Odds on Tom Brady’s Future: Browns Favored to Sign Him if He Leaves Pats
- If he leaves the New England Patriots, oddsmakers are offering +550 odds that Tom Brady’s next NFL destination will be the Cleveland Browns
- The sportsbook is also offering -200 odds that Brady stays with the Pats in a separate prop wager
- Oddsmakers are offering -1000 odds that Brady won’t retire from football prior to the 2020 season
Where is Tom Brady’s football future headed?
Will the New England Patriots’ six-time Super Bowl-winning quarterback stand with the Pats? Is he headed to another NFL team for the 2020 season? Or, is Brady, 42, destined to call it quits before the 2020 season gets underway?
Speculation is running rampant regarding Brady’s options for 2020 following New England’s 20-13 loss to the Tennessee Titans in Saturday’s AFC Wild Card playoff game. And oddsmakers wasted no time putting forth a series of prop wagers on what might be next for the GOAT.
The sportsbook is offering straightforward yes/no wagers on whether Brady’s destiny is to stay with the Patriots, or retire from football. There’s also a separate prop ranking the odds on Brady signing as a free agent with another NFL team.
Tom Brady’s NFL Team For Week 1, 2020
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns | +550 |
| Carolina Panthers | +600 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +600 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +600 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +700 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +800 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +900 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +1200 |
| Denver Broncos | +1200 |
| Miami Dolphins | +1400 |
| Chicago Bears | +1600 |
| New Orleans Saints | +1600 |
| New York Giants | +2000 |
| New York Jets | +2000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +2500 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2500 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +2500 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +2500 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +2500 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +2500 |
| Washington Redskins | +3300 |
Odds taken Jan. 5. Note: Wager only offers action if Brady leaves the Pats.
Brady’s final pass of Saturday’s game, perhaps his final pass as a Patriot, was a pick-six. Logan Ryan, his former New England teammate, had barely taken his interception to the house when discussions were launched whether Brady would be seeking a new home for 2020.
AND TOTALLY REDEEMS HIMSELF pic.twitter.com/xWKS5HSqaE
— Tennessee Titans (@Titans) January 5, 2020
In his post-game media session, Brady danced around questions about next season. He insisted he can’t predict the future, so he won’t even try.
Tom Brady doesn't know what the future looks like for him but it is "pretty unlikely" that he will retire pic.twitter.com/yBpijKnXmZ
— Patriots on NBCSB (@NBCSPatriots) January 5, 2020
Fortunately, not everyone is governed by such notions.
Brady’s Bunch Of Options
Establishing Cleveland as the chalk certainly seems predicated on Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels filling the vacant head coaching position with the Browns. But are the Browns ready to move on from Baker Mayfield?
“Who knows what the future holds? We’ll leave it at that.” – Tom Brady
There’s been speculation on a connection between Brady and the Chargers for some time now. In October, sportsbooks listed the Chargers as the +275 chalk should Brady move on from the Patriots in 2020.
The Chargers are uncertain about the status of Philip Rivers going forward. They were a playoff team a year ago, and Brady would be a sensational drawing card as the team moves into its new stadium next season.
Tom Brady knows at age 43-45 he will be playing on bonus time so why not have fun, set up TB12 for the future, get a big payday, and feed off the frenzy of a brand new fan base in nyc or LA? The journey is the enjoyment. He has earned the right to enjoy being Tom Brady the goat.
— John DePetro Show (@JohnDePetroshow) January 3, 2020
Jacoby Brissett used to be Brady’s understudy with the Pats. In two seasons as the Colts starter, he’s guided Indy to losing campaigns. The Colts are a team loaded with talent on both sides of the ball.
Imagine Brady winning his final Super Bowl with Peyton Manning’s old team.
Pick: Indianapolis Colts (+600).
Will Tom Brady Be On Pats Roster Week 1 of 2020 NFL Season?
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | -200 |
| No | +150 |
There’s a couple of solid reasons to believe that Brady stays put with the Pats. Firstly, New England really doesn’t have an option to replace Brady at this point. The Patriots could draft a QB and allow Brady to mentor him until he’s ready to take over.
Bill Belichick calls Tom Brady an “iconic figure in this organization.” He says this isn’t the time, 12 hours after the game ended, to talk about the future. pic.twitter.com/8feUT2nxvF
— Mike Reiss (@MikeReiss) January 5, 2020
Secondly, there’s the cap hit a Brady departure would cost the team. Should they opt not to re-sign him, it costs the Patriots $13.5 million in cap space next season, and $6.75 million in 2021.
Pick: Yes (-200).
Will Tom Brady Retire Before Week 1 of 2020 NFL Season?
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | +600 |
| No | -1000 |
This is the safest bet of the bunch. Saturday, Brady called it “pretty unlikely” that he’d retire. He’s previously stated a desire to play until he’s 45.
Patriots QB Tom Brady: "Who knows what the future holds?" Asked if he'll retire, Brady calls the possibility "pretty unlikely."
— Albert Breer (@AlbertBreer) January 5, 2020
Vinny Testaverde, Steve DeBerg and Warren Moon all started an NFL game at age 44. Brady wants to break that record.
Pick: No (-1000).
Pats Outcomes If Brady Plays 2020 NFL Season?
| Outcome | Yes Odds | No Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Make Playoffs | -700 | +400 |
| Win Division | -200 | +150 |
| Win Super Bowl | +1200 | -2500 |
The Patriots gave off every indication this season that they are a team in transition. The Buffalo Bills look to be the heir apparents in the AFC East.
Today's loss to the Titans is the Patriots' first Wild Card loss since 2009. pic.twitter.com/tszwTmq4RU
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) January 5, 2020
New England missed the Divisional round of the NFL playoffs for the first time in a decade. Play a no parlay on all three of these props.
New England Patriots 2020 Season Win Total With Brady
| Total | No Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 10 | -110 |
| Under 10 | -130 |
The Pats played the softest schedule in the NFL this season and went 12-4. But the only other division winner they beat was the 9-7 NFC East champion Philadelphia Eagles.
We don't know what the future holds this off-season, but we know every #Patriots fan shares the love we do for the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady. ❤?❤? pic.twitter.com/LRVzkwfVnl
— WCVB-TV Boston (@WCVB) January 5, 2020
Speaking of 9-7, that sounds like a good number for New England’s record next season.
Pick: Under 10 (-130).
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
