- Snow is in the forecast for Sunday’s Green Bay Packers-Seattle Seahawks NFC Divisional Round playoff game at Lambeau Field
- When playing props, bad weather makes the under an always attractive option
- Seven of Green Bay’s last eight games and seven of the Packers’ last eight against an NFC opponent have gone under
The Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks could find themselves snowed under during Sunday’s NFC Divisional Round playoff game at Lambeau Field.
Sunday’s weather forecast is calling for a temperature of 20 degrees Celsius with a 40% chance of snow. Considering this factor, you should keep the under in mind when considering any prop wagers on this game.
The Packers are four-point favorites over the Seahawks.
Prop #1: Total Touchdowns Over/Under 5.5
|Outcome||Odds at Bovada|
Odds taken Jan. 11
In eight regular-season games this season at Lambeau Field, there’s been 5.375 touchdowns scored per game. However, take out a nine-TD game versus the Philadelphia Eagles and an eight-TD scorefest with the Oakland Raiders and that average drops to 4.3 TDs per game.
In two December games, when the climate turns frightening in Green Bay, there’s been an average of four touchdowns per game.
Aaron Rodgers would drive the Packers down the field to setup the game tying field goal for OT. But Russell Wilson led a 6 play drive capped off by this touchdown pass to Jermaine Kearse (he had a rough game as well). (2/4) pic.twitter.com/szFOzg4vO8
— #MovingTheChains (@_MTCPodcast) January 9, 2020
Green Bay was 14th in the NFL this season with 44 touchdowns scored. Seattle finished tied for seventh overall, finding the end zone 49 times. Combined, the Packers (2.75) and Seahawks (3.06) average 5.81 TDs this season.
That combination would put the teams over but you must factor in the inclement weather conditions.
As well, the Seahawks have scored 17 points or fewer in three of their last four road games. Seattle has averaged 11.5 points per game in the last four visits to Lambeau Field, never scoring more than two TDs in any of those games.
"I was thankful enough to get another opportunity and I'll forever be grateful for that." pic.twitter.com/VoPowKnVGV
— Lily Zhao (@LilySZhao) January 6, 2020
The total has gone under in seven of Green Bay’s last eight games, as well as in seven of the Packers’ last eight meetings with NFC opposition.
Seahawks at Packers
|2008||Green Bay 42 Seattle 20|
|2009||Green Bay 48 Seattle 10|
|2015||Green Bay 27 Seattle 17|
|2016||Green Bay 38 Seattle 10|
|2017||Green Bay 17 Seattle 9|
The under was the winning play in five of Green Bay’s eight home games this season and also following the Packs’ bye week.
Seattle’s seen the total go under in four of the last five games when facing NFC North Division teams.
Pick: Under 5.5 (-160)
Prop #2: Davante Adams to have 90+ receiving yards, D.K. Metcalf to have 65+ receiving yards
|Outcome||Odds at BetOnline|
Adams has stepped up his game the past three weeks and proven to be a go-to wideout for the Packers. He’s garnered at least 93 yards in receptions in each of the past three games. That’s including back-to-back 100-yard performances against the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears as the Pack wrapped up the NFC North crown.
— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) January 6, 2020
Rookie wide receiver Metcalf has also proven to be a monster since the Seahawks lost veteran receiver Josh Gordon to an NFL drug suspension in mid-December.
Metcalf caught six balls for 81 yards and a TD in the regular-season finale against San Francisco. He established career highs for receptions (seven) and yardage (153) in Seattle’s Wild Card playoff win at Philadelphia, adding another TD reception in that game.
The yardage total was an NFL postseason record for a rookie.
Pick: Yes (+125)
Prop #1: Team to Make Longest Field Goal
|Team||Odds at Bovada|
Kicking field goals on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field in January is never an exact science. And neither kicker in this game – Mason Crosby of the Packers or Jason Myers of the Seahawks – is enjoying a spectacular campaign.
Mason Crosby tied the franchise record for field goal percentage in a single season.
Made 22 out of 24 field goals. 91.7 percent.
Tied Jan Stenerud, who also made 22 of 24 in 1981.
— Zach Kruse (@zachkruse2) December 29, 2019
Myers finished with 109 points, good for 13th among NFL kickers, and one notch ahead of Crosby at 106 points. Crosby tied for 21st in field goals made (22), while Myers was tied for 16th with 23 successful kicks.
Each hit a long of 54 yards. Crosby’s longest successful field goal at Lambeau this season was 48 yards but he nailed that one in October.
Myers drilled a 49-yarder last week in the playoffs at Philly.
Pick: Seattle (EVEN)
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