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Vikings vs Seahawks Week 13 MNF Props: Cousins Due for Streak-Breaking Interception

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Mar 26, 2020 · 12:56 PM PDT

Vikings QB Kirk Cousins throwing a pass
Kirk Cousins and the Vikings host the Redskins on Thursday Night Football. Photo by Steven King/Icon Sportswire.
  • Week 14 of MNF pits the two current NFC wild cards head to head as the Seattle Seahawks play host to the Minnesota Vikings
  • Will Dalvin Cook enjoy a bounce back week for the Vkings?
  • Is Kirk Cousins likely to throw an interception?

It’s a tough go making any headway in the NFC playoff race. Both the Seattle Seahawks (9-2) and Minnesota Vikings (8-3) are enjoying splendid seasons. Despite their success, the best they’ve been able to accomplish to date is to occupy a wild card playoff position.

As much as Monday’s game will be about postseason implications – a Seattle victory would push the Seahawks into the NFC West lead over the San Francisco 49ers via tiebreaker – it’s also about players making statements.

Vikings all-purpose running back Dalvin Cook performed like he was without a purpose last week against the Denver Broncos. On the other side, Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson requires a sensational performance to keep pace with Baltimore Ravens super freak Lamar Jackson in the NFL MVP race.

The Seahawks are three-point favorites over the Vikings.

Prop #1: Dalvin Cook Over/Under 40.5 Receiving Yards

Dalvin Cook Receiving Yards Odds
Over 40.5 yards -115
Under 40.5 yards -115

All Odds taken Dec. 2.

Cook wasn’t himself last week against the Broncos. He was held to 26 yards on 11 carries, a 2.4 yards per carry average. For the season, he’s gaining exactly double that average per carry.

It was the same story through the air. Cook caught five balls for 31 yards, well below his season average of 41.36 yards per game.

What is known about Cook if you study his numbers is that he follows an off game with a big effort. When the Detroit Lions held him to one catch for seven yards, Cook went off for 73, 45, and 86 yards receiving in his next three games.

This season, only Christian McCaffrey (1,709) of the Carolina Panthers is creating more all-purpose yards in the NFL than Cook (1,472).

However, he’s not fared well against the Seahawks. Last season, also at Seattle, Cook was held to 28 receiving yards on seven catches.

Pick: Dalvin Cook under 40.5 receiving yards (-115)
Risk: 1 unit to win 0.87 units

Prop #2: Kirk Cousins Over/Under 0.5 Interceptions

Kirk Cousins Interceptions Odds
Over 0.5 -140
Under 0.5 -110

This season, only four NFL quarterbacks show interception percentages below one percent. Two of them are playing in this game.

The low turnover ratio for Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins is proving to be a welcome change to his usual repertoire.  He’s thrown at least 10 interceptions in each of his four previous seasons and holds a career interception percentage of 2.3 percent.

This season, he’s been picked off just three times in 320 attempts. That’s a 0.9 percent ratio.

Cousins has gone five consecutive games without throwing a pick. He’s been intercepted one time over the past nine games.

Pick: Kirk Cousins under 0.5 interceptions (-110)
Risk: 1 unit to win 0.91 units

Prop #3: Russell Wilson Over/Under 265.5 Passing Yards

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Odds
Over 265.5 -115
Under 265.5 -115

The Vikings aren’t as good at stopping the pass as the numbers might lead you to believe.

Minnesota is allowing 244.5 passing yards per game, good for 20th overall in the NFL. But when the Vikings defense faces a QB of substance, they generally get sliced and diced.

Atlanta’s Matt Ryan (304 yards), Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers (209), Philadelphia’s Carson Wentz (306), Detroit’s Matthew Stafford (364), and Dak Prescott (397) of the Cowboys combined to average 316 yards through the air against Minny. Even Kansas City backup Matt Moore torched the Vikings for 275 yards.

Wilson is averaging 267 ypg passing. He’s gone over the total established for this game five times this season.

Pick: Russell Wilson over 265.5 yards passing (-115)
Risk: 2 units to win 1.74 units</strong

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