- The Tennessee Titans are 2.5-point home favorites over the New Orleans Saints in their NFL game slated for Sunday, November 14
- Sunday Betting Record: 0-0 ML; 3-6 ATS; 0-1 O/U; -2.73 units
- Both the Saints and Titans are missing key personnel through injury
The biggest news as the New Orleans Saints travel to Tennessee to face the Titans in a Week 10 NFL game isn’t who’s playing. It’s who won’t be playing.
Both clubs are going into the game minus key components of their offensive machines. New Orleans will be without running back Alvin Kamara and quarterback Jameis Winston. The Titans are minus NFL rushing leader Derrick Henry.
The 7-2 Titans lead the AFC South and currently hold the top seeding in the AFC. Oddsmakers are expecting them to maintain that pattern. Tennessee is a 2.5-point home favorite. The Titans are an AFC-best 7-2 against the spread this season.
Saints vs Titans Odds
|New Orleans Saints||+128||+2.5 (-104)||O 44 (-110)|
|Tennessee Titans||-152||-2.5 (-118)||U 44 (-110)|
Odds as of November 13th at FanDuel
Kickoff for Sunday’s game at Nissan Stadium is set for 1pm ET. Clouds, 11 mph wind and a temperature of 54 degrees are in the forecast.
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Saints vs Titans Line Movement
The line on this game opened at Tennessee -2.5 and hasn’t moved since. Public betting data is showing that 84% of wagers on the spread are backing the Titans.
When it comes to the moneyline, the split is even wider, but this time it’s leaning in favor of the visiting Saints. New Orleans is drawing 86% of the moneyline action from public betting.
#Titans will officially exit the weekend as the AFC’s 1 seed regardless of whether they win or lose against the Saints. Obviously a huge opportunity to start to create some distance from the field if they can get a win.
— Mike Herndon (@MikeMiracles) November 12, 2021
The total was off the board when the week’s betting lines opened, as sportsbooks awaited a decision on Kamara’s status. With the Saints’ running back officially ruled out, the total was set at 44 points.
However, the absence of such a key cog of the New Orleans offense, coupled with previous losses of Winston and Henry, left public bettors thinking 44 was too high. Since the line was posted, 86% of public bets are opting to go with the under.
Kamara Out With Knee Injury
Offcially ruled out due to a knee ailment, Kamara’s loss to the Saints can’t be overstated. He’s accounting this season for 32% of the club’s offensive output. That’s the most of any player in the 32-team NFL. Former Saint Mark Ingram, recently reacquired from the Houston Texans, will be looked upon to fill the void.
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) November 12, 2021
Kamara’s absence will also put more pressure on the shoulders of journeyman quarterback Trevor Siemian to impact the outcome of the game. With the insulation of the versatile Kamara, Siemian’s been able to play decently through two games at the helm. He’s completing 58.6% of his passes. Siemian has passed for 406 yards with three touchdowns and zero interceptions. His passer rating is 94.5.
Last week, the Titans displayed what’s in store for the Saints. Playing their first game without NFL rushing leader Henry (foot injury), Tennessee gained a season-low average of 2.7 yards per carry on the ground. The Titans brought in veteran Adrian Peterson after losing Henry to injury.
Saints vs Titans Injury Report
Along with Kamara, left tackle Terron Armstead (knee) and wide receiver Michael Thomas (ankle) are other offensive starters who are out. Winston (knee) is on IR and out for the season.
As well as Henry, who’s on IR, the Titans offense is also missing fullback Khari Blasingame (knee). He’s on IR. Wide receiver Julio Jones (hamstring) is questionable.
Ryan Tannehill is dealing with an illness and is expected to play on Sunday. That said, it looks like the Titans and Saints will both be seriously banged up heading into Sunday. https://t.co/uoE18RHFfU
— Chris Rosvoglou (@RosvoglouReport) November 12, 2021
On the defensive side of the ball, left inside linebacker David Long Jr (hamstring) is out. Right inside linebacker Rashaan Evans (quadriceps) and nose tackle Teair Tart (groin) are questionable.
Saints vs Titans Betting Trends
New Orleans has won the last two visits to Tennessee. In fact, the Saints haven’t lost there since 2003. Overall, the Saints have won two of the last three meetings. However, Tennessee has won four of the past six games.
The Titans have won 5 straight games, the last 4 of which have come vs playoff teams from 2020
They're the 4th team in last 15 seasons to win 4 straight games, all vs playoff teams from previous season
The previous 3 all made the Super Bowl (2009 Saints, GB in 2010, NE in 2011) pic.twitter.com/DKomUFqP5h
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) November 8, 2021
New Orleans has beaten Green Bay and Tampa Bay, but lost to the New York Giants. In the past four weeks, Tennessee has beaten Buffalo, Kansas City, Indianapolis, and the Los Angeles Rams. A win Sunday and the Titans will join the 2003 Philadelphia Eagles as the only teams in NFL history to win straight games against playoff teams from the previous season.
Best Bet: Tennessee Titans -2.5 (-118).