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Next Buffalo Bills Coach Odds After McDermott Fired

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL News

Published:


Buffalo Bills head coach Sean McDermott on the sideline
Jan 17, 2026; Denver, CO, USA; Buffalo Bills head coach Sean McDermott during the second quarter of an AFC Divisional Round playoff game against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images
  • The Buffalo Bills have fired Sean McDermott after nine seasons
  • The odds on Buffalo’s next HC heavily favor one of three men
  • See the full list of contenders in the Bills next head coach odds

The Buffalo Bills have parted ways with longtime head coach Sean McDermott after yet another disappointing postseason. McDermott was at the reins for nine seasons, which included a 98-50 regular-season record (.662 win %), eight playoff appearances, but zero trips to the Super Bowl. McDermott was 0-2 in AFC Championship Games.

After the 51-year-old was let go, Kalshi was quick to post a prediction market on who will replace him. The table below shows the Buffalo Bills next head coach odds for every candidate on the board.

Bills Next Head Coach Odds

CandidateYes PriceNo Price% Chance
Brian Daboll30¢71¢34%
Mike Tomlin99¢20%
Joe Brady19¢86¢19%
Klint Kubiak18¢85¢18%
Davis Webb13¢¢13%
Robert Saleh99¢7%
Mike McDaniel97¢3%
Brian Flores99¢2%
Mike McCarthy99¢2%
Nathan Scheelhaase99¢2%

If you’re new to prediction markets, all successful contracts return $1. So if you buy a contract a Yes contact on Brian Daboll at 30¢ and he is hired, you would profit 70¢ on every contract you purchased at that price. If you bought contracts on No at 71¢ and someone else gets the job, you would profit 29¢ on every No contract you purchased at that price.

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Brian Daboll Early Favorite in BUF Head Coach Odds

The early leader is recently-canned New York Giants HC Brian Daboll, who is trading at price of 30¢ on the Yes and 71¢ on the No. Kalshi gives him a 34% chance of getting the job based on the early market activity.

If the Bills are looking for someone with an established playoff pedigree, Daboll would certainly be a quizzical choice. In four seasons with the Giants, he reached the playoffs just once (his first season) and went 0-1. He finished his 3.5-year tenure with a brutal .336 win percentage (20-40-1).

Mike Tomlin a Contender in Bills HC Odds

A more sensible choice for a franchise still in search of “the big one” would be longtime Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin. Not only did he have zero had a losing seasons in 19 years on the Pittsburgh sideline, he also led the Steelers to a championship at Super Bowl 47 and got them back to the title game in Super Bowl 49.

He finished his tenure in Pittsburgh with an 8-12 postseason record.

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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