Odds Favor Patrick Mahomes to Lead Divisional Round in Passing

By Robert Duff in NFL Football
Updated: March 24, 2020 at 4:14 pm EDTPublished:

- Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes is favored to pass for the most yardage during the NFL Divisional Playoff Round
- Mahomes passed for the most yards this season (5,097) of any QB still in the postseason
- He is one of seven QBs in NFL history to pass for 5,000 yards in a single season
The arm of Patrick Mahomes has carried the Kansas City to home-field advantage in the AFC and sportsbooks are laying odds that Mahomes will continue to be a passing fancy in the postseason.
The sportsbook is offering a prop bet favoring Mahomes to pass for the most yardage during the NFL Divisional Playoff Round.
Odds to Record Most Passing Yards During NFL Divisional Round
Player | Team | Odds |
---|---|---|
Patrick Mahomes | KC | +250 |
Andrew Luck | IND | +300 |
Jared Goff | LAR | +450 |
Drew Brees | NO | +500 |
Tom Brady | NE | +500 |
Nick Foles | PHI | +550 |
Philip Rivers | LAC | +550 |
Dak Prescott | DAL | +2000 |
*Odds taken January 8, 2019
Mahomes is just the second QB in NFL history to pass for 5,000 yards and 50 TDs in the same season.
He’s an Outstanding Pat
This season, Mahomes set Chiefs franchise marks for passing yardage and TD passes in a season, and tied the single-game TD pass standard with six against the Los Angeles Rams.
He was the first QB in NFL history to pass for over 3,000 yards in his first 10 games and also set a league standard for the most TD passes in the first three (13), eight (22) and 10 games of a season (31).
Texas Tech: 5,052 (2016)
Kansas City Chiefs: 5,097 (2018)@PatrickMahomes5 is one of a kind 🚀 pic.twitter.com/VIwDJEz0zg— ESPN (@espn) January 2, 2019
Mahomes also tied a league mark by passing for at least 300 yards in eight consecutive games and was the fastest QB to reach 4,000 yards passing and 40 TD passes in the NFL history, doing it in just 13 games.
But Mahomes has Never Done it in the Playoffs
Yes, there’s that. And based on Wildcard Weekend, there is legitimate cause for concern. Three quarterbacks made their NFL playoff debuts last week – DeShaun Watson of the Houston Texans, Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens, and Mitchell Trubisky of the Chicago Bears.
Since Jan. 2013, QBs making their first playoff start against QBs with more playoff experience are just 3-12 SU. (Mariota, Keenum, Kaepernick)
0-3 this playoffs with Mahomes starting Saturday
— Anthony Dabbundo (@AnthonyDabbundo) January 7, 2019
They went 0-3, so maybe standing with Pat isn’t the best strategy.
Maybe Go With a Little Luck
We think the guy who is going to come of the the Divisional Round with the most passing yardage will be on the field in Kansas City. We just think that he’ll be under center for the other team.
The scenario at Arrowhead Stadium sets up so nicely for Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck to have himself a day to remember. Luck passed for 39 TDs this season, second to Mahomes in the NFL. But that’s not why you should like him this week.
📺: The last time the Chiefs faced Andrew Luck & the Colts in the playoffs, Luck led a 28-point comeback to knock off Kansas City, 45-44, in the 2013 playoffs.
The 2 teams meet again, lots of new faces on both sides, but the Chiefs know how dangerous Luck is. #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/Xao20cU7gy
— Chris Roush (@chrisRroush) January 9, 2019
The best thing that Luck has on his side is the Kansas City defense. The Chiefs were 31st in the NFL this season at stopping the pass. They also surrender, on average, an AFC-worst five yards per carry. Colts RB Marlon Mack averages 4.7 yards per carry, and that double threat only makes it easier for Luck to carve up the Chiefs through the air.

Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.