- In a rematch of last season’s AFC Divisional Round playoffs, the Baltimore Ravens are 6.5-point home favorites over the Tennessee Titans
- Sunday betting record: 6-1; 4.75 units won
- The Ravens are just 2-2 against the spread as a home favorite this season – see how we think they will fare below
It’s the same place as last year’s AFC Division Round playoff game was held, but the locale is about all that’s similar for the Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans.
Baltimore, an NFL-best 14-2 a year ago, are 6-3 and a distant second behind the 9-0 Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC North. Tennessee, which beat the Ravens 28-12 in that postseason game, are also 6-3 and second in the AFC South.
Both teams lost last week. The Ravens fell 23-17 at New England but are 2-0 straight up this season following a loss. Tennessee dropped a 34-17 home verdict to the Indianapolis Colts in a showdown for top spot in the division a week ago Thursday. The Titans are 1-0 both SU and ATS with a rest advantage.
Oddsmakers are listing the Ravens as solid 6.5-point favorites. That’s where the line opened.
Titans vs Ravens Week 11 Odds
|Tennessee Titans||+230||+6.5 (-118)||O 49.5 (-110)|
|Baltimore Ravens||-275||-6.5 (-104)||U 49.5 (-110)|
Odds taken Nov. 21st at DrafKings.
Meteorologists are forecasting clouds, a 7 mph wind and 54 degrees on the thermometer for the Sunday, 1pm ET kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium.
Tannehill vs Jackson
What a difference a year makes for the two starting quarterbacks in this game. Last year, Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson was NFL MVP. Tennessee’s Ryan Tannehill was NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Both teams are waiting for their QBs to come back to being that player again.
Led by Jackson, Baltimore was the NFL’s #1 scoring offense (30.4 points per game) a year ago. This year, the Ravens rate 12th in that category (27.1 ppg). They’re also 22nd in total offense (348.1 yards per game).
Lamar Jackson Passing Grade:
🔹 2019 : 85.3 (5th)
🔹 2020: 69.9 (22nd) pic.twitter.com/4oQpg2uiTM
— PFF (@PFF) November 20, 2020
In the past three games, Baltimore is 1-2. Jackson has thrown for four touchdowns against three interceptions. His passer rating over that span is 87.3.
Tannehill started strongly. He threw for 13 TDs and posted a 113.6 passer rating and 69.9% completion percentage as Tennessee opened 5-0. Tennessee’s offense was clicking, posting 423.2 ypg and 32.8 ppg.
The best incompletion of the week is from Ryan Tannehill.
This drop by A.J. Brown changed the complexion of the Titans-Colts Thursday night game pic.twitter.com/D3CEg0jhVH
— Steve Palazzolo (@PFF_Steve) November 17, 2020
Since then, the Titans are 1-3. Granted, those games saw Tennessee face three top-10 NFL defenses. Still, the dropoff for Tannehill is alarming. He’s completing just 56.5% of his passes and has topped 200 yards passing in just one of those games.
Defensive Issues For Both Teams
If you’re Tennessee running back Derrick Henry, you’re probably running all the way to the stadium on Sunday. He’s got to be excited for this matchup.
The Philadelphia Eagles ran for 194 yards against Baltimore. Last week, the Patriots poured through the Ravens defense for 173 yards, led by 121 from Damien Harris.
Derrick Henry in Nov & Dec – Since 2018
— CBS Sports HQ (@CBSSportsHQ) November 20, 2020
If those two teams can do that, imagine the damage that Henry, the NFL’s premier runner, will do.
Tennessee’s defense just might be the elixir to heal Jackson’s woes. When defending the pass, the Titans are 28th in the NFL is both yards per game (277.4) and TDs (20) allowed.
The Ravens are hurting in the front seven. Nose tackle Brandon Williams (ankle) and defensive end Calais Campbell (calf) are doubtful. Linebacker LJ Fort (finger) is questionable. On offense, tight end Nick Boyle (knee) is on IR.
— Mike Garafolo (@MikeGarafolo) November 20, 2020
Already missing starting left tackle Taylor Lewan (IR), Titans G Roger Saffold (ankle) and wide receiver Adam Humphries (concussion) are out. Center Ben Jones (knee) is questionable. Defensively, LB Jadeveon Clowney (knee) is out.
No NFL team is more impressive when offered extra rest than Tennessee.
With Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee is 2-0 ATS on extended rest, winning both games by 20+ points. Both games occurred after a bye.
Tennessee is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games on extended rest dating back to 2016.#Titans
— Allan Bell (@AllanBell247) November 17, 2020
The Titans are 2-0 ATS in that scenario with Tannehill at QB and 9-2-1 ATS with extended rest since 2016.
Best Bet: Tennessee Titans +6.5 (-118).