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Rams Aim to Become Just the 4th Super Bowl Loser to Cover Week 1 Since 2000

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Apr 7, 2020 · 9:25 AM PDT

Todd Gurley and Sean McVay shake hands
The odds are against the Los Angeles Rams in Sunday's game against the Carolina Panthers. The last 19 Super Bowl finalists are 3-16 against the spread in their NFL opener the season following their setback in the big game. Photo by Chris Williams/Icon Sportswire.
  • The defending NFC champion Los Angeles Rams are 1.5-point favorites to beat the Carolina Panthers on Sunday
  • The last 19 Super Bowl losers are 3-16 against the spread in the opener the season following their loss in the big game
  • The Rams are 0-2 straight up and ATS in season openers following a Super Bowl loss

History is not on the side of the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams were 13-3 losers to the New England Patriots in Super Bowl 53.

Facing the Carolina Panthers in Sunday’s season opener, LA is the 1.5-point chalk in the Rams vs Panthers full odds.

However, the legacy of Super Bowl losers suggests that the Rams will get rubbed out.

Over the last 19 NFL campaigns, losing Super Bowl teams are 3-16 against the spread when opening the season following their Super Bowl setback. Straight up, Super Bowl losers are 7-12 straight up in season openers the year after their setback in the big game.

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Los Angeles Rams -125 -1.5 (-109) Over 50.0 (-109)
Carolina Panthers +105 +1.5 (-109) Under 50.0 (-109)

Odds taken 9/07/19.

The Rams are 0-2 both SU and ATS in season openers following a Super Bowl loss.

Patriots Stopped Super Bowl Skid

Last season, the New England Patriots, Super Bowl 53 losers to the Philadelphia Eagles, got the Super Bowl failures back on the winning track. As 6.5-point favorites over the Houston Texans, the Pats won and covered, posting a 27-20 victory.

Super Bowl Losers in Next Season’s NFL Opener since 2000

Season Team SU ATS
2018 New England Patriots W W
2017 Atlanta Falcons W L
2016 Carolina Panthers L L
2015 Seattle Seahawks L L
2014 Denver Broncos W L
2013 San Francisco 49ers W W
2012 New England Patriots W W
2011 Pittsburgh Steelers L L
2010 Indianapolis Colts L L
2009 Arizona Cardinals L L
2008 New England Patriots W L
2007 Chicago Bears L L
2006 Seattle Seahawks W L
2005 Philadelphia Eagles L L
2004 Carolina Panthers L L
2003 Oakland Raiders L L
2002 St. Louis Rams L L
2001 New York Giants L L
2000 Tennessee Titans L L

It was the first time since the 2013 San Francisco 49ers, who beat the Green Bay Packers 34-28 as five-point favorites, that a Super Bowl losing finalist won and covered in Week 1 the following season.

But you have to go back to 2012, when the Patriots opened at Tennessee as the 6.5-point chalk and downed the Titans 34-13, to find a Super Bowl loser that opened the season with a win and also covered while playing on the road.

Rams Haven’t Fared Well in this Scenario

This is the third time that the Rams are entering an NFL season as the team that lost the previous year’s Super Bowl. No only are they looking to open the season by covering the spread for the first time, they’ve also lost straight up on both previous occasions.

After losing Super Bowl 36 by a 20-17 count to the Patriots, the St. Louis Rams opened the 2002 season as three-point favorites at Denver. But they were beaten 23-16 by the Broncos.

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The Los Angeles Rams were dropped 31-19 in Super Bowl 14 by the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Rams opened the 1980 NFL season at home as the solid nine-point chalk against a Detroit Lions team coming off a 2-14 campign. But it was the Lions who did the drubbing. blasting LA 41-20 in the NFL debut of 1978 Heisman Trophy winner Billy Sims.

Take the Panthers

Carolina, like the Rams, is 0-2 both SU and ATS in season openers after losing the Super Bowl. But the Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings with the Rams.

Take the points and play the Panthers to win outright.

Pick: Panthers +1.5 (-109); Panthers Moneyline (+105)

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