NFL Week 1 Odds – Updated Spread, Moneyline, O/U for All 16 Games; See Which Total Dropped 4 Points

By Sascha Paruk in NFL Football
Published:

- NFL Week 1 is just over a week away and the Week 1 odds have been shifting rapidly
- One point total has dropped by four points
- See the updated NFL Week 1 odds, including the latest spread, total, and moneyline for all 16 games
NFL Week 1 is just ten days away and the NFL Week 1 odds, which have been out since May, have been on the move as bettors got their first looks at each team in the preseason.
Every single moneyline has moved since opening, and almost every spread and total have moved by at least half a point, some by as many as four. The favorite completely flipped in one matchup. The table below lists the current NFL odds for Week 1, juxtaposed with the opening lines from May. Current odds are listed in bold. Opening odds are listed in square brackets. The ↔ symbol indicates the spread or total has not changed, though the prices may have fluctuated slightly. (The spreads and totals all opened with -110 odds each way.)
Updated NFL Week 1 Odds
Only six of 16 point spreads are still at the same number they opened at, while only four game totals remain the same.

Vikings vs Bears Favorite Flips for Week 1 MNF
The opening odds for the first Monday Night Football game of the season between the Minnesota Vikings (14-3, 6-2 away, 11-6-1 ATS in 2024) and Chicago Bears (5-12, 4-5 home, 8-7-2 ATS) saw the hometown Bears favored by 1.5 points. As of Monday afternoon, the Vikings had become 1.5 point favorites. The moneyline had also inverted with Minnesota going from a +102 underdog to a -122 road favorite, and Chicago going from -122 chalk to a +102 home underdog.
Minnesota won both meetings with the Bears last season, eking out a 30-27 OT win on the road in Week 12 and running away with a 30-12 victory at home in Week 15. Vikings coach Kevin O’Connell won Coach of the Year last season as Minnesota significantly over-performed compared to preseason expectations. Repeating as COY is a rarity, but O’Connell is a +3500 longshot to win again. Chicago first-year coach Ben Johnson is the +675 second-favorite in the 2025 NFL Coach of the Year odds, trailing only New England’s Mike Vrabel (+650).
Steelers vs Jets Point Total Plummets
The Pittsburgh Steelers (8-10 O/U in 2024) vs New York Jets (10-6-1 O/U) matchup in East Rutherford opened with a Week 1-low 41.5-point total, and that number has only gone down, sinking a full four points to just 37.5 (with the under favored at -108). Steelers games averaged 42.8 PPG last regular season, while Jets games were slightly higher at 43.7 PPG.
Bettors clearly don’t expect a ton of fireworks from Aaron Rodgers in his first start as a Steeler, nor from Justin Fields in his first start as a Jet. Rodgers didn’t play at all in the preseason, as has become customary for the 41-year-old. Fields was just 4-of-9 for 46 yards, no touchdowns, and no interceptions while appearing in two preseason games. He also rushed the ball three times for 19 yards. In terms of efficiency, Fields is coming off the best season of his four-year career, which was coincidentally his first and only with the Steelers. He completed a career-best 65.8% of his passes with a 5-to-1 TD-to-INT ratio while appearing in ten games, posting a career-best passer rating of 92.8. He also added 289 rushing yards and five TDs and 4.7 YPC.
Rodgers is coming off his worst season as a starter with the Jets in 2024, recording a 90.5 passer rating while completing just 63.0% of his passes and throwing 28 touchdowns to 11 interceptions. Rodgers has now throw double-digit INTs in each of his last two full seasons, something he didn’t do at all from 2011 to 2021.
It’s possible that the current 37.5-point total will tick back up in the coming days; the NFL public betting splits show a massive 89% of O/U wagers and 69% of O/U money on the over now that the total has dropped.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.