Seahawks vs Patriots Touchdown Scorer Odds & Picks for Super Bowl 60 – Bet This +380 Prop
By Sascha Paruk in NFL News
Published:
- Super Bowl touchdown scorer odds have already been posted
- Two Seattle players are odds-on favorite to score a touchdown
- See the full list of Seahawks vs Patriots touchdown-scorer odds and props
Still 13 days out from Super Bowl 60 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara (Feb 8th), sportsbooks have already posted a plethora of Seahawks vs Patriots props and odds. Among them, the Super Bowl 60 touchdown scorer lines.
The opening Seahawks vs Patriots odds favored the NFC champs by a sizable margin, so it’s no surprise to see two Seattle players with the shortest odds to score a touchdown.
Seahawks vs Patriots Touchdown Scorer Odds & Props
Kenneth Walker III (-180) and Jaxon Smith-Njigba (-105) are the only two players who have opened as odds-on favorite to find the end zone.
Odds as of 9:59 am ET, January 26th, at DraftKings. Check out SBD’s full list of the best Super Bowl betting sites before the big game.
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Walker’s TD Production Explodes in Playoffs
Seattle RB1 Kenneth Walker III only had five touchdowns in the regular season, often ceding goal-line carries to RB2 Zach Charbonnet (12 TDs). But Charbonnet is on the IR and has missed the majority of Seattle’s two playoff games.
Walker took full advantage, piling up three touchdowns in Seattle’s 41-6 rout of San Francisco in the Divisional Round, and adding one more in a thrilling 31-27 win over the Rams in the NFC Championship Game.
Smith-Njigba Maintaining Elite Production in Postseason
Smith-Njigba has carried the momentum from his brilliant regular season (1,793 receiving yards, 10 touchdowns) into the playoffs. He recorded one TD in each of Seattle’s first two postseason games with a 172 total receiving yards, nearly double his next-best teammate (Cooper Kupp, 96 yards).
He’s recorded one or more touchdown in 10 of 19 games this season, including the playoffs. Going back to last year, he’s cashed for anytime-touchdown bettors in exactly 14 of his last 28 games (50% hit rate), which doesn’t quite justify the -105 odds (51.22% implied win probability).
Patriots Offense Quiet in Bad Weather
The Patriots have had to contend with overall brutal weather across their three postseason games (two in Foxborough, one in Denver). As a result, their prolific numbers from the regular season (490 total points, second in the NFL) have fallen off a cliff. The Pats have averaged just 18.0 PPG in the first three rounds of the playoffs, compared to 28.8 PPG in their 17 regular-season games.
No one on the team has more than one touchdown, and quarterback Drake Maye is the only player on the team with a rushing touchdown. Their defense accounted for one of the team’s four majors in New England’s 28-16 win over Houston in the Divisional Round.
Patriots Red-Zone Touches (Incl. Playoffs)
Rhamondre Stevenson, who’s scoreless in the playoffs, has the shortest anytime TD odds on the Patriot side at +170. TreVeyon Henderson has more total TDs and red-zone carries this season, but that split has been heavily skewed to Stevenson in the back-half, when he took over as New England’s undisputed RB1.
Stevenson is followed by tight end Hunter Henry, who commands the most red-zone targets on the team, almost doubling next-highest Stefon Diggs (23 vs 13).
Based on New England’s red-zone stats, my favorite early line to target is Drake Maye at +380 odds. He’s carried the ball 22 times inside the 20 and accounted for the Pats’ only touchdown in the AFC Championship Game.
Seattle has an elite pass rush, which even forced Matthew Stafford into a rare carry. Maye is likely to be scrambling frequently, especially closer to the goal line when the field is compressed and coverage in the secondary becomes easier.
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.