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Next Dolphins Head Coach Odds – Is Harbaugh the Favorite?

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL News

Published:


Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh
Jan 4, 2026; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh reacts during the second half at Acrisure Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images
  • The Miami Dolphins fired Mike McDaniel on Thursday
  • Rumors are swirling that ex-Ravens coach John Harbaugh will be the next Miami HC
  • See the odds on the next Miami Dolphins head coach

After four up-and-down, injury-plagued seasons, Mike McDaniel has been let go by the Miami Dolphins. After yesterday’s shocking news that Baltimore had fired longtime head coach John Harbaugh, the Miami developments have led many to speculate that the ex-Baltimore boss is headed to South Beach.

Prediction site Kalshi has already opened a market on Miami’s next HC, and the elder Harbaugh immediately shot to the top of the board.

Miami Dolphins Next Head Coach Odds

CandidateYes PriceNo Price
John Harbaugh44¢57¢
Vance Joseph15¢91¢
Kevin Stefanski12¢97¢
Robert Saleh12¢90¢
Klint Kubiak98¢
Jeff Hafley96¢
Jesse Minter97¢
Kliff KingsburyN/A
Mike McCarthy98¢
Brian FloresN/A
Jon Gruden99¢

The table below lists the yes/no prices at Kalshi as of 12:30 pm ET on Thursday, Jan. 8. The graph below will update in real time to show the current state of the next-Miami-coach market.

Is Harbaugh a Good Bet to Be Dolphins Next Head Coach?

The problem with betting Harbaugh at these odds is that he’s now basically one of the favorites for every opening in the league. He also has the best odds to be the next head coach of the New York Giants, and is listed as a prime contender for the Atlanta Falcons’ and Las Vegas Raiders’ positions.

It’s not a mystery why he’s high up on many, many lists.

During his 18 seasons in Baltimore, Harbaugh racked up a 180-113 regular-season record (.614 win percentage). He led the Ravens to the playoffs in 12 of those 18 seasons, posting a 13-11 postseason record, including one Super Bowl win.

His resume is as good as it gets.

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Vance Joseph the Current Second-Favorite in Miami HC Odds

Former Denver Broncos HC – and current Broncos defensive coordinator – Vance Joseph is listed as the distant second-favorite, currently. Joseph is trading at 15¢ to land the job, compared to Harbaugh at 44¢. (For those new to prediction markets, every successful contract pays out $1. So if you purchase Harbaugh “yes” contracts at 44¢, you will profit 56¢ for every contract you bought if Harbaugh gets the job. If you purchase Joseph “yes” contracts at just 17¢, you will profit 83¢ on every contract if Joseph lands the gig.)

Joseph only got two years with the Broncos before he was relieved of his HC duties, spending a few seasons as the Arizona DC before returning to Mile High. Joseph went a disappointing 11-21 as the Denver head coach, but he was crucial in the team’s march to the AFC #1 seed in the 2026 NFL playoff bracket.

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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