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Texans vs Steelers Touchdown Scorer Picks: Wild Card Weekend Best Bets for Monday Night Football

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL News

Published:


Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud and running back Woody Marks celebrate a touchdown
Dec 27, 2025; Inglewood, California, USA; Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) celebrates with running back Woody Marks (27) after throwing a touchdown pass against the Los Angeles Chargers] during the first half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images

The Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers clash in a Wild Card game that promises to be a defensive battle, with both offenses looking to overcome recent struggles in finding the end zone. With frigid temperatures and light snow expected at Acrisure Stadium, this matchup sets up as a classic playoff grind where every scoring opportunity becomes magnified. The action kicks off Monday, January 12, at 8:15 pm ET on ABC/ESPN.

Below, I have set out the Texans vs Steelers touchdown-scorer odds, followed by my two best TD-scorer bets for Monday’s final Wild Card game.

Texans vs Steelers Touchdown Scorer Odds

Houston TexansAnytime TD OddsFirst TD Odds
Nico Collins+147+617
Jo’Quavious Marks+187+717
Dalton Schultz+242+917
Jayden Higgins+410+1567
Nick Chubb+625+2333
C.J. Stroud+817+2833
Pittsburgh SteelersAnytime TD OddsFirst TD Odds
Kenneth Gainwell+212+917
Jaylen Warren+218+933
DK Metcalf+223+983
Pat Freiermuth+387+1600
Jonnu Smith+650+2567
Adam Thielen+933+3167

TD scorer odds from BetMGM as of 10:51 am ET, January 12th.

Looking for more HOU/PIT picks to tail? Check out the Texans vs Steelers Picks & Predictions

Best Touchdown Scorer Bets for Wild Card Monday

HOU vs PIT Touchdown Pick #1: Woody Marks Anytime TD (+190 at BetRivers)

The Texans’ lead back presents exceptional value at +187 to find the end zone in what projects as a ground-heavy game script. With Jawhar Jordan sidelined due to an ankle injury, Marks becomes the 1A and 1B option in Houston’s backfield, handling goal-line carries and short-yardage situations, as well as between the 20s. The weather conditions (27°F with light snow) heavily favor power running schemes over finesse passing plays.

Marks only had five TDs in the regular season (two rushing, three receiving) but that was largely because of competition in the Houston backfield. The more-diminutive Marks often ceded carries in the red zone. That could still happen with the bigger RB3 Nick Chubb suiting up but, at nearly 2-to-1 odds, Marks represents strong value for a player who should see 15+ carries in challenging weather conditions.

HOU vs PIT Touchdown Pick #2: Dalton Schultz Anytime TD (+245 at DraftKings)

The veteran tight end offers compelling odds as one of Houston’s most reliable red-zone target. Schultz has emerged as CJ Stroud’s security blanket, particularly in high-pressure situations where quick releases become essential. He only had three touchdowns in the regular season but is due for some positive regression. In terms of red-zone targets, he was second on the team to Nico Collins (16) with 11. Yet, Woody Marks and Jayden Higgins had as many or more RZ touchdowns on significantly fewer targets.

Texans Red Zone Targets

RankPlayerPosRZ TargetsRZ RecRZ YardsRZ TD
1Nico CollinsWR166383
2Dalton SchultzTE115313
3Woody MarksRB85193
4Jayden HigginsWR75504
5TChristian KirkWR63161
5TXavier HutchinsonWR64242
7Jaylin NoelWR5291
7TCade StoverTE33190

    The frigid Pittsburgh conditions should force both teams into shorter passing concepts, where tight ends traditionally thrive. Schultz’s notable physical presence becomes even more pronounced in physical, weather-affected contests.

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    Sascha Paruk
    Sascha Paruk

    Managing Editor

    Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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