NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 14: NFL Expert Picks on a 6-2-1 Run

• We have made it to NFL Week 14
• I am 4-1-1 with my NFL ATS picks since Week 12 and 6-2-1 since Week 11
• Keep reading for all my NFL picks against the spread for Week 14

It is the last week of the NFL season with bye weeks, and the NFL playoff bracket is taking shape.

NFL Week 14 is full of some great matchups, and I am looking to keep my hot streak going with my best bets. Since Week 12, I am 4-1-1 in my NFL ATS picks, and since Week 11, I am 6-2-1

See below for my NFL Week 14 against the spread picks for Sunday, December 7, plus my analysis for my best bets.

NFL Week 14 Picks Against the Spread

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NFL ATS Pick #1: Colts -1.5 vs Jaguars

After a 7-1 start, the Colts have cooled off, dropping three of their last four. I believe that fact is giving us a value in this AFC South divisional game.

The losses have come to the Steelers on the road, the Chiefs in overtime, and then a close loss to the surging Texans last week. All are talented teams, and every game was close. I still believe in this Colts team and believe they are much better than the Jaguars.

Jacksonville has found ways to win games, but their defense is worrisome, especially in the passing game. They will have their hands full with Michael Pittman Jr., Tyler Warren, and Alec Pierce.

Indianapolis needs this win to regain the division lead, so they will be extra motivated in this game, while the Jaguars are feeling good after getting to first place in the AFC South.

The Colts have the better offense and the better defense. They prove that they are still the best team in the division on Sunday.

NFL Week 14 Pick: Colts -1.5 (-110)

NFL ATS Pick #2: Saints +8.5 vs Buccaneers

The Saints have quietly been a pretty solid team this year. They aren’t winning games, but Tyler Shough has looked servicable, and they have covered the spread in two of their last three games.

Tampa Bay should win this game, but they have been playing down to their competition. The Buccaneers are 0-4 against the spread in their last four and 1-5 ATS in their last six.

New Orleans has not had much offense this season, but Shough has given this offense enough life to see some success against Tampa Bay’s struggling defense. The Buccaneers have given up 265.5 receiving yards per game, which is the third most in the NFL.

It was thought that a few more Tampa Bay weapons would return, but Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan will not play.

I love betting on divisional underdogs, and 8.5 is too many points to lay with the Bucs.

• NFL Week 14 Pick: Saints +8.5 (-110)

NFL ATS Pick #3: Cardinals +8.5 vs Rams

My last NFL ATS pick for Week 14 is another divisional underdog. To make this one even better, it is a divisional home underdog.

I believe the Cardinals will keep it close vs the Rams on Sunday.

Since Jacoby Brissett took over for the Cardinals, Arizona’s offense has been on fire. The Rams have a top defense, but they can be beaten through the air, which is what the Cardinals will look to do.

Arizona has had a difficult strength of schedule playing in the NFC West, but I don’t believe they are as bad as their record shows, especially with the way their offense is playing right now.

The Rams just got upset by the Panthers last week, so this could be a bad time to fade them, but I like getting over a touchdown with a home divisional underdog. The Rams are also on their second straight road game, so this game should be closer than the books are expecting.

I won with the Cardinals last week, so let’s bet on them again in Week 14.

NFL Week 14 Pick: Cardinals +8.5 (-110)