Super Bowl 60 Player Props to Bet – Best Bets & Picks for Maye, Darnold, Walker III

The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots collide in Super Bowl 60 this evening at Levi’s Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 pm ET on NBC.

Seattle enters the championship game riding the momentum of a 31-point explosion against the Rams, where quarterback Sam Darnold dissected the secondary with touchdowns to Cooper Kupp and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The Seahawks’ ground game remains lethal, anchored by Kenneth Walker III, who found paydirt in the NFC Championship.

Conversely, New England has ground its way to the final Sunday behind a formidable defense and gritty bad-weather performances from QB Drake Maye. While the Patriots’ aerial attack was stifled in a 10-7 slog against Denver, Maye demonstrated his floor by rushing for the game’s only touchdown. While the weather forecast at Levi’s Stadium isn’t ideal, it will be the best conditions the Pats have seen in the postseason.

This article analyzes the statistical edges in the Super Bowl 60 player-prop markets in order to find the best Seahawks vs Patriots prop bets to target.

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Seahawks vs Patriots Player Prop Bets & Odds

Note: odds are market averages as of 12:53 pm ET, Feb 8.

Market sentiment has pushed Sam Darnold’s passing-yardage total up to 229.5 from an opener of 226.5, correlating with a tick up in his completions line to 20.5. Given Seattle’s 72.7% red-zone efficiency in the playoffs and Darnold’s reliance on his elite wideout corps, the implied probability suggests a high-volume passing script.

Conversely, Drake Maye has seen his line creep up to 221.5 despite New England averaging just 18.0 points per game in three postseason contests so far. This adjustment accounts for the fact that New England has played its first three playoff games in brutal weather conditions and was considerably more-prolific in the regular season.

Seattle running back Kenneth Walker III has seen his rushing line fade from 73.5 to 70.5, reflecting potential efficiency concerns against New England’s defensive front. However, Rhamondre Stevenson’s line drop to 48.5 yards despite an increase in projected attempts (14.5) signals that oddsmakers expect the Patriots’ ground game to face significant resistance.

In the receiving market, Jaxon Smith-Njigba commands the highest line at 92.5 yards, while New England’s Kayshon Boutte has been a riser, jumping to 30.5 yards as the Patriots search for explosive plays.

Seahawks/Patriots Player-Prop Picks & Best Bets for Super Bowl 60

Identifying the strongest edges for Super Bowl Sunday requires isolating the statistical disconnects between recent production and the lines set by bookmakers. The current numbers for New England’s passing attack and Seattle’s situational efficiency offer the clearest paths to profit.

Best Seahawks/Patriots Player-Prop Bet: Maye Under 221.5 Passing Yards (-110 at FanDuel)

The market expectation for Drake Maye is misaligned with the reality of New England’s offensive architecture. Through three postseason victories, the Patriots have generated a total of 443 passing yards, averaging just 147.6 yards per game. A ton of that is due to weather; the AFC Championship Game turned into a blizzard, and New England’s Divisional Round-clash with Houston was horrendous for ball security (eight total turnovers).

But this line is still too high for a sophomore pivot in his first playoff run facing the top defense in the NFL in terms of Defensive DVOA (and second-best defense in both scoring and EPA/play). Quarterbacks averaged just 217.7 gross passing yards per game against Seattle this season. If you take out Matthew Stafford’s two-best performances, that number drops to just 194.5 yards per game. Counting the postseason, Seattle has held 57.89% of opposing QBs under 224.5 yards, which is the benchmark for Maye’s yardage today.

The data overwhelmingly supports the under. The potential for rainy and windy conditions at Levi’s Stadium makes an under bet on Maye all the more sound.

Add in the fact that Maye has been battling a shoulder injury and you begin to understand why this is my top prop to bet in the game. (The final Seahawks/Patriots injury reports cleared him to play but don’t expect his shoulder to be 100%.)

Best Super Bowl 60 Anytime Touchdown Bet: Kenneth Walker III (-180 at bet365)

While the juice is high on Kenneth Walker III finding the end zone, it’s not as high as it was earlier this week and still is at some sportsbooks (as short as -190 on Super Bowl Sunday). The -180 price at bet365 is still steep, but his actual chances of scoring at least one TD still outweigh the implied probability (64.29%). Seattle boasts a 72.7% red-zone conversion rate in the playoffs, converting 8 of 11 trips into touchdowns, and Walker is the only viable backfield option near the goal line with Zach Charbonnet (12 regular-season touchdowns) on the IR.

With New England’s pass rush (12 sacks in three games) posing a threat to drop-back passing, the Seahawks will likely lean on Walker in goal-to-go situations to negate the rush. The injury to Patriots linebacker Robert Spillane further weakens the interior run defense, clearing the path for Walker.

Final Patriots/Seahawks Prop Bet: Darnold Longest Completion Under 36.5 (-120 at DraftKings)

New England’s defense thrives on disruption, averaging 4.0 sacks per game during the playoffs. This pressure rate forces quarterbacks to accelerate their internal clock, eliminating the time required for deep vertical routes to develop. Sam Darnold will be forced into a quick-game rhythm, targeting receivers like Cooper Kupp and Jaxon Smith-Njigba on short and intermediate routes. Unless a receiver breaks a tackle for massive yards after the catch, the schematic matchup favors New England keeping the ball in front of them.

Darnold has stayed under this number in three of his last four, and much of that was against worse defenses than he’ll see in Super Bowl 60.

Check out SBD’s comprehensive Super Bowl 60 coverage:

• A.I. Super Bowl Picks & Predictions
• Final Patriots vs Seahawks Injury Reports – Is Drake Maye Cleared to Play?
• The Best Super Bowl 60 Same-Game Parlay for Seahawks vs Patriots
• Updated Seahawks vs Patriots Betting Lines & Odds – How Has Point Spread Moved?
• Updated Super Bowl MVP Odds & Picks: Patriots/Seahawks
• Super Bowl 60 Touchdown-Scorer Picks & Odds
• Super Bowl Halftime Props & Odds for Bad Bunny
• Computer Picks for Super Bowl 60 – Seahawks vs Patriots
• Coin Toss & Anthem Props: Super Bowl 60 (Seahawks/Patriots)
• Best Super Bowl Longshot Parlay – Get a +1900 Parlay for Seahawks/Patriots
• Gatorade Color Picks for Seahawks vs Patriots in Super Bowl 60
• DFS Picks for Seahawks/Patriots in Super Bowl 60
• 2026 Super Bowl Player Props Data & Analysis