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Ravens vs Packers Picks, Predictions & Injury Updates (Dec 27)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL News

Published:


Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson and running back Derrick Henry celebrating
Dec 21, 2025; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) congratulates running back Derrick Henry (22) on a touchdown run against the New England Patriots during the first quarter at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-Imagn Images
  • The Packers meet the Ravens in a huge Week 17 game on Saturday, Dec 27
  • Jordan Love is out for Green Bay while Lamar Jackson is doubtful for Baltimore
  • See my top Ravens vs Packers picks and predictions, plus the latest injury reports, betting lines, and splits

A pivotal late-season, inter-conference battle is set for Week 17 as the Baltimore Ravens (7-8, 4-2 away, 5-10 ATS, 9-6 O/U) travel to face the Green Bay Packers (9-5-1, 5-2 home, 6-9 ATS, 8-7 O/U) at Lambeau Field at 8:00 pm ET.

The Packers have clinched a playoff spot and still have an outside chance of catching the Bears for the NFC North crown. The Ravens, on the other hand, watched their playoff hopes get put on life support after losing to the Patriots last Sunday. They need to win out and hope the Steelers lose out in order to clinch the AFC North title and book a spot in the NFL playoff bracket.

The main storyline casting a shadow over this matchup is the health of both star quarterbacks; Green Bay QB1 Jordan Love (concussion) has already been ruled out, leaving Malik Willis at the reins, while Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson (back) is doubtful. The QB injuries will inevitably put the spotlight on elite running backs Derrick Henry and Josh Jacobs.

My comprehensive preview will dissect the betting odds, key injuries, and statistical mismatches to identify the smartest wagers.

Jump to: PICKS || INJURIES || LATEST ODDS || BETTING SPLITS

Ravens vs Packers Picks & Prediction

BAL vs GB ATS Pick: Packers -3.0 (-105) at DraftKings

This matchup appears closer on paper than the underlying efficiency metrics suggest. While the quarterback injuries for both Jackson and Love introduce significant volatility, the Packers hold distinct, quantifiable advantages in critical offensive situations that form the foundation for backing the home favorites.

The most telling disparity lies in situational offense, where Green Bay has been remarkably effective on crucial downs – a trend that could be the deciding factor in a game with a low point total.

Efficiency Metric PackersRavensAdvantage
Third-Down %50.3%39.0%Packers
Red-Zone TD %58.9%45.3%Packers
Turnover Differential+1-5Packers

The Packers’ ability to convert over half of their third downs contrasts sharply with Baltimore’s struggles, which are apt to continue against a Green Bay defense that sits eighth overall at PFF.

The Ravens’ inefficiency in the red zone (45.3%) and their season-long turnover issues (-5 differential) put immense pressure on their defense to play a perfect game.

The Packers sustain drives, protect the football better, and turn red-zone trips into touchdowns at a much higher clip than Baltimore. In a game where points will be at a premium, those advantages are magnified.

BAL vs GB Game-Total Pick: Under 38.5 (-105) at DraftKings

Both starting quarterbacks are banged up, which will inevitably limit explosive plays and deep passing attacks. The Ravens feature a run-heavy offense centered around Henry (2,218 team rushing yards), a style that naturally shortens the game.

With Baltimore’s red-zone offense struggling to score touchdowns (even when healthy), we could see promising drives stall out for field goal attempts.

Best Ravens vs Packers Prop Bet: Josh Jacobs Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at DraftKings

This line has seen significant movement, jumping from an opener of 49.5 yards. That 9-yard adjustment signals strong market confidence. Even with a knee designation, the Packers will likely lean on their run game to control the clock and protect a potentially limited Love.

Ravens vs Packers Injury Reports

BAL RavensInjuryDesignationBetting Impact
Lamar Jackson (QB)BackDoubtfulA potential absence would fundamentally alter the Ravens’ offense and drastically impact game totals and moneyline odds.
Taven Bryan (DT)KneeNoneBryan was limited in practice but didn’t carry an injury designation in the final report.
GB PackersInjuryGame StatusBetting Impact
Jordan Love (QB)ShoulderOutAny limitations for Love could impact the Packers’ passing game, particularly deep throws, affecting player props for all receivers.
Christian Watson (WR)IllnessQuestionableThe Packers would lose a primary deep threat if Watson is out, concentrating targets to other receivers like Romeo Doubs.
Bo Melton (CB)IllnessQuestionableMelton’s absence would test the depth of the Packers’ secondary against the Ravens’ passing attack.

Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers Odds

The best Packer moneyline is currently -154 at FanDuel, while the longest odds on a Ravens upset are +135 at BetMGM. The spread is GB -3.0 across the board with only slight adjustments in the price from site to site.

The game total ranges from 38.0 (Ov -110) at bet365 to 38.5 (Un -110) at FanDuel and DraftKings. All of those totals are well down from the opening O/U of 40.5, with the odds movement largely driven by the QB injuries.

Odds commentary as of 11:22 am ET. The lines in the table will update automatically with the best-available price for each market if the NFL odds move before kickoff.

Ravens vs Packers Public Betting Trends

MarketRavensPackers
Spread% bets, % handle% bets, % handle
Moneyline% bets, % handle% bets, % handle
TotalOv: % bets, % handleUn: % bets, % handle

Saturday’s NFL public betting splits show a fascinating dichotomy, with the vast majority of the moneyline bets (73%) flowing toward the home-favorite Packers but Baltimore getting 58% of moneyline handle.

The spread and total are far less divergent. The Packers are getting 52% of ATS wagers and exactly 50% of ATS handle. The over has attracted 58% of O/U money on 60% of bets.

Ravens vs Packers Statistical Comparison

Team StatisticBaltimore RavensGreen Bay Packers
Points Per Game23.824.0
Total Yards Per Game324.9344.7
Passing Yards Per Game177.1222.7
Rushing Yards Per Game147.9122.0
Third Down Conversion %39.0%50.3%
Red Zone TD %45.3%58.9%
Sacks (Per Game)1.732.2
Turnovers (Per Game)1.470.73

When examining how these teams stack up, the season-long statistics paint a picture of two evenly matched yet fundamentally different squads. While their scoring outputs are nearly identical, the paths they take diverge significantly, with Green Bay relying on balanced efficiency and Baltimore leaning on powerful ground attack undermined by turnovers.

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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