for some money to come in on the under.
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