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Saints vs Jaguars Week 6 Spread Opens as a Pick

Angelo Montilla

by Angelo Montilla in NFL Football

Updated Mar 26, 2020 · 3:38 PM PDT

Jacksonville Jaguars
Who will win the Jags-Saints game in Week 6? By Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License]
  • Teddy Bridgewater is 3-0 since taking over for the injured Drew Brees
  • Saints are 3-2 against the spread this season
  • New Orleans holds head-to-head advantage against Jags over last three meetings

Life without Drew Brees hasn’t been as difficult as first suspected for the New Orleans Saints.

With backup Teddy Bridgewater leading the way, the Saints have won three straight and sit at the top of the NFC South sporting a 4-1 record.

However, the point spread for New Orleans’ Week 6 game against the Jacksonville Jaguars is listed as a pick, with both teams getting -110 opening odds.

Here’s a closer look at the New Orleans Saints vs. Jacksonville Jaguars odds and stats as well as an overview at what the best bet is going into the Week 6 matchup.

New Orleans Saints vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total Points
New Orleans Saints Pick (-110) N/A O 45 (-110)
Jacksonville Jaguars Pick (-110) N/A U 45 (-110)

*Odds taken 10/07/19

Line Movement

When the line initially opened for this game, sportsbooks listed the Jaguars as the 1-point favorites. The line then moved to -1.5 in favor of Jacksonville, but after the Saints won their third straight game, the odds were set to Even.

Some books have set their opening odds to 1 point.

Will there be much movement either way, or will the game be a pick right up to opening kickoff?

Saints Have Been Solid Against the Spread

Bridgewater has been fantastic in Brees’ absence, winning all three starts since taking over in Week 3 against the Seahawks. He has completed 85 of 121 attempts for 849 yards and six touchdown passes.

It is why the Saints have also been successful against the spread this season. New Orleans has posted a 3-2 overall record ATS and is 1-1 on the road.

The Saints have been too good through five weeks of action for this line to remain at Even leading up to kickoff on Sunday.

Offensively, the Saints have held their own without Brees — ranking 12th overall in total points scored this season. New Orleans is also averaging 23 points per game, which is 14th best in the NFL.

It’s on the defensive side of the ball where the Saints need to improve as the team is allowing on average 363.4 yards per game, which is the 14th most in the league.

Jacksonville Has Covered Three of Last Five Games

The Jags have posted a 2-3 record through five weeks and sit third overall in the AFC South division. However, much like the Saints, Jacksonville has been solid ATS this season, covering in three of its five games so far.

The Saints could expose Jacksonville’s weak defense, which is allowing on average the seventh most yards per game this season (1,910).

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The Jaguars have been carried by quarterback Gardiner Minshew, who has nine TD passes and just one interception leading up to the Week 6 matchup.

Another pleasant surprise has been wide receiver DJ Chark Jr., who has 485 receiving yards and 5 TD catches.

The head-to-head matchup between these two clubs has been heavily tilted in New Orleans’ favor over the last three meetings.

The Saints own a perfect 3-0 record against the Jags dating back to 2007. However, these teams have not met in the regular season since 2015 when the Saints walked away with a 38-27 win.

Even though the Jaguars opened as the 1.5-point favorites, look for the odds to go the other way in favor of the Saints closer to kickoff. If you’re going to play the pick odds, take the Saints straight up as they’ll likely edge Jacksonville on the road to move to 5-1 this season.

Pick: New Orleans Saints (Pick, -110)

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