- The Green Bay Packers had just 184 yards of offense in their blowout loss to the Los Angeles Chargers last week.
- The Carolina Panthers lead the NFL in sacks (34).
- Since their Week 1 win, the Packers are giving up 137.8 rushing yards per game.
The Green Bay Packers were served a big piece of humble pie, as Aaron Rodgers put it, in their 26-11 blowout loss to the Los Angeles Chargers. However, the bettors are with them this week, expecting a rebound. With 64% of the money on Green Bay, will they take care of business against the Carolina Panthers in Week 10?
Panthers vs Packers Odds & Betting Handle
|Carolina Panthers||+5 (-115)||+192||36.0%|
|Green Bay Packers||-5 (-105)||-230||64.0%|
Odds taken Nov. 8th
Packers Lay An Egg At Los Angeles
The Packers flopped on the road at the Chargers, which is surprising but understandable. They had a big win on the road in Kansas City in primetime the week before, so they came out a bit sleepy against the Chargers. Hopefully it’s just a one-off for the Packers but there were a number of red flags in that performance.
The big concern for the Packers has to be their run defense, which allowed the Chargers to pile up 159 rushing yards and hold the ball for 35:51 in terms of time of possession. They’ve had a tough time getting off the field all season long.
— Steve Wyche (@wyche89) November 4, 2019
Taking a look at some of the other numbers, the Packers were outgained 442-184 and nearly doubled in first downs at 24-13. The 184 yards of offense is surprising considering Rodgers had eight total touchdowns and 734 yards passing in the previous two games. We’ll see if it’s a one-off or if the Packers offensive issues will continue.
Panthers Running Game Will Push Packers
When you take a look at the action here, 64% of the handle is on Green Bay and 65% of the bet count. However, 57% of the sharps like Carolina, so they obviously see something here. There are probably two main factors for this.
Rodgers was harassed a lot in the pocket last week and that trend could continue. He’s now been sacked eight times in the last two games and will go up against the team that leads the NFL in sacks (34). On top of that, there are the aforementioned issues with the run defense.
Football weather is upon us! ❄️?☃️
— ESPN (@espn) November 6, 2019
The Packers held the Chicago Bears to just 46 rushing yards in Week 1 but since then, have allowed 137.8 rushing yards per game. Now they’ll have to face a Panthers team that’s sixth in the NFL in rushing yards per game and is tied for the league lead with 13 rushing touchdowns.
Running back Christian McCaffrey has been an absolute monster, piling up 881 rushing and 10 rushing touchdowns. He also has 42 catches for 363 yards and three touchdowns. Now he’s facing a Packers defense that allows 158.2 total yards to running backs (rushing and receiving). This is a good matchup for him.
Weather Could Be Factor
Winter has hit the Midwest sooner than expected as we saw snow at Lambeau Field earlier this week. According to the matchup report, Sunday’s temperatures are expected to be near freezing, so that could emphasize the ground games more so than the passing. As of now, there’s only a 10% chance of precipitation.
Aaron Rodgers wants more “juice” following the Packers’ dry performance last Sunday against the Chargers.
— Keith Jenkins (@MrKeithJenkins) November 8, 2019
What’s The Best Bet?
I don’t think we’ll see the Packers offense come to a complete halt for a second straight week but it could be a grind. With the weather and the style of opponent, this won’t be easy. While I do expect the Packers to pull this out, I think it’s too many points in this spot. The Panthers typically play close games, so take them getting 5 points.
Let's have fun and keep it civil.