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NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Lions vs Packers Sunday Night Football

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Jan 15, 2023 · 6:53 AM PST

Green Bay Packers celebration
Green Bay Packers cornerback Keisean Nixon (25) celebrates scoring a touchdown on a kick off return against the Minnesota Vikings during their football game Sunday, January 1, 2023, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. Dan Powers/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin Apc Packvsvikes 0101230456djp

  • Green Bay is drawing 60% of the ATS money in the Lions vs Packers public betting splits ahead of SNF
  • Over 49 is drawing 61% of all money wagered on the Detroit vs Green Bay total
  • Keep reading for a comprehensive breakdown of the Lions vs Packers public betting splits and key trends

Win and you’re in. That’s the playoff scenario Green Bay is facing tonight ahead of its NFC North showdown with Detroit on Sunday Night Football. For the Lions, it’s a little more complicated. Detroit needs the Rams to upset the Seahawks earlier in the day to keep their playoff hopes alive.

If that were to happen, SNF then becomes a win and you’re in scenario for the Lions as well. If it doesn’t, Detroit will be eliminated and will have just pride to play for against Green Bay.

Per the NFL public betting trends, the betting action on Aaron Rodgers and company is starting to heat up. That’s forced online sportsbooks to make a slight adjustment to the spread, moving the line further in the Packers favor.

 

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Lions vs Packers ATS Betting Splits

Green Bay is now favored by 5 points, up half a point from this morning. The line move hasn’t slowed down the Packers love, as they’re drawing 60% of the spread money and 51% of the ATS tickets.

Green Bay has covered in all four games during their current winning streak, beating the number by an average of 10 points per outing. That comes after starting the year 4-8 against the spread and just 2-3 at home.

The Packers have been prolific at winning December/January regular season games at Lambeau Field with Rodgers under center, and is 17-9 ATS in their last 26 games as home favorites.

Detroit meanwhile, has been one of the best cover teams when catching points since Dan Campbell took over. Per the Lions vs Packers picks, Detroit is 8-1 against the spread in its last nine contests as an underdog. They’ve covered five straight as ‘dogs, including back in Week 9 versus Green Bay.

Since 2017, Detroit has dominated the spread side of things in this rivalry matchup. They’re 9-2 against the spread in their last 11 meetings versus the Packers, and 6-5 straight up.

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Detroit vs Green Bay Total Betting Splits

Total-wise, the line is currently sitting at 49, which is 2 points higher than where it opened. Primetime unders have been a cash cow for people with a stomach strong enough to fade offense, but bettors aren’t buying into the trend for SNF.

Primetime unders are 14-1 over the past five weeks, and 35-19-1 this season. As for Sunday Night Football unders, they’re 12-5 so far this season.

However, as of Sunday afternoon, 59% of all money wagered on the total is on over 49. That handle is coming from 61% of the over/under bets as the majority are expecting the Lions high scoring offense to show up. As you’ll see though, that may be a foolish assumption.

Detroit averages 33.1 points at home inside its dome stadium. On the road, that number plummets to 19.2 points. Jared Goff has thrown 17 more TD passes at home compared to as a visitor, and averages 26 fewer passing yards per game away from Ford Field. Needless to say, consider a fade of Goff in the Lions vs Packers player props.

Also working against a potential high scoring game is extremely frigid conditions, and Green Bay’s willingness to bleed the clock dry with a run heavy approach.

23 degree temperatures and 17 mph wind gusts are in the forecast tonight. Detroit ranks 27th against the run per DVOA, which sets up for them to see a ton of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon rushing attempts.

Lions vs Packers Moneyline Splits

As far as the moneyline market goes, the action overwhelmingly favors Green Bay. 71% of the moneyline bets and 73% of the handle are on the Packers as -225 favorites.

It certainly isn’t hard to figure out why. Rodgers and the Pack are 28-4 straight up in December/January regular season games with the two-time reigning MVP under center. Green Bay isn’t dealing with any significant injuries and a win tonight will secure their playoff spot.

In all likelihood, Seattle is going to beat the LA Rams this afternoon, they are 6-point favorites after all, making this game meaningless from a postseason perspective for Detroit.

 

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