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Odds Say Kaepernick Won’t Throw Another NFL Pass After Collusion Settlement

Ryan Bolta

by Ryan Bolta in NFL Football

Feb 21, 2019 · 3:33 PM PST

Colin Kaepernick throwing a pass
Colin Kaepernick has not thrown a pass in the NFL since 2016. Photo by US Air Force 2nd Lt. Keenan Kunst [Public Domain]
  • Colin Kaepernick reached a settlement with the NFL in his collusion lawsuit.
  • Details of the settlement are not available due to a non-disclosure agreement.
  • Some reports suggest his path back to the NFL is clear now that the lawsuit has concluded.

Colin Kaepernick reaching a settlement with the NFL does not mean he’s out of the headlines. It just means the story has changed.

Since you’re going to have to sit through months, or possibly years, more of this ongoing story, why not bet on it?

Sportsbooks have released a prop bet sure to make sitting through the saga much more exciting.

Odds Kaepernick Throws Another Pass in NFL

Will Colin Kaepernick Ever Throw Another NFL Pass? Odds
Yes +350
No -700

*Odds taken 2/21

As the odds show, it’s unlikely Kaepernick gets another NFL gig. Even more unlikely than his odds of signing with a team in 2018. But unlikely doesn’t mean impossible.

Here’s the case why there could be value in sprinkling some action on the ‘Yes’ at the +350 price point.

Chances “Higher Now” Kaepernick Signs With Lawsuit Settled

Reports released have suggested the chances Kaepernick returns to the NFL are better now than they were when the lawsuit was pending.

That seems obvious, but it’s an important piece of information. Had the suit dragged on, and Kaepernick’s time away from the game extended, his chances would have dwindled drastically.

As it stands now, he’s still close enough from NFL form for a team to take a chance.

While there’s more to life as a backup in the NFL than pure skill, Kaepernick’s numbers in 2016 suggest he’s more than capable of competing for a roster spot. He had a 16-4 TD to INT ratio and a passer rating of 90.7.

Those are numbers that several teams could look at and be impressed by.

There’s Money To Be Made

For a long time, Kaepernick was viewed as a toxic proposition by NFL owners, someone sure to cause unrest in the fan base.

As time has gone on, however, he is seen more as a role model today than ever before. Is it crazy to suggest a team may see the financial upside to having him sell their jersey instead of the Nike generic that’s flying off the shelves?

From a purely financial standpoint, if Tim Tebow can find himself in the New York Mets organization, surely Kaepernick can provide value to an NFL team.

If he can help on the field, and would definitely help off the field creating revenue, it’s not implausible 1 of the 32 teams bites and offers him a deal.


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