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Odds on When Keenum, Flacco, Fitzpatrick & Winston Will Be Benched

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Mar 31, 2020 · 4:21 PM PDT

Case Keenum throwing.
Oddsmakers are offering prop wagers on when Washington's Case Keenum, Denver's Joe Flacco, Tampa Bay's Jameis Winston or Miami's Ryan Fitzpatrick will be benched as starting quarterbacks by their NFL teams. Photo from @SportsDebatable (Twitter).
  • When might Washington’s Case Keenum, Denver’s Joe Flacco, Miami’s Ryan Fitzpatrick or Tampa Bay’s Jameis Winston be benched as starting quarterback of their NFL team?
  • Oddsmakers are offering prop wagers covering those questions
  • Of the four, only Winston has won a game thus far this season

Case Keenum is winless and has Dwayne Haskins staring over his shoulder. Joe Flacco is winless and has Drew Lock looking to get in under center. Ryan Fitzpatrick is winless and has twice been relieved by Josh Rosen. Jameis Winston is coming off his best performance in a long time and yet, his future also seems tenuous at best.

Each of these four NFL starting quarterbacks could soon find themselves as backup quarterbacks.

How soon?

Those are the questions oddsmakers have posed in the form of four separate prop wagers. You can bet on whether each QB will be benched before or after a specific week in the 2019-20 NFL season.

Call them benchmarks, if you will.

Already this season, the New York Giants have benched starter Eli Manning in favor of 2019 first round draft pick Daniel Jones. He’ll get the start Sunday against Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Odds on When Case Keenum Will Be Benched

Outcome Odds
Before Week 10 -140
After Week 10 +110

*Odds taken on 09/18/19.

As Jay Z might say, the Washington Redskins have 99 problems but Case Keenum isn’t one of them.

No, Keenum isn’t Joe Montana. But he isn’t Rex Grossman, either.

Through two games at the helm of the 0-2 Redskins, Keenum has passed for 601 yards and five touchdowns. He’s yet to throw an interception and owns a passer rating of 111.2. He’s completed almost 70 percent of his passes (69.1).

Washington’s offense, which wasn’t expected to be very good, is averaging 24 points per game and hasn’t turned the ball over. Keenum has nothing to do with a dreadful defense that’s surrendered over 30 points and more than 400 yards in consecutive losses.

Yes, 2019 first-round pick Dwayne Haskins is the future under center for the Redskins. But that future is not now.

At this stage of the season, there’s absolutely no reason to bench Keenum.

Pick: After Week 10 (+110).

Odds on When Joe Flacco Will Be Benched

Outcome Odds
Before Week 9 -120
After Week 9 -120

In two games at the helm of the Denver Broncos, Flacco has completed 69.1 percent of his passes for 560 yards. He’s thrown two touchdown passes and been picked off only once. But that was one costly interception.

Flacco was picked off Sunday by Chicago’s Kyle Fuller on the goal line as Denver was driving for a game-tying TD.

Overall, though, Flacco has done for Denver what he did for the Baltimore Ravens en route to winning them a Super Bowl. He’s a game manager.

Flacco isn’t going to light it up the way Patrick Mahomes is capable of doing. Denver got him to engineer a ball control style offense with high-percentage passing plays.

He’s also a QB who’s twice beaten Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in the NFL playoffs.

Then again, so is Eli Manning.

Pick: After Week 9 (-120).

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Odds on When Ryan Fitzpatrick Will Be Benched

Outcome Odds
Before Week 5 -300
After Week 5 +200

The 0-2 Miami Dolphins have played almost as many quarters (eight) as they’ve scored points (10). They’re 21-point underdogs against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 3. And yet, head coach Brian Flores this week gave 15-season veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick a ringing endorsement.

Flores anointed Fitzpatrick, 36, as his starter against the Cowboys. He cited the trust he has in Fitzpatrick, noting his leadership and smarts.

The numbers certainly aren’t the reason why Miami would stick with Fitzpatrick. He’s 25-of-50 with one touchdown and four interceptions. Fitzpatrick’s passer rating is 39.9.

On the other hand, Josh Rosen, the 2018 first round pick that Miami acquired in the offseason from the Arizona Cardinals has shown little in a pair of relief appearances. His passer rating is 14.5.

Flores did reveal that he would be giving more first-team reps to Rosen going forward, so it would appear as though a path to the #1 job is slowly opening for him.

Pick: After Week 5 (+200).

Odds on When Jameis Winston Will Be Benched

Outcome Odds
Before Week 11 +150
After Week 11 -200

In a make or break year, Winston turned in one of his finest performances as the Buccaneers beat the Carolina Panthers in Week 2. He passed for 208 yards and a touchdown. His passer rating of 103.4. Perhaps the most stunning development was that he committed zero turnovers.

The week before, Winston was picked off three times by the San Francisco 49ers. That’s been his trademark as an NFL QB.

It’s why his time as an NFL starter is running out. The best thing Winston has going for him at the moment is that Tampa Bay doesn’t have a viable option to replace him.

Pick: After Week 11 (-200).

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