Opening Odds for Bills vs Chiefs Week 5 Sunday Night Football
- The Kansas City Chiefs (2-2) opened as 3-point favorites over the Buffalo Bills (3-1) on Sunday Night Football in Week 5 (Oct. 10th, 8:20 pm ET)
- KC snapped a two-game losing streak in Week 4 by defeating Philadelphia, while Buffalo blew out Houston for its third straight win
- Read below for analysis on which way the line will move ahead of kickoff
It’s a rematch of last season’s AFC title game next weekend as the Kansas City Chiefs host the Buffalo Bills. The marquee matchup on the Week 5 slate has been given the coveted Sunday Night Football time slot (Oct. 10th, 8:20 pm ET), and just like the conference championship tilt, it’s KC that’s been pegged as the chalk.
Bills vs Chiefs Opening Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | +140 | +3 (-110) | O 56.5 (-110) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -166 | -3 (-110) | U 56.5 (-110) |
Odds as of Oct. 3rd at FanDuel.
The Chiefs opened as 3-point home favorites, in a game that features a total of 56.5, one of the highest over/unders of the season. KC went on the road in Week 4 and defeated Philadelphia 42-30, while Buffalo routed Houston 40-0 at home.
Bills Blank Texans
Poor Davis Mills and the Texans never stood a chance. Buffalo’s defense swarmed the rookie QB from the opening possession, sacking him three times and forcing five turnovers.
The Bills are first team with multiple 35+ point shutouts in a season since 2009…
quick reminder… IT'S ONLY WEEK 4 pic.twitter.com/BogSAzdotA
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) October 3, 2021
The Bills held Houston to 109 total yards, no that is not a typo, and a measly 2.6 yards per play. The dominant defensive effort allowed Buffalo to play much more conservatively on offense, and it helped overshadow a pedestrian Josh Allen performance.
A week after accounting for 5 touchdowns against Washington, Allen threw for just 248 yards and two scores. He threw just his second interception all season and was also sacked once, but failed to clear 300 yards for the third time in four outings. Last season, he threw for at least 307 yards in eight of 16 regular season games, en route to a 4,544 yard season.
Josh Allen doing Josh Allen things.
📺: @NFLonCBS pic.twitter.com/2UNbbKYs90
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) October 3, 2021
So far in 2021, he’s failed to live up to his preseason MVP hype, but the Bills are still winning games regardless. Buffalo has outscored its opponents 118-21 during its current three-game winning streak, and has posted two of the three shutouts in the NFL this season.
Stefon Diggs, who like Allen is off to a slow start so far, caught seven passes for 114 yards, while Dawson Know hauled in both of Allen’s passing touchdowns.
On the injury front, starting safety Jordan Poyer sat out with an ankle injury, while Buffalo lost starting linebacker Matt Milano to a hamstring injury, and kickoff returner Taiwan Jones to an undisclosed injury.
Chiefs Return to Form
Kansas City meanwhile, snapped a two-game losing streak in Week 4, thanks to a brilliant performance by Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill. The duo connected for 11 receptions, 186 yards and 3 touchdowns, including this 44-yard score.
TYREEK. HILL. HOW!!!!!
📺: #KCvsPHI on CBS pic.twitter.com/UeNX2t2PNa
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) October 3, 2021
Mahomes finished with 278 yards and 5 TD, while the Chiefs cleared 32 points for the third time in four outings.
KC’s defense, which ranks 31st in both yards and points allowed per game was shredded once again, as the Eagles racked up 461 yards and 27 first downs. The Chiefs have surrendered at least 29 points in every game this season, and will be hard pressed to slow down the potent Buffalo attack.
Injury wise, KC had nothing major to report after this game, while the team hopes to have pass rusher Frank Clark (hamstring) back for Sunday night’s tilt.
Little Line Movement Expected
The 3-point spread mirrors the line in last January’s AFC Championship game. Given how each side has performed through four weeks, there’s likely value on the Bills at that number.
The 3-1 #Bills travel to KC to take on Chiefs next week on SNF. In the words of @KyleBrandt…. MOUNT UP.
— Bradley Gelber (@BradleyGelber) October 3, 2021
However, the moment the line creeps below a field goal money will come pouring in on Mahomes. The public won’t be able to help themselves from backing KC at -2.5 or less, and if we see the line move there, it will be bet back up to -3 in no time.
In all likelihood, this game will close at Chiefs -3, and there’s bound to be a sharp divide in the betting action between the pro’s and joe’s.
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
