Lamar Jackson vs Patrick Mahomes: Odds to Have More Combined Passing & Rushing Yards
- The Kansas City Chiefs host the Baltimore Ravens in the game of Week 3
- Two of the league’s most promising young passers will go at it in what figures to be a shootout
- Who will put up more yardage: reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes or Lamar Jackson?
The marquee matchup of Week 3 pits the undefeated Baltimore Ravens against the equally not-loss-having Kansas City Chiefs.
Undefeated teams meeting up is always exciting, but this game is extra juicy, thanks to the high-powered offenses that will be taking the field, led by two of the most exciting young quarterbacks in the NFL: Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes.
Both are capable of making plays with their arms or their legs. Online betting sites have a prop for who will make more plays.
Combined Yards: Patrick Mahomes vs Lamar Jackson
| Who will have more passing and rushing yards? | Odds |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +100 |
| Lamar Jackson | -130 |
All odds taken 09/21/19.
Which of these star young QBs will move the ball more for his team this Sunday?
Is Action Jackson For Real?
It’s odd that Jackson is favored in this one, considering Mahomes has gotten the best in these matchups through two weeks.
Head-to-Head Matchup
| 378 | Passing Yards Week 1 | 324 |
| 2 | Rushing Yards Week 1 | 6 |
| 380 | Total Yards Week 1 | 330 |
| 443 | Passing Yards Week 2 | 272 |
| -1 | Rushing Yards Week 2 | 120 |
| 442 | Total Yards Week 2 | 392 |
Granted, Jackson sat for the entire fourth quarter against Miami, a scenario that definitely won’t happen here.
These two QBs traded punches last season as Kansas City eked out a 27-24 win. In terms of combined yardage, Mahomes owned that matchup too, 374 to 214, with Lamar throwing for a paltry 147 yards. But with a full offseason to build an offense around Jackson, Baltimore has unlocked the former Heisman winners’ aerial abilities this year.
WHAT ❗️❗️@Lj_era8 to @Primetime_jet for 41 yards❗️❗️ pic.twitter.com/vgbZDHLLwB
— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) September 15, 2019
But after talking all offseason about how they would revolutionize running the ball, the Ravens haven’t really followed through on that plan. Perhaps it was just a smokescreen or perhaps they just weren’t playing opponents that called for such a strategy? Against a lethal Chiefs offense, controlling the clock with the ground game could be the best way for Baltimore to operate this week.
Don’t Bet Against Mahomes
Not only is he 13-7-1 ATS as a starter, but Mahomes is a stat machine. Last season, he failed to top 300 combined passing and rushing yards just three times.
This year, he’s averaging an absurd 410 yards passing a game. And last week he showed that even if things don’t look good in the start, he can flip a switch just like that.
This is a bad, bad man.
The Play
Although I’ve already pointed out that I like Baltimore’s chances in this game, this bet is about raw numbers and Mahomes getting even odds here is an absolute steal. The Chiefs’ offense relies on him to move the ball (especially with Damien Williams out) whereas I think the Ravens backfield can make some waves of their own.
Pick: Mahomes to have more combined passing and rushing yards (+100)
Eric Thompson has been with SBD since 2015, serving as a sports betting expert in NFL, NHL, NBA, and MLB. If you want someone who eats, sleeps, and breathes sports news and betting, Eric is your man. Having studied economics at university, he understands what value is and how to spot it.
