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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs Props – Best Team and Player Props to Bet

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Jan 15, 2022 · 6:00 PM PST

Ben Roethlisberger calls an audible
Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (7) in action during the second half of an NFL football game against the Baltimore Ravens, Sunday, Jan. 9, 2022, in Baltimore. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers face the Kansas City Chiefs on Wild Card Weekend (Sunday, Jan. 16th, 8:15 pm ET)
  • Ben Roethlisberger has failed to eclipse 160 passing yards in three of his past four games
  • Read below for analysis and our favorite Steelers-Chiefs player prop bets

The AFC’s final playoff game on Wild Card Weekend features the Steelers and Chiefs. Ben Roethlisberger is set to retire at the end of the season, and with Pittsburgh coming in as a massive underdog, this will likely be Big Ben’s final game.

In honor of that, it seems only fitting we start our player props card for this matchup with Roethlisberger. His play has fallen off a cliff over the past couple years, so targeting the under on his passing prop seems like a prudent investment.

Steelers vs Chiefs Player Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TD
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 230.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +150 | Un -205)
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 25.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 277.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +150 | Un -200)
Running Backs Attempts Rush Yards Rush + Receiving Yards
Najee Harris (PIT) OFF 64.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 89.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Darrel Williams (KC) OFF 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 82.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Wide Receivers + Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Chase Claypool (PIT) 3.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Diontae Johnson (PIT) 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Pat Freiermuth (PIT)  3.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 30.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 14.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Tyreek Hill (KC) 5.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105) 70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Byron Pringle (KC) OFF 30.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Travis Kelce (KC) 5.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 68.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Odds as of Jan. 14th at FanDuel and DraftKings.

The Steelers are currently 12.5-point underdogs versus the Chiefs, and were blown out by them 36-10 in KC in Week 16.

Prop #1: Ben Roethlisberger Under 230.5 Passing Yards

Roethlisberger threw the ball 35 times in that matchup for a grand total of 159 yards. He’s thrown for less than 160 yards in three of his past four outings, and the only reason he eclipsed 200 yards last week versus Baltimore was because the game went to overtime.

Even if Pittsburgh abandons the run and goes extremely pass heavy, Big Ben will still struggle to exceed this total. He’s averaging 4.5 yards per attempt over his past four games, and only 7 yards per completion.

Pick: Ben Roethlisberger Under 230.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Prop #2: Darrel Williams Over 56.5 Rushing Yards

If there’s one area the Steelers defense excels at it’s rushing the passer. What’s the fastest way to neutralize a potent pass rush? Running the ball effectively. KC’s number one RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire is out, opening up a ton of opportunity for Darrel Williams.

The 26-year-old has cleared this total three times this season in games Edwards-Helaire has missed, and reached 55 yards on 11 carries in Week 16 versus Pittsburgh, despite Edwards-Helaire getting nine rush attempts of his own.

The Steelers rank 27th in run defense per DVOA, and allowed a league-high 146.1 rushing yards per game during the regular season.

Pick: Darrel Williams Over 56.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Steelers vs Chiefs Scoring Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Anytime TD
Travis Kelce (KC) +600 -120
Darrel Williams (KC) +650 -110
Tyreek Hill (KC) +650 -105
Najee Harris (PIT) +750 +120
Diontae Johnson (PIT) +1100 +180
Mecole Hardman (KC) +1400 +250
Pat Freiermuth (PIT) +1600 +250
Derrick Gore (KC) +1600 +275
Byron Pringle (KC) +1600 +260
Jerick McKinnon (KC) +1600 +270
Chase Claypool (PIT) +1800 +300
Juju Smith-Schuster (PIT) +1800 +300
Ray-Ray McCloud (PIT) +2000 +330
Patrick Mahomes (KC) +2000 +330
Demarcus Robinson (KC) +2200 +380
Chiefs Defense +2500 +450
James Washington (PIT) +2800 +500
Steelers Defense +4000 +700

Prop #3: Patrick Mahomes To Score 1st TD

As detailed in the preview for this contest, Roethlisberger has thrown one first half touchdown pass over his past seven games. Feels like it’s safe to eliminate the majority of the Steelers from 1st TD consideration.

Based on Pittsburgh’s atrocious run defense, it makes sense to target a KC rushing touchdown as the first score. You could ride with Williams at +650, but those odds seem a bit too short. Derrick Gore, who the Chiefs like to deploy at the goal line occasionally is option as well, but what about Patrick Mahomes.

First off, the +2000 price tag is very appealing. Second, he has a history of revving up his rushing production during the postseason.

Mahomes has eight career rushing touchdowns in 63 regular season starts, but four rushing TD in only eight career playoff games. He averages over five rushing attempts per game in the playoffs, compared to only 3.7 rushing attempts per outing in the regular season.

He’s scored at least one touchdown on the ground in each of his three career postseasons in KC, and two of his four career playoff rushing touchdowns have been the game’s 1st TD.

Pick: Patrick Mahomes 1st TD (+2000), Anytime TD (+330)

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