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Rams vs Browns Picks & Odds – Sunday Night Football Week 3

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Sep 22, 2019 · 6:00 AM PDT

Jared Goff
Jared Goff and the Rams face the Browns on Sunday Night Football. Photo from @QBProjections. (Twitter.)
  • The Los Angeles Rams and Cleveland Browns square off on Sunday Night Football (8:20pm ET, Sep. 22)
  • The Rams are 3.5-point favorites and are 2-0 ATS versus the closing line this season
  • What’s the best bet for LAR-CLE?

The Los Angeles Rams and Cleveland Browns square off on Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, Sep. 22) in a game featuring some of the NFL’s biggest stars.

The reigning NFC champs are undefeated to start the season, while the Browns are fresh off a rout of the Jets on Monday Night. Oddsmakers opened the Rams as 2.5-point favorites, and that number has already been bet up a full point.

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Los Angeles Rams -180 -3.5 (-104) Over 47.5 (-109)
Atlanta Falcons +160 +3.5 (-114) Under 47.5 (-109)

*All odds taken 09/20/19

LA is 2-0 against the spread in 2019, while Cleveland split their first two games ATS as a favorite, and will play as an underdog for the firs time this season.

You can see the odds movement experienced at each sportsbook in our Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns odds.

Rams Will be in Baker’s Kitchen All Night

When Baker Mayfield is given time to throw he’s undoubtedly one of the most effective quarterbacks in the NFL. Pressure him and it’s a different story. Mayfield’s Pro Football Focus passing grade in 2018 dropped from 90.4 in a clean pocket, to 62.0 when under pressure, and his QBR this season is a minuscule 40 when facing heat.

Now he has to deal with a generational pass rusher in Aaron Donald, and a Rams defense that will absolutely feast on the Browns’ 22nd ranked pass blocking unit. Cleveland’s offensive line has already surrendered eight sacks this season and Mayfield leads the AFC with four picks. Expect the LA pressure to force Baker into plenty of bad decisions.

Goff is the Ultimate Front Runner

The Rams are expected to win this game which bodes well for Jared Goff, who has absurd splits when playing with the lead versus playing from behind. In games where LA is ahead, Goff has a career 66.5% completion percentage and a ridiculous 52-8 TD-to-INT ratio. Watch out if the Rams take an early lead.

He also excels in September, posting a 9-1 career record and is 8-2 lifetime versus AFC opponents. This week he draws a Browns secondary that is completely decimated by injury. Both of Cleveland’s starting corners and safeties missed practice Friday, which makes this matchup even more favorable for Goff and the Rams passing attack.

Roll With the Rams

So far the Browns have not lived up to expectation despite showing flashes in New York last week. They rank 28th in expected points added, 29th in third down efficiency and 26th in points per drive. They gave up 43 points to a lousy Titans team in Week 1 and are tied for the third worst turnover differential in the league. LA meanwhile, hasn’t allowed a passing touchdown all season and has the offensive firepower to run any team out the building. Roll with the Rams in prime time.

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