Texans vs Seahawks Picks, Predictions & Props to Bet on MNF

• The Houston Texans visit the Seattle Seahawks in a huge MNF game for both teams
• Houston has won two straight by a combined 60 points
• See my favorite Texans vs Seahawks picks, predictions, and props to target

After an ugly 0-3 start, the Houston Texans (2-3, 2-3 ATS, 1-4 O/U) are just one win away from clawing back to .500, but standing in their way are the Seattle Seahawks (4-2, 5-1 ATS, 3-3 O/U), who boast the second-best point differential in the NFC (+49).

The Texans have obliterated their last two opponents – 26-0 vs Tennessee, 44-10 at Baltimore (sans Lamar Jackson) – but facing the Seahawks in Seattle represents a serious step-up in competition, and the Texans head into MNF as the indisputable underdog.

Below, I have set out my three favorite Texans vs Seahawks picks (ATS, total, and player prop), the main props available, and the latest HOU vs SEA odds for MNF.

Houston Texans vs Seattle Seahawks ATS Pick

• Houston Texans +3.5 (-110)

The Seattle Seahawks have been a machine as favorites, going 5-1 straight up in their last six such games. However, their performance at Lumen Field has been a major concern for bettors, as they’ve failed to cover in four of their last five home games.

Conversely, the Houston Texans have struggled mightily on the road as underdogs, posting a dismal 1-7 record in their last eight contests. Yet, sharp money is flowing in their direction, pushing the line down from its peak.

I’m not expecting the Texans to win the game outright, but Seattle’s inability to cover at home makes laying the points risky, especially when bettors can get the Texans at more than three points. Houston has the defensive chops to keep this game within a field goal.

Texans vs Seahawks O/U Pick

• Under 41.5 (-115)

The key to this game lies in the trenches. Seattle’s pass rush, which has generated 20 sacks, is poised to disrupt a Texans offensive line that has struggled with interior protection. This pressure will be the biggest test for C.J. Stroud, whose quick release will be essential. On the other side, the Texans’ defense has been suffocating, allowing the second-fewest passing yards per game in the league. They will challenge a surprisingly efficient Sam Darnold, who has thrived this season but has a history of turning the ball over under pressure.

Given the weather forecast, two elite defenses, and both teams’ strong under trends in specific situations, the total of 41.5 feels like the strongest play. The under has hit in five of Houston’s last six games overall and in four of Seattle’s last five as a small favorite.games.

Seahawks vs Texans Player-Prop Pick

• Smith-Njigba Over 85.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s receiving-yards prop is as high as 88.5 at BetMGM and DraftKings, but three yards lower at Fanatics. That 85.5 O/U is still an ambitious play, but given his status as Seattle’s primary pass-catching threat, his 116 YPG average so far this season, and Sam Darnold exceptional efficiency this season (70.8% completion rate and a 115.3 QB rating), I am betting the over.

As Smith-Njigba’s role continues to expand, he is poised to command a significant target share, making him a prime candidate to exceed this line, especially with Darnold’s ability to consistently deliver the ball.

While Houston possess an elite pass defense, limiting opponents to just 175.2 passing yards per game and holding opposing quarterbacks to a 70.4 rating, their secondary is also severely depleted entering Week 7. Four DBs are either on IR already or out for Week 8.

HOU vs SEA Player Props for MNF

NFL player props as of October 19 at DraftKings.

Stroud’s passing yards prop of 226.5 is an achievable number, even against a tough Seattle defense, as Houston will likely lean on the short passing game to neutralize the pass rush.

Darnold’s line is at the exact same number with -112 odds both ways, even though his completions O/U is two lower than Stroud’s (21.5 vs 19.5).

Latest HOU Texans vs SEA Seahawks Odds

At the time of publication, the best Seahawks moneyline was -166 at DraftKings, while the best Texans moneyline was +150 at bet365. The point spread was Seattle -3 across the board with only minor variations in price; Fanatics had the best ATS price on Houston (+3.5 at -115). DraftKings (among others) had the best ATS price on Seattle (-3 at -110). The game total showed a half-point range with bet365 on the low end at 41.0 and most other books at 41.5.

SEA vs HOU Odds Movement

This betting line has seen slight movement towards the Seahawks, who opened as -152 moneyline favorites and have been bet down to -166 or shorter.

The total has ticked down half a point at some books to 41.0. The weather forecast predicts rain and wind, the Texans’ have a strong under trend (5-1 in their last six games), and both teams feature top-10 defensive units in terms of efficiency.

MNF Public Betting Splits

The NFL public betting data reveals a classic “Pros-vs-Joes” split for this matchup. While 65% of betting tickets are on the Seahawks to cover the spread at home, 58% of the actual money wagered is backing the Texans +3 or +3.5.

This disparity often indicates that while casual bettors are backing the home favorite, larger, sharper wagers are on the road underdog, aligning with my pick to take the points with Houston.