Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Player Props & Touchdown Scorer Picks

• With the game total at 52.5, the Chiefs vs Bills props project big days from several players
• Wind and cold temperatures could impact both high-powered passing attacks
• See the Chiefs vs Bills player props to target and touchdown-scorer picks

The next chapter in the NFL’s premier quarterback rivalry unfolds in Week 9 as Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS, 3-5 O/U) travel to face Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 O/U) in a clash of AFC titans. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 pm ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park.

Despite KC’s 0-2 start to the season, both teams are firmly in the hunt for the conference’s top seed. With Indianapolis already 7-1, there’s little room for error if either hopes to get the AFC’s lone bye.

The Chiefs vs Bills odds opened with Kansas City as a 1.5-point road favorite and the total at 51.5. On the morning of gameday, the Chiefs are now two-point chalk and the total has ticked up to 52.5. As expected with a total that high, the Chiefs vs Bills player props portend big days from several stars.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Player Props

NFL player props as of November 2 at BetMGM. See SBD’s BetMGM Missouri page for the latest promo news and sign-up bonuses before launch in December.

KC vs BUF Player Prop Pick #1: Josh Allen Over 6.5 Rushing Attempts

Sometimes, the most obvious bet is the right one. While the juice isn’t ideal, the historical data is too overwhelming to ignore. When Josh Allen faces the Kansas City Chiefs, he transforms into a running back, consistently relying on his legs to move the chains and escape pressure from the Chiefs’ pass rush.

Allen has exceeded 8.5 rushing attempts in seven consecutive games against Kansas City, averaged an astounding 11.3 attempts per game. This isn’t a fluke; it’s a core component of the Bills’ game plan against their biggest conference rival.

This line is as high as 8.5 at DraftKings and Fanatics, with only modest plus-money on the over.

KC vs BUF Player Prop Pick #2: Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 Receptions

The trends strongly support this plus-money bet on Kincaid over 3.5 receptions. When the Bills are underdogs, Josh Allen has leaned on his tight end as a safety valve, and Kincaid has consistently delivered in that role. Kincaid has surpassed this line of 3.5 receptions in five of the last six when the Bills are underdogs, averaging 4.8 catches across those six games.

Chiefs vs Bills Touchdown Scorer Odds

Anytime and first-touchdown odds as of 12:03 pm ET at BetMGM.

Chiefs vs Bills Touchdown Scorer Pick: Kareem Hunt

While Josh Allen’s rushing upside is undeniable, the most compelling touchdown prop in terms of value and situational impact is Kareem Hunt to score at +110.

The potential absence of Chiefs starting running back Isiah Pacheco due to a knee injury would immediately elevate Hunt to the lead back. This would drastically increase his red-zone opportunities and overall touches, making his +112 odds extremely appealing for a player who would become the primary goal-line option in a high-powered offense. This injury-driven opportunity makes Hunt an excellent value play to find the end zone at plus-money.