Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Picks, Betting Trends & Closing Odds

• The Packers visit the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football this evening
• The “Micah Parsons Revenge Game” will see Green Bay’s star pass-rusher face his former team
• See the Packers vs Cowboys picks and closing odds for SNF

In a Sunday Night Football showdown dripping with narrative, Micah Parsons and the Green Bay Packers (2-1, 2-1 ATS, 0-3 O/U) travel to Arlington to take on the Dallas Cowboys (1-2, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U) at AT&T Stadium on Sunday Night Football.

The marquee storyline is the return of All-Pro edge rusher Parsons to Dallas, the team that drafted him and shockingly traded him this offseason. Parsons’ departure left a gaping hole in the Cowboy defense while simultaneously turning Green Bay into one of the league’s most formidable units.

Making matters worse for Dallas, star receiver CeeDee Lamb is on the IR and starting right guard Tyler Booker won’t play. With the Cowboys reeling from injuries, the Packers are big road favorites tonight.

Jump to: GB vs DAL Closing Odds | GB vs DAL Picks

Packers vs Cowboys Closing Odds

The spread is Green Bay -6.5 or -7.0 depending on the book. ESPN Bet has the best ATS price for Packer bettors at -6.5 (-105) while DraftKings has the best ATS price for Dallas bettors at +7.0 (-115). On the moneyline, Dallas is as long as +285 at BetMGM. FanDuel has the longest odds on a Green Bay win at -319.

The total ranges from 46.5 to 47.5 O/U at the moment. ESPN Bet has the best over odds (46.5 at -105) while DraftKings has the best under odds (47.5 at -115).

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Green Bay vs Dallas Odds Movement

This betting line has seen significant movement in favor of Green Bay. The opening NFL Week 4 odds listed the Packers as just 4.5-point road favorites with a total of 48.5. The moneyline opened at -245/+200 in Green Bay’s favor.

The line movement is attributable to both the Dallas injury situation and the NFL public betting splits, which show 84% of moneyline handle and 86% of ATS handle on the Packers.

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Picks & Prediction

• ATS: Cowboys +7.0 (-115) at DraftKings
• Over/Under: Under 47.5 (-115) at DraftKings

Everything points toward the Green Bay Packers in this matchup. The narrative of Micah Parsons’ revenge game is backed by a colossal schematic and talent advantage. The Packers’ defense isn’t just good; it’s statistically the best in the NFL through three weeks, allowing a league-low 14.7 points per game and yielding just 3.9 yards per play. Now, they face a Dallas offense that has lost its engine in CeeDee Lamb and is protecting Dak Prescott with a banged-up offensive line.

Prescott has struggled under pressure this season, and he’s about to face the most ferocious pass rush in football, led by a player who knows his tendencies intimately.

The line has swung too heavily, though. The Dallas defense is getting healthier with CB Daron Bland set to play his first game since Week 1. The Green Bay offense was in total disarray against the Browns last week, when they stunningly gave up a 10-point fourth-quarter lead to a previously-winless Cleveland team.

I don’t expect to Cowboys to win, but the line has swung way too far. The Cowboys, when healthy, went toe-to-toe with the Eagles on the road in Week 1. The absence of Lamb is huge but the receiving corps isn’t as one-dimensional as it was last year with the addition of former Steeler George Pickens.