New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Player Props to Bet on MNF

By Sascha Paruk in NFL News
Published:

- The winless Jets and Dolphins both look to avoid an 0-4 start when they meet on MNF tonight
- Betting trends suggest a high-scoring game, with the over hitting in Miami’s last seven home games and in six of the Jets’ last seven on the road
- See the best Jets vs Dolphins player props to bet in a game that could be higher scoring than many expect
Two desperate AFC East teams meet in the first leg of a Monday Night Football doubleheader tonight when the New York Jets (0-3, ATS, away, O/U) visit the Miami Dolphins (0-3, ATS, home, O/U) at 7:15 pm ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.
The opening NFL Week 4 odds listed Miami as 2.5-point favorites and the total at 44.5. The spread hasn’t budged but the total has ticked up a point to 45.5 with sharps favoring the over.
Below, I have set out the main Jets vs Dolphins player props for the QBs and skill-position players. Under the table, find my favorite Jets vs Dolphins player props to bet on MNF.
Jets vs Dolphins Rushing & Receiving Props
Tagovailoa’s passing yards prop is set at 242.5, a number he has failed to reach in two of his three games this season. The Jets’ pass defense is allowing just 207.3 yards per game, making the under an appealing play. Fields’ line is set low at 188.5, reflecting the Jets’ run-heavy approach and his own struggles, but Miami’s defense has been generous to opposing quarterbacks.
For Miami, Devon Achane has been a dual-threat weapon, and his rushing prop of 55.5 yards is attainable against a Jets run defense that can be inconsistent.

Jets vs Dolphins Player-Prop Pick #1: Breece Hall Over 54.5 Rushing Yards
Breece Hall’s rushing prop of 54.5 yards is low given the matchup against Miami’s porous run defense.
With Fields at the helm, the Jets’ offense lives and dies with the running game, and Hall is central to that. Currently, the Jets average 127 rushing yards per game with Hall contributing significantly at 4.59 yards per carry. This bodes well against a Dolphins run defense that has struggled immensely, giving up an average of 145 rushing yards per game and 4.53 yards per carry. Hall should see a heavy workload and easily surpass his 55.5-yard rushing total.
John Hyslop included Hall going over a lower total in his Jets vs Dolphins SGP.
NYJ vs MiA Prop Pick #2: Tyreek Hill Under 67.5 Receiving Yards
Tyreek Hill’s receiving line of 65.5 yards is tempting, but with Sauce Gardner likely shadowing him, the under holds value.
While Tyreek Hill is an elite receiver, the matchup against Jets cornerback Sauce Gardner presents a significant challenge. Gardner is known for his lockdown coverage, and the Jets’ pass defense as a whole is formidable, allowing only 207.3 passing yards per game. This defensive strength, combined with the likelihood of a run-heavy game script from the Jets to exploit the Dolphins’ weak run defense, suggests fewer passing opportunities and a tougher day for Hill to reach his receiving total.
Jets vs Dolphins Player-Prop Pick #3: Devon Achane Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Devon Achane has proven to be a versatile and explosive weapon for the Dolphins, capable of scoring from anywhere on the field. With Miami’s offense needing to find ways to put points on the board against a stout Jets defense, Achane’s dual-threat ability in both the running and passing game makes him a prime candidate to find the end zone.
His speed and elusiveness will be crucial for the Dolphins to generate offensive production, making his anytime TD prop a valuable pick at -110 odds at ESPN Bet. (He’s as short as -135 at BetMGM.)
The sports and sports betting data in this article was gathered with the assistance of AI that is connected to Sportradar’s database.

Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.