- Kansas City looks to avenge their only loss of the season when the visit Las Vegas on Sunday night (8:20 EST)
- Last week’s picks went 1-3, losing 1.09 units
- Which players will light up the stats sheet in this crucial AFC West tilt?
The Kansas City Chiefs have had this rematch circled for weeks, after the Las Vegas Raiders pulled off an upset in Arrowhead earlier this season. Andy Reid and the Chiefs apparently took exception to how Vegas celebrated that 40-32 victory on the Kansas City’s home turf and now they’re looking to return the favor.
"That's not our style.''
-Andy Reid today regarding the Raiders victory lap around Arrowhead pic.twitter.com/puZQiXIuWr
— Raider Nation Boston (@RaiderNationBOS) November 16, 2020
The Raiders defense will just be excited to get back on the field, after contact tracing most of them from practicing this week. As a result, Las Vegas is getting eight points at home for this important AFC West matchup.
Who will shine indoors on the fast track of Allegiant Stadium? Let’s find out.
Chiefs vs Raiders Player Props
|Passers||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Patrick Mahomes (KC)||25.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)||319.5 (Ov -106 | Un -114)||2.5 (Ov +102 | Un -130)|
|Derek Carr (LV)||23.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100)||259.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||1.5 (Ov -150 | Un +118)|
|Rushers||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rush + Receiving Yards|
|Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)||11.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108)||47.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||61.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Le’Veon Bell (KC)||6.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Josh Jacobs (LV)||17.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||74.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||93.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Devontae Booker (LV)||N/A||27.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Receivers||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Tyreek Hill (KC)||5.5 (Ov -118 | Un -108)||76.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||26.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Travis Kelce (KC)||6.5 (Ov +118 | Un -150)||77.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||23.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Mecole Hardman (KC)||3.5 (Ov +118 | Un -150)||40.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||N/A|
|Darren Waller (LV)||5.5 (Ov +106 | Un -136)||52.5 (Ov -106 | Un -114)||19.5 (Ov -102 | Un -125)|
|Henry Ruggs (LV)||2.5 (Ov -150 | Un +118)||34.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||18.5 (Ov -106 | Un -120)|
|Nelson Agholor (LV)||3.5 (Ov +132 | Un -170)||33.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||18.5 (Ov -136 | Un +106)|
Odds taken Nov. 22 from DraftKings and FanDuel
Kelce Keeps Crushing It
Travis Kelce has been a terror to the Raiders recently, averaging 101.5 yards per game in his last six meetings. Las Vegas has no one in the middle of that defense that can matchup with the hulking tight end, and now the already excitable Kelce is “extra fired up” for this game.
— SiriusXM NFL Radio (@SiriusXMNFL) November 22, 2020
The Raiders aren’t a very stout defense to begin with, ranking 25th in passing yards allowed and 21st in DVOA. They also allowed the nearly 500 yards of offense to the Chiefs in their first meeting. Now with their week of practice getting disrupted, it’s hard to imagine Vegas coming out with a gameplan to stifle this high powered KC attack.
Raiders covid list… pic.twitter.com/tckucR7BCq
— ☃️Ant🏁 (@AntHellaRaw87) November 19, 2020
Look for Kelce to be on of a few Chiefs stars to have a great night in Sin City.
Pick: 1 unit on Travis Kelce OVER 77.5 receiving yards (-110)
Carr Breaks Down
Derek Carr has finally gotten back to dialing up the deep ball, after years of playing checkdown in Jon Gruden’s offense. In their win over KC, Carr connected on four throws of 25 yards or more, catching the Chiefs secondary completely off guard.
— Marcus Mosher (@Marcus_Mosher) October 11, 2020
A more aggressive approach from Carr is a welcome sight for Raiders fans, but it also means more opportunities for this excellent Chiefs secondary to make plays on the ball. I think you see where I’m going with this.
Derek Carr Interception Odds
|Will Derek Carr Throw an Interception||Odds at FanDuel|
Carr has been excellent at avoiding turnovers this year, but that’s largely because Las Vegas is playing with the lead. In his last four games against Kansas City, Carr has thrown seven interceptions! Tonight’s game-script should also see the Raiders needing to rally back, putting Carr in a position where he needs to force balls downfield and putting us in a position to cash in on this bet.
Pick: 1 unit on Derek Carr throwing an interception (+124)
Chiefs vs Raiders Scoring Props
|Team||Odds to Score 1st TD||Odds to Score Any TD|
|Travis Kelce (KC)||+650||-155|
|Tyreek Hill (KC)||+700||-134|
|Josh Jacobs (LV)||+800||-134|
|Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)||+850||-106|
|Darren Waller (LV)||+1300||+145|
|Le’Veon Bell (KC)||+1400||+165|
|Mecole Hardman (KC)||+1500||+180|
|Devontae Booker (LV)||+1800||+225|
|Patrick Mahomes (KC)||+1800||+240|
|Demarcus Robinson (KC)||+1800||+225|
Big Stars Strike First
With the mindset that the Chiefs are going to come out hot in this game, we’re looking at their biggest stars to make an impact early. We’ve already discussed the damage Kelce has done to the Raiders D, but let’s look at speedster Tyreek Hill as well. With six touchdowns in eight career games against this franchise, Hill has hurt Las Vegas from everywhere on the field.
What's that you say? Tyreek Hill might be returning punts on Sunday night? Flashback to 2016 SNF vs the Raiders… pic.twitter.com/sJhdxgCpDk
— Daniel Harms (@D_Harms19) November 19, 2020
We’re looking at Hill and Kelce to start things off with a bang against this unprepared Raiders unit.
Pick: 0.5 units each on Kelce first TD (+650) and Hill first TD (+700)
Let's have fun and keep it civil.