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Odds of Daniel Jones Rushing for More Touchdowns Than Adrian Peterson in Week 4 Set at +300

Eric Thompson

by Eric Thompson in NFL Football

Updated Apr 3, 2020 · 9:44 AM PDT

Giants' Daniel Jones
Giants' rookie Daniel Jones has seen his OROY odds worsen after Week 6. Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire.
  • In a stunning debut, rookie Daniel Jones led a thrilling 18-point comeback against the Buccaneers
  • Not only did he throw for two scores, but the athletic QB ran for two more. Bettors took note
  • After opening at +300, the odds he’ll rush for more TDs than Adrian Peterson in Week 4 is down to +240

After Eli Manning’s benching following a Week 2 loss, the debates raged. Was the Giants’ quarterback a Hall of Famer? We now have our answer. Unequivocally yes… Daniel Jones is Canton bound!

That seems to be the only reaction in the Big Apple following a huge Week 3 comeback over Tampa. Jones showed great arm talent, along with a scrambling ability not seen for Big Blue since the Hefty Lefty was on the sidelines.

Now, the prop makers have decided to pit the Giants surefire Hall of Famer against another this week.

Adrian Peterson vs Daniel Jones Rushing TD Odds

More Week 4 Rushing TDs Odds
Adrian Peterson -380
Daniel Jones +240

All odds taken 09/26/19

Who will find paydirt more at Metlife on Sunday?

Peterson’s Best Days Are Behind Him

While he still manages a few highlights a year that remind you how great an athlete he is, Peterson is definitely on the decline. In his last 30 games, he’s rushed for just 10 TDs, which doesn’t sound terrible until you remember his career production.

Head-to-Head Matchup

Adrian Peterson
VS
Daniel Jones
107 Rush TDs in Career 2
1 Rush TDs in 2019 2
0.71 Rush TDs per Game 1

There’s still a ton of motivation for Peterson, who sits just three rushing scores behind Walter Payton on the all-time list. But lately, he hasn’t got much help from his offense or coach.

Jones Might Get More Goal-line Calls

On the season, Jones and Peterson both have the same amount of carries inside the 10-yard line, with two. And with Saquan Barkley out this week, it would figure the athletic Giants quarterback may get more chances to make plays with his legs in the red zone.

Both teams have abysmal defenses, so it would figure they’ll both get plenty of chances inside the 20. But after getting scratched in Week 1, Peterson has played just 31 and 47% of offensive snaps for Washington. Jones will be out there every play. Based on opportunity alone, it’s astounding that these odds favor Peterson so much.

The Play

The -380 odds imply a nearly an 80% chance that Peterson rushes for more TDs. That’s ludicrous. He might punch in one against this Giants D, but I’m pretty confident Jones won’t be denied as well. Roll with the rookie getting some juicy odds here.

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