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Titans vs Ravens Week 11 Opening Line Has Baltimore Laying 6.5 Points

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Mar 3, 2021 · 11:51 AM PST

JK Dobbins of the Baltimore Ravens making a cut
Baltimore Ravens running back J.K. Dobbins (27) runs against the Cincinnati Bengals during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Jan. 3, 2021, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Aaron Doster)
  • The Tennessee Titans (6-3) visit the Baltimore Ravens (6-3)  in Week 11 (Nov. 22, 1 pm EST)
  • Both teams are coming in off losses in Week 10
  • Read below for analysis on which way the line will move ahead of kickoff

Playoff hopefuls Tennessee and Baltimore clash in one of the biggest games on the Week 11 slate. Both teams are fresh off primetime losses, as the Titans were dumped by the Indianapolis Colts 34-17 on Thursday Night Football, while the Ravens fell 23-17 in New England on Sunday Night Football.

This is a rematch of the AFC Divisional Round game in January, when Tennessee shocked Baltimore as a double-digit underdog.

Titans vs Ravens Opening Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Tennessee Titans +6.5 (-114) +220 Over 47.0 (-110)
Baltimore Ravens -6.5 (-106) -270 Under 47.0 (-110)

Odds taken Nov. 16th at FanDuel.

Baltimore opened up as a 6.5-point favorite for this contest, and will be looking to avoid its third loss in four games. The Ravens allowed the Patriots to run all over them in Week 10, and will need to shore up their run defense with Derrick Henry coming to town.

Ravens Beaten at Own Game

It’s usually Baltimore that enforces its will on its opponents with the run game, but New England flipped the script on Sunday. The Ravens allowed 173 rushing yards and a score to the Pats, and lost run stuffing nose tackle Brandon Williams to an ankle injury.

Williams is a huge difference maker in run defense and his absence would leave Baltimore extremely vulnerable against King Henry and company.

On the other side of the ball, the Ravens offense continues to struggle as they put up less than 25 points for the third straight outing. Lamar Jackson threw for 249 yards and two TD, but this offense is a shell of its 2019 self.

Last season, Baltimore lead the league in points per game (33.2) and ranked second in total offense. This year however, the Ravens are averaging five fewer points per outing and rank 23rd in total yards per game.

The good news is that Week 11 presents an excellent opportunity for Baltimore to get right. Tennessee boasts a bottom-eight scoring defense and is fresh off a woeful performance against the Colts.

Titans Trending Down

The Titans were outgained by 136 yards by Indianapolis in Week 10, and averaged 1.3 fewer yards per play. They allowed Phillip Rivers to complete 74.4% of his passes, while Indy as a team rushed for 133 yards. Tennessee owns the 12th worst run defense grade according to Pro Football Focus, and rank 20th in pass rush productivity.

The offense meanwhile, has regressed baldy over the last three weeks, averaging just 20.3 points per game. Ryan Tannehill has come crashing down to earth after a hot start, completing less than 56% of his passes in back-to-back games, and has thrown for less than 234 yards in four straight outings.

Tannehill’s struggles have coincided with the loss of stud left tackle Taylor Lewan, who is out for the season with a torn ACL. The Titans are 1-3 since Lewan went down, and could struggle to protect Tannehill against one the NFL’s top scoring defenses.

Line Likely to Hover Around a Touchdown

Given how each team performed in Week 10, it’s hard to imagine either side getting steamed by bettors. The Week 11 lookahead line was exactly Baltimore -6.5, and it should hover around that mark right up until kickoff.

If it does reach 7 points there could be some buyback in Tennessee’s favor, so if you like the Titans side wait and see if you can catch a full touchdown before placing your wager.

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