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Odds Favor Trey Flowers Recording More Sacks Than Terrell Suggs in 2019

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Mar 2, 2021 · 3:28 PM PST

Bill Belichick New England Patriots
New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick, right, speaks to New England Patriots defensive backs Jason McCourty, left, and Adrian Phillips, rear, in the first half of an NFL football game against the Arizona Cardinals, Sunday, Nov. 29, 2020, in Foxborough, Mass. (AP Photo/Elise Amendola)
  • You can wager on who has more sacks in 2019, Trey Flowers or Terrell Suggs
  • Flowers is entering the prime of his career, while Suggs’ best days are behind him
  • Who’s the best bet?

Trey Flowers is the latest Patriot to leave New England in search of a big pay day.

As one of the most coveted free agents on the market, it didn’t take long for the Detroit Lions to swoop in and make him one of the highest paid defensive players in the league.

While Flowers is heading to the Motor City, fellow pass-rushing specialist Terrell Suggs is moving on from Baltimore after 16 seasons to join the Cardinals.

Flowers and Suggs recorded 7.5 and 7 sacks, respectively, last season, and are pitted against each other in a who will record more sacks prop.

Odds to Record More Sacks in 2019

Player Odds
Trey Flowers -150
Terrell Suggs +120

*Odds taken March 13

Over the past three seasons, Suggs has the edge in total number of sacks (26-21), but has benefited greatly from playing on a defense that included Za’Darius Smith, Matt Judon, and CJ Mosley.

Flowers on the other hand, has had little help when it comes to complementary pass-rushing threats, especially in 2018 when the Patriots finished tied for 30th in sacks.

Flowers vs Suggs Sacks Over Last 3 Seasons

Flowers Year Suggs
7 2016 8
6.5 2017 11
7.5 2018 7

Flowers is Entering His Prime

At just 25 years of age, Flowers is entering the prime of his career. After a slight dip in production in 2017, he rebounded in 2018 to have the best year of his career.

He finished tied for second in total pressures among edge rushers, but what most people don’t realize is that the Patriots slid him inside quite frequently, where he also excelled.

It’s unclear how former defensive coordinator Matt Patricia plans to use him in Detroit, but early speculation is that he’ll assume the role vacated by Ziggy Ansah, a role that has produced big sack totals the last few seasons.

Suggs is on His Last Legs

Suggs meanwhile, will be 37 this year and is in the twilight stage of his career.

Despite a respectable sack total last season, his pressure rate was his second-lowest since 2012, and his quarterback hit rate has declined in five straight seasons.

He’s not the dominant force he once was and hasn’t been an All-Pro since 2011.

Flowers For the Win

Neither player is joining a top-10 defensive unit, but Flowers is the clear cut play.

He’s younger, more athletic, and will play more snaps, giving him more opportunities to rack up sacks. Lay the -150 with confidence.

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