Ravens Open as 6.5-Point Favorites vs Bills in Week 14

Baltimore Ravens
The red-hot Baltimore Ravens visit the Buffalo Bills in Week 14 looking for their ninth straight win. Photo by Office of the Maryland Governor (Wikimedia Commons) [CC License].
  • The Baltimore Ravens (10-2) battle the Buffalo Bills (9-3) in Week 14
  • The Ravens opened as a 6.5-point favorite, but that line was quickly bet down a full point
  • Read below for a prediction on how the betting line could move between these two playoff bound AFC teams

Two of the hottest teams in the NFL meet Sunday afternoon when the Buffalo Bills (9-3) host the Baltimore Ravens (10-2). The Ravens opened as 6.5-point favorites, but the line has already moved in the Bills favor.

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Baltimore Ravens -5.5 (-110) -225 Over 43.5 (-110)
Buffalo Bills +5.5 (-110) +195 Under 43.5 (-110)

Odds taken Dec. 1

How did the Ravens fare in Week 13?

In one of the better NFL matchups of the season, the Baltimore Ravens defeated the San Francisco 49ers 20-17 as Justin Tucker hit a game-winning field goal as time expired. Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson was sensational yet again, rushing for 101 yards and a touchdown, while also throwing for another score. The Ravens, playing on a nasty field due to heavy rain, showed they can win close games, too. The Ravens had won their previous five games by 14 points or more.

Baltimore’s defense did allow the 49ers to rush for 174 yards, including 146 yards by Raheem Mostert.

 

How did the Bills fare in Week 13?

There’s been a lot of talk about how a soft schedule is responsible for Buffalo’s 9-3 record. After going into Dallas on Thanksgiving Day and dominating the Cowboys on both sides of the ball, it’s time to recognize this team is for real. Buffalo held a 26-7 lead late in the fourth quarter until Dallas scored to make the score look more respectable.


Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen quietly had another strong performance, completing  79 percent of his passes for 231 yards and a touchdown. Allen also rushed for 43 yards and another score. Most importantly, Allen took care of the football. Allen has just one interception in the last seven weeks. During the same timeframe, he’s thrown for 11 touchdowns, while rushing for 282 yards and five additional scores.

How They’ve Fared ATS

The 10-2 Ravens are actually just 6-6 ATS this season. Baltimore had a stretch from Weeks 2-6 where it failed to cover in five straight outings. However, the Ravens are now on an eight-game winning streak and had covered the last five weeks until their Week 13 win over the 49ers. Baltimore is 5-1 on the road, and have gone 3-0 ATS in its last three games away from home.

The Bills are 8-4 ATS in 2019. Buffalo has been the underdog five times this season, going 4-1 against the spread and winning outright three times. The Bills were 6.5-point underdogs at Dallas last week and won by 11. Buffalo is 4-2 at home in 2019.

 

Baltimore is a Smart Play

It’s hard to go against the Ravens right now. They are the league’s hottest team and with the way they’ve been playing, they should be favored by at least a touchdown.

That being said, the line has already shifted in Buffalo’s favor, and the movement may not be finished depending on the injury list for each team. As of now, no major injuries were reported for either team. Things always change midweek, when teams are required to put out an official injury report.

Author Image
Discussion

Let's have fun and keep it civil.